3 upvotes, 1 direct replies (showing 1)
View submission: COVID denialism and policy clarifications
That 99% figure is misleading. Consider this analogy:
Driving cars is 'safe'. There are 38,000 deaths per year on US roadways. (https://www.asirt.org/safe-travel/road-safety-facts/[1]) Thats 0.01% of the US population. No big deal. But, if you actually get in an accident, then you chance of survival isnt 99.99%, but much lower, down to 0% if you crash into a still parked truck while going 100mph. Nobody would say crashes are safe, but only that driving is (relatively) safe.
1: https://www.asirt.org/safe-travel/road-safety-facts/
Same with COVID. While a large portion might be unaffected or at least not at risk (vaccinated, social distancing etc), if you contract the virus your chances are not THAT high to survive. If I am reading the data of cdc.gov (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/covid19/nhcs/hospital-mortality-by-week.htm[2]) correctly, then there is a chance of 4/10 that you die of COVID when you are admitted to the hospital without needing to be put on a ventilator, and about 5/10 to 6/10 chance of death when you need to be put on a ventilator. While COVID might be relatively "harmless" overall, if you get it, then you are in trouble.
2: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/covid19/nhcs/hospital-mortality-by-week.htm
And people like you that dont wear masks/get vaccinated and are still around people are going around driving 100mph while actively seeking out trucks. That doesnt mean that you will crash, it just means that you are not as safe as you might think you are. Best of luck.
E: sources
E2: nvm you are not the same person as the one 3 comments above, but I am going to take a gamble here and say that there are certain similarities.
Comment by DrHenryWu at 01/09/2021 at 21:15 UTC
2 upvotes, 0 direct replies
I appreciate the effort you put into the analogy but I don't think it quite works for covid
While COVID might be relatively "harmless" overall, if you get it, then you are in trouble.
I never called it harmless. I just mentioned the survival rate. 99+%
Twenty-three seroprevalence surveys representing 14 countries were included. Across all countries, the median IFR in community-dwelling elderly and elderly overall was 2.4% (range 0.3%-7.2%) and 5.5% (range 0.3%-12.1%). IFR was higher with larger proportions of people >85 years. Younger age strata had low IFR values (median 0.0027%, 0.014%, 0.031%, 0.082%, 0.27%, and 0.59%, at 0-19, 20-29, 30-39, 40-49, 50-59, and 60-69 years).
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.08.21260210v1
And people like you that dont wear masks/get vaccinated
I'm vaccinated, but myself and my daughter don't wear masks. I wore one whilst they were mandated to be polite. I've never made my daughter wear one and neither do schools here (for younger kids)