Falling orders and unforced errors prompt a rethink
Oct 27th 2012 | BERLIN | from the print edition
EVERY company needs shaking up now and then, even a sprawling world-beater like
Siemens. Peter L scher, the chief executive, gave his troops a pep-talk on
October 11th, to be followed by the unveiling of a new strategy on November
8th. Do not expect surprises. The group will continue to make everything from
turbines and trains to smart grids and scanners. But it needs to be a lot more
efficient.
Alarm bells rang in the summer: new orders had dropped in almost every
division, compared with a year earlier, most dramatically in energy, and
infrastructure and cities (which includes high-speed trains). Orders from
within Germany and from India had fallen by over 40%. Even China ordered 11%
less. Much of this was due to the economic slowdown, especially in Europe, and
to a return to normal after some big orders in 2011, Siemens s best year ever.
Revenues are up despite the falling orders. But the declines reflect some
strategic errors, which Mr L scher manfully admits.
First, Siemens bet on a global recovery in 2012. That didn t happen, especially
in Europe. Second, Siemens overreached in offshore windparks and particle
therapy, an experimental cancer treatment. In both cases it launched too many
ground-breaking projects at once and hit unexpected problems and costs: bad
planning again.
Mr L scher will not fall on his sword. His record is too good for that. Since
2007, when he was brought in as an outsider to clean up corruption at the
company, Siemens has flourished. It has already changed 50% of its business
portfolio. But he wants to reduce costs (for instance by bringing research and
development closer to production), organise sales coverage in clusters rather
than country by country, reduce bureaucracy, and be less tolerant of
underperforming sectors. On October 22nd Siemens said it would dump its
solar-power business.
Union leaders fear job cuts. But it is difficult for Siemens to shed jobs and
close plants in Germany. In 2008 it struck an agreement, renewed in 2010, to
safeguard German jobs and plants in the long term. Recently it has even been
adding to its workforce. But some relocation is likely. Its subsidiary Osram, a
lighting manufacturer, has been shifting jobs away from making obsolescent
light bulbs.
On October 31st a brand-new SGT5-8000H gas turbine, at 440 tonnes the biggest
and most efficient in the world, capable of generating 375MW, will rumble out
of the factory in Berlin and head for Turkey. A new plant in Charlotte, North
Carolina, is building these turbines too. If, next year or the year after, the
world economy improves, and German politicians clarify the country s currently
chaotic energy policy, many more turbines will rumble, and customers will order
more trains, transformers and scanners.
Siemens, which turned 165 on October 12th, is in it for the long haul. But it
is learning that it cannot wholly ignore investors, nor the analysts who sway
them. Hence the fanfare of a shake-up, and of a programme this year to raise
cheap debt and buy back 3 billion ($3.9 billion) of shares. Siemens aims to
beat its great rival, GE, and to hit annual revenues of 100 billion (last year
s were 74 billion). Sensibly, it hasn t specified when.
from the print edition | Business