8 upvotes, 2 direct replies (showing 2)
View submission: i feel totally cynical about what's happening right now
Yes and in 2016 polls showed HRC was going to trounce DJT.
No they didn't, they said it was going to be close. 538 gave Trump a 30% chance of winning based on the polling averages.
Comment by Khwarezm at 26/06/2020 at 01:56 UTC
6 upvotes, 1 direct replies
I distinctly remember 538 being the only major outlet that suggested Trump even had a hair of a chance of winning, tons of major papers like the New York Times were saying that Clinton had like 90% chance of winning.
Comment by [deleted] at 26/06/2020 at 00:41 UTC
-3 upvotes, 2 direct replies
So a 70% chance for HRC? Sounds like 538 got it pretty wrong.