2 upvotes, 1 direct replies (showing 1)
I'm not sure you understood the point of the article. Let's say you calculate the probabilty of an accident for taking a ride somewhere is 0,0000000000%. Making the decision of taking the ride is less risky obviously, but something can still happen, because whatever is influencing the present may have not be considered in the mathematical model that calculated the 0%.
It is a leap of faith, that's why sometimes it's better to decide without even thinking, life is not a predictable machine with a set number of variables that you can control, shit just happens so you gotta trust that whatever you are doing is the right choice. The more insecure you are, the more you have to think about decisions and calculate probabilities, but like you said, they're not necessary.
I chose to reply, I'm confident in what I've learned. Am I absolutely right? According to my calculations I am, but it was still a leap of faith to reply to you. Was it a good decision? maybe I'm just wasting my time explaining stuff here and you won't even bother to read. Maybe someone will come and crush my little intelect and prove me I'm talking nonsense. The more I think I about it, replying is a mistake. Fuck it I'll post anyways.
Comment by breadandbuttercreek at 25/01/2020 at 21:49 UTC
2 upvotes, 0 direct replies
Probabilities are never perfect because even long odds sometimes happen, people get killed by falling branches. But they are our best way of making decisions because we live a long time and make a lot of decisions, the chances tend to even out. Education is very important but there will always betimes we don't have enough information, we just muddle through. the chances of anything bad happening to you through posting on an obscure r/philosophy thread are pretty low. The risk you took was publishing n the first place.