Facebook Q3 2020

Author: tosh

Score: 82

Comments: 118

Date: 2020-10-29 20:47:36

Web Link

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ksec wrote at 2020-10-29 21:26:01:

MAU is still increasing at ~2.7B. World Population without China ( Where Facebook can not be used ) is 6B. That is nearly half of the world on Facebook.

I know people on HN hate Facebook. But it is truly quite amazing looking at those numbers.

QuinnyPig wrote at 2020-10-30 01:39:58:

I think that’s a bit unfair. People from many walks of life, with emphasis on a tremendously broad variety of disciplines also hate Facebook.

ffpip wrote at 2020-10-30 02:57:45:

A large (very very large) percentage of people are from India.

Think of India's internet as America's internet from 2014. Everybody loves facebook here, there are 0 privacy laws.

ksec wrote at 2020-10-30 12:13:27:

Yes and many other countries in SEA, where Facebook = Internet. And Facebook also help many small medium businesses to find their target customers. Compared to older larger enterprise which are slow to react to Internet. These SME are thriving in the new Internet era. And overall a great contribution to the economy.

fossuser wrote at 2020-10-29 21:30:09:

I wonder what percentage of the online population (excluding China).

75%? 80%?

ksec wrote at 2020-10-29 21:37:33:

If we assume vast majority of Internet users are Smartphone users. There are total of 4.5B Smartphone users, China has close to 1B. That is 2.7B out of 3.5B.

So Yes, roughly 77%.

wh1t3n01s3 wrote at 2020-10-29 22:17:39:

And with IG and WA they make 3.2B out of 3.5B, ~93%

edgyquant wrote at 2020-10-30 00:20:38:

Surely there’s overlap between the users? Or was that factored in already.

ksec wrote at 2020-10-30 12:13:58:

Already Factored in. In other words, 90%+ of Smartphone users outside China has at least one of the Facebook App installed.

And _growing_.

ebg13 wrote at 2020-10-29 21:35:08:

Do we have accurate estimates for how many of them are real and unique people?

didip wrote at 2020-10-29 21:31:03:

If you count WhatsApp and Instagram, that number is not surprising at all.

dntrkv wrote at 2020-10-29 21:33:51:

That's just FB, if you include WhatsApp and Insta, that number is 3.2B

stingraycharles wrote at 2020-10-29 21:34:40:

Wait, they count one person using WhatsApp, Instagram and Facebook as 3 users? Even when you log in with the same account?

darkwizard42 wrote at 2020-10-29 21:45:54:

No, I believe they are saying if you use any one of those three services in a month you are part of the unique MAU.

julienreszka wrote at 2020-10-30 04:07:03:

How many are real people?

esturk wrote at 2020-10-30 00:46:44:

If China ever bans FB in Hong Kong, will that be the single largest drop in users in a single day for FB?

tomnipotent wrote at 2020-10-30 01:45:16:

There are only 8M people in HK, so I doubt it. Turkey has banned FB a few times, and they have 82M people.

reaperducer wrote at 2020-10-29 21:34:44:

_MAU is still increasing at ~2.7B_

Does Facebook specify what a "user" is?

Is just it someone with a Facebook/IG/WhatsApp/etc account who logs in?

Does it include someone with no Facebook account who clicks on a link to a page on Facebook?

Does it include someone who visits another web site that has a Facebook tracker on it?

surajama wrote at 2020-10-29 21:44:02:

From the link in the post Facebook has two different metrics: MAU (month average users) and MAP (monthly average people). They don't define these terms but MAU sounds like someone with a Facebook/IG/WhatsApp/etc account who logs in, which that 2.74B figure applies to.

disgruntledphd2 wrote at 2020-10-30 12:20:18:

The terms are defined somewhere in their reports (maybe only the annual ones).

My understanding was that you are counted as an MAP if you log into FB on any device, or use fb-login for at least one service in that month (although they may have changed it).

thewarrior wrote at 2020-10-29 21:19:39:

Highlights:

Revenue up by 22 % to $ 21.4 billion

Profits up by 29 % to $ 7.8 billion

Facebook Daily active users up by 12 % to 1.8 billion

Facebook Monthly active users up by 12 % to 2.7 billion

2.5 billion users using one of the apps(FB/IG/WhatsApp) daily.

3.2 billion users using one of the apps monthly up by 14 % for the year

Headcount grew by 32 % to 56k

$55 billion in cash reserves

FanaHOVA wrote at 2020-10-29 21:46:42:

US usage is actually down though. DAU 198M -> 196M

aspaceman wrote at 2020-10-30 01:20:55:

This explains a lot. I was confused by these numbers. So they're expanding rapidly internationally.

agumonkey wrote at 2020-10-29 21:42:23:

No mg of dopamine per second ?

More seriously I wonder what constitutes an active user. Scrolling for N minutes ? liking ? posting ? any combination of those ?

input_sh wrote at 2020-10-29 22:07:30:

It's unique visits on the site in a given period. You merely have to click on a link to the website, or open the app on your phone, and you count as an "active" user.

bamboozled wrote at 2020-10-29 21:21:39:

Great news for all! /s

s3r3nity wrote at 2020-10-29 21:17:48:

- 28% increase in EPS

- 12% increase YOY for both DAU and MAU

Yet again, monster quarter and reports of FB's death have been proven to be premature.

Would be curious to understand more how much ROI they're seeing on hardware investments, like in Portal + Occulus.

objclxt wrote at 2020-10-29 21:27:00:

> Would be curious to understand more how much ROI they're seeing on hardware investments, like in Portal + Occulus.

It’ll be negative, both Oculus and Portal are sold at a significant loss. Of course, FB’s perspective is that the positive ROI won’t come until further down the line and it’s necessary to avoid the situation they found themselves in on mobile.

qgrgergfqgfev wrote at 2020-10-29 22:24:26:

Yet they're always sold out, and FB gets a cut from online game sales, it wouldn't surprise me if they're profitable already.

H8crilA wrote at 2020-10-29 21:29:07:

Anything next to core advertising will look completely insignificant, both in terms of revenue and (hopefully also) in terms of costs. Same for Google, though the cloud revenue numbers are starting to be meaningful. BTW, Ruth just said on the Alphabet earnings call that they'll break down cloud numbers in Q4 (expenses; revenues are already broken down), retroactively to 2018, that will be interesting to look at.

joebasirico wrote at 2020-10-29 21:44:28:

This slide deck makes me really uncomfortable.

1.8 Billion Active Users on Facebook in Q3 of 2020

Every user in the US brings gives Facebook about $40 in advertising revenue every quarter

Facebook made $21 BILLION dollars in advertising, just in Q3 of 2020

Facebook has an effective tax rate of between 4% (in Q3 of 2020) and 20% in Q4 of 2019.

You’re worth a bit less than $160/year to Facebook in advertising revenue. They made 70 Billion dollars last year, and have made almost 60B this year already (82% of what they made in 19). They are taxed in the low double digits.

My questions to you:

- Did you get $160 worth of value out of Facebook?

- What’s your annual tax rate?

My guess is it’s No to the first question and a lot more than 4% to the second.

rlanday wrote at 2020-10-29 22:01:07:

You seem to think that Facebook managed to get 2.74 billion monthly active users by providing a product that people don’t significantly value. 3.21 billion if you also count Messenger, WhatsApp, and Instagram.

zeroonetwothree wrote at 2020-10-30 00:14:00:

The $160 is value to the advertiser I don’t see how it would have anything to do with the value to the user. Since FB is free if it gives you even $1 of value you may as well use it.

srtjstjsj wrote at 2020-10-29 21:49:40:

$14/month is on par with other popular media sites like Netflix and Spotify.

Facebook employees and shareholders also pay tax on money they take out of Facebook.

darkwizard42 wrote at 2020-10-29 21:48:01:

A 4% effective tax rate has a lot more to do with investment in R&D, declaring losses in accordance to the tax code etc.

The optics are terrible, agreed on that.

Regarding your first question, its not about how much value I get out of Facebook, since I'm not paying $160 for it, advertisers are paying for the ability to reach people.

mhoad wrote at 2020-10-30 10:18:59:

Let’s not pretend that Facebook isn’t ALSO involved in a lot of “technically not illegal but clearly unacceptable to the majority of society” tax avoidance strategies.

They aren’t unique in this sense but it’s just loophole after loophole and is the kind of thing that is at this point a textbook example of failed corporate/ social responsibility.

mbesto wrote at 2020-10-29 23:38:29:

> $160 worth of value out of Facebook

$13/month for WhatsApp is definitely worth it (if you take out the fact that its part of Facebook)

Closi wrote at 2020-10-29 21:54:05:

I also wonder if advertisers get value.

Have I been influenced to spend an additional $160? I’m highly doubtful but who knows!

justapassenger wrote at 2020-10-29 21:58:09:

It doesn't have to be additional spent. If coke can get you to buy their drink instead of pepsi, that's a dollar well spent, from their POV.

cblconfederate wrote at 2020-10-30 00:01:00:

What about the other 159?

luminati wrote at 2020-10-29 22:02:10:

~4bb per quarter (16bb annual) in r&d costs for a pure play software company seems high no?

What on earth do they spend on? I know they pay high engineering salaries but even factoring that it doesn’t seem to make sense to my simple mind.

Twitter comes in 1/16th which i still think is crazy high!

woobar wrote at 2020-10-30 01:07:49:

Headcount is at 56K. $4.7B / 56,000 ~= $84K/quarter. Or $336K per year. I guess they spend it on compensation.

luminati wrote at 2020-10-30 02:11:12:

But not all would be r&d - assuming 33% of them are programmers/engineers, that comes to ~$1mm/year per person in comp

Yuioup wrote at 2020-10-30 09:37:14:

Is there anybody here who has succesfully migrated away? My biggest problem is that I want to stay in touch with friends and family abroad but I don't want to stay in the cesspool that is faecesbook.

FriedPickles wrote at 2020-10-29 21:41:14:

How come companies as capable as FB can't build their own investor relations site? They all seem to be hosted by this q4inc.com.

justapassenger wrote at 2020-10-29 22:00:32:

You outsource things that aren't your core competency. It's cheaper and more reliable that way.

seancoleman wrote at 2020-10-29 21:16:08:

"Our third quarter 2020 effective tax rate was 4%" [down from 17% YoY]. Numbers like this sure support the "rich corporations don't pay taxes" narrative with average Americans paying a 24% effective tax rates.

granzymes wrote at 2020-10-29 22:06:28:

But why tax corporations on income at all? All of that money will eventually be income for an actual person (employees, shareholders) who will be taxed on it, most likely at a rate above 24%. And don't forget that sales taxes and VATs exist.

Corporations don't exist, so they can't "pay" for the tax. With a corporate income tax, the incidence is out of policymakers' control and some percentage will fall on consumers. Just tax who you want to tax.

dragonwriter wrote at 2020-10-29 22:16:35:

> But why tax corporations at all?

Because otherwise they make great tax dodges.

> All of that money will eventually be income for an actual person (employees, shareholders) who will be taxed on it, most likely at a rate above 24%.

No, it doesn't. The stuff that becomes employee income mostly isn't taxed as corporate income (its a deductible business expense). If it is distribute as dividends, its taxable to the recipient, but certainly that doesn't happen with all after tax corporate profits. Its very common for most investor returns to come as capital gains with the money retained/reinvested in the business.

ChrisLomont wrote at 2020-10-30 00:53:37:

How are they a tax dodge? The owners are taxed whenever they try to get cash from the business.

It’s like claiming a house is a tax dodge because the owner isn’t taxed every quarter in the increase in value. In both cases the owner gets taxed when gains are realized.

Corporate income is mostly a way to get incremental cash for govt. But the tax comes gets paid by stocks, effectively taxing pensions, 401ks, etc., without people thinking about it.

As a way to check it, there’s academic papers demonstrating every dollar held by a company is matched in market cap - company loses X in cash, market cap drops X.

So the company isn’t really paying - it’s shareholders that pay. They ultimately lost the value.

dannyw wrote at 2020-10-30 02:23:07:

Because the rich don't tend to sell their stock on regular basis for income: to maximise wealth, they re-invest.

Corporate taxes ensure this tax is actually realised on a semiregular basis.

throwaway5752 wrote at 2020-10-29 22:28:25:

_"Corporations don't exist, so they can't "pay" for the tax"_

I'm sorry, but how do you square that with the legal rights via judicial precedence they have, like those described in

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporate_personhood

? How do you square it with the plain language of the USC on the matter (

https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/1/1

) ?

granzymes wrote at 2020-10-29 22:34:04:

A corporation is a bunch of paper sitting in, most likely, Delaware. Those papers don't have a life of their own; they are owned by a group of people who also own all of the assets.

We pretend that the paper is a person in lots of contexts because it's a convenient fiction. But in this example, the paper very clearly isn't paying income tax.

notacoward wrote at 2020-10-30 00:38:22:

> Those papers don't have a life of their own

Unfortunately, they do as far as the law is concerned. They have a right to own property - in perpetuity, which makes it an even more powerful right than flesh-and-blood humans have. They have a right to bring lawsuits. They have a right to influence our political process, thanks to Citizens United. They serve as an impenetrable shield between those owners and liability, and (thanks to those property rights) to a large extent taxation as well. Very little of this _should_ be the case, but it _is_, and because corporations have this very substantial separate existence they should also be subject to tax.

ChrisLomont wrote at 2020-10-30 00:57:32:

Should? When this wasn’t the case economies sucked. When you can lose all your possessions if an investment you made fails, no one invested money.

There’d be no mortgages, no college loans, no car loans, and zero growth. The LLC is credited with allowing modern economies to happen since for the first time people were only liable for the portion invested, not their entire life assets.

Those countries slow to take it up demonstrably lagged economically.

Go read on the history of the LLC to see how it revolutionized the world.

notacoward wrote at 2020-10-30 01:17:59:

I've read _lots_ of the history, and it's uncivil to assume otherwise. Limited liability has its place, as a deal by which something gets done that neither the government (because of resources) or the private sector (because of risk) can do alone. The classic example is shipping canals. But those corporations were given _time limited_ charters for _specific purposes_, and didn't have many of the rights since granted to corporations. You're playing an excluded middle when you assume that contempt for corporations _as they exist today_ implies contempt for corporations in any form whatsoever. I for one would be fine with corporations in their original form, without the later extensions.

> When you can lose all your possessions if an investment you made fails

This is not about an investment failure in the sense of not getting the expected returns. It's about _incurred liability_. Why should individuals not _in general_ be liable for the choices they make? Ever hear of moral hazard? Any exemptions, as with corporations in their original form, should be very limited and balanced by some public good.

> There’d be no mortgages, no college loans, no car loans, and zero growth.

That is simply not true. It's your claim, so you provide some evidence. Then I'll show what's wrong with it. Even without limited liability, those with assets will assume risks if the potential returns are commensurate. Always have, always will.

ChrisLomont wrote at 2020-10-30 12:13:37:

>Why should individuals not in general be liable for the choices they make?

To quote: "You're playing an excluded middle"

Investor invests in building. Lightning burns it down. Should that investor be legally liable for their entire worth, or just the value invested?

There is some medium ground between being liable without bound and not having any liability whatsoever. Limited Liability Corporations are just that - you can be held liable beyond the LLC if you do illegal things. But the limitation is to be liable for only the assets relevant to the business. This seems perfectly like a reasonable middle ground.

And it's listed often as one of the best inventions enabling a modern economy [2]."To the economist the

concept is essential, for without limited liability capital acquisition would be difficult indeed." [3] The historical evidence is that limited liability corporations enabled using excess capital far more efficiently than previously, which is why pretty much every country in the world has adopted it. It was clear early on that those countries not adopting it were falling behind economically.

>Even without limited liability, those with assets will assume risks if the potential returns are commensurate. Always have, always will.

Before limited liability, unlimited liability was the norm. If a merchant invested some of his profits in a ship, and the ship sank, then those with cargo on the ship could sue the merchant for all the merchant was worth, far surpassing the value the cargo was worth. This disincentivized merchants investing.

So yes, investors invest commensurate with the risk. If the risk goes up, they invest less. This was the norm. Excess capital was not being used for fear of losing not only that capital but all capital.

The Dutch invented limited liability in the 1600s in order to tap this unused capital. " The innovation in the case of the VOC was that the liability of not just the participanten but also of the bewindhebbers was limited to the paid-in capital (usually, bewindhebbers had unlimited liability). The VOC therefore was a limited liability company" [1]

This proved so successful economically that all neighboring nations adopted it soon thereafter, enabling a boom in shipping.

Now, back to mortgages, etc. Mortgages are lent by banks (more or less). Before limited liability, the bank was owned by one or more people, and they were liable for any business deals they got involved in that went wrong, and not just for the amount invested in the business, but for all their assets. If they lent a mortgage, and something was wrong, even by acts of God, then the bank and any shareholders could be sued for everything - their entire set of assets, their houses, and even their families houses.

If you don't see how this disincentivises investment or risk taking, then I don't know how else to explain it. I'm far more likely to invest $100 if I know I'll at most lost $100. If I'm possibly liable for $1,000,000, I'm not likely to ever invest that $100.

> Even without limited liability, those with assets will assume risks if the potential returns are commensurate. Always have, always will.

We agree on that. When the risks are tremendous, there will be less investment. And this is historical fact.

[1]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dutch_East_India_Company

[2]

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-40674240

[3]

https://www.bus.umich.edu/KresgeLibrary/resources/abla/abld_...

notacoward wrote at 2020-10-30 13:11:06:

> Investor invests in building. Lightning burns it down.

False example. The owner of a warehouse (clearly what you mean even though you fail to specify) would in general not have been held liable for the value of others' goods that were lost. As no less than Rothbard pointed out, contracts alone could have excluded that liability, with no need for a corporate structure. Or the owner and/or investors could have purchased insurance, which _also_ predates corporate structure by centuries. The introduction of a new legal entity, which has since been expanded to be equal (or superior to) natural persons under law, was unnecessary to secure the benefits of investment.

> Before limited liability, unlimited liability was the norm. If a merchant invested some of his profits in a ship, and the ship sank, then those with cargo on the ship could sue the merchant for all the merchant was worth, far surpassing the value the cargo was worth.

You just happened to pick an example that has been used to show why the corporate form was unnecessary.

"The corporate form emerged from economic arrangements that mirrored the concept of limited liability offered by modern corporations. One such arrangement was the commenda, a system developed in Eleventh Century Italy ... This arrangement allowed the passive partner to limit his or her liability of their investment"

Robert W. Hillman, Limited Liability in Historical Perspective

People were already investing, without corporations, in the _eleventh century_. As I said before, your claim was untrue.

> If I'm possibly liable for $1,000,000, I'm not likely to ever invest that $100.

That's why you would write a limitation into any contracts related to that investment, and/or buy insurance. Either could be overridden by acts of gross negligence (an illegal clause in a contract is void and insurance contracts have similar exceptions). If you're negligent or malicious, or authorize others to be negligent or malicious on your behalf, you damn well _should_ be liable for a proportional share of damages which could exceed the value of investments. Hint: don't do things that harm other people and you'll have nothing to worry about. Did you look up "moral hazard" yet?

ChrisLomont wrote at 2020-10-30 14:14:25:

> People were already investing, without corporations, in the eleventh century. As I said before, your claim was untrue.

Yes, they did. But investing is not a binary, all or none event. You continually fail to address that less risk means more investment. You fail to address the fact, as quoted above, “ To the economist the concept is essential, for without limited liability capital acquisition would be difficult indeed.”

For someone claiming I fail to see a middle ground, you’re doing it repeatedly.

History shows limited liability spurred economic growth, which is why it’s used in likely every of the 200 plus countries. It’s why economists often list it as one of the greatest economic inventions of all time.

As to contracts, a LLC is a contract. As to gross negligence, it violates protections of the LLC. The contracts you argue for are a LLC.

Do you claim investment would be at the same level without limited liability?

notacoward wrote at 2020-10-30 16:57:52:

> History shows limited liability spurred economic growth

Not even all forms of limited liability are equal, let alone all forms of corporate structure of which limited liability is only a part. To argue that _all_ of the extensions to corporate personhood over the last 200 years are justified because of economic growth over the same time is not only to conflate different things but to confuse correlation with causation. That's where this discussion started - not with limited liability alone, but with corporate personhood in general, so I guess we can add the fallacy of composition to your trifecta. I refuse to engage with more such sophistry.

ChrisLomont wrote at 2020-10-30 19:03:38:

> I refuse to engage with more such sophistry.

That's a good idea, since your contract argument simply reinvented limited liability. Also your black and white thinking is off: for example, I never argued about "all extensions are justified by economic growth," nor have I continually reduced positions to binary when they're clearly not. I think you're arguing against what you want me to write instead of what I've actually written.

spiderfarmer wrote at 2020-10-29 22:09:36:

Why wait for an “eventual” trickle down effect?

granzymes wrote at 2020-10-29 22:15:28:

Because you can better control the tax incidence.

https://www.milkenreview.org/articles/the-progressive-case-f...

https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/10/why-we-...

MrPowers wrote at 2020-10-29 22:22:23:

Yes, and the deadweight loss of taxation. Taxing income is economically inefficient (because huge resource investments are needed for compliance).

It's more efficient to tax land, gas, and soda. See Pigovian taxation for more details:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pigovian_tax

triceratops wrote at 2020-10-30 00:41:23:

Why not both?

talkingtab wrote at 2020-10-29 22:20:14:

OMG. Apple as well as other large companies are sitting on billions of dollars. In other words they are not paying reasonable taxes, nor are they spending the money so that it can or would be taxed.

MrPowers wrote at 2020-10-29 22:30:24:

The US government wrote the Section 482 tax regulations. Corporations followed the regulations the government wrote. The government provided tons of examples on how taxpayers could follow their rules in the tax guidelines.

I've spend hundreds of hours of my life reading the section 482 regs. Multinational companies need to comply with these. Never really understood the vilification of companies that are following the rules.

notacoward wrote at 2020-10-30 00:46:40:

> Never really understood the vilification of companies that are following the rules.

Your statement is based on a false axiom. Much of the ire is at companies _not_ following the rules. It's just really really hard to untangle all of the shells and subsidiaries and internal transfers of a modern medium-or-larger corporation, so even when they do get caught they end up paying pennies on the dollar of what they owe. Or nothing. Did you hear the news this week about a certain Mr. Trump, who paid _zero_ taxes on hundreds of millions of dollars of forgiven loans (i.e. gifts)?

But hey, let's pretend for the sake of argument everyone does play by the rules. Does that make everything OK? Of course not. Those rules are a sociopolitical construct, and do you know who has an outsize influence on what those rules are? Why, the very same corporate "persons" they apply to! From lobbying to regulatory capture to the "revolving door" to outright graft, corporations use their assets to secure laws more favorable to them than any of us mere humans could get. And they make a _great_ return on that investment. Several hundred percent _minimum_ IIRC. Most of it's legal (true graft is only a tiny fraction of it) but that doesn't make it OK.

qgrgergfqgfev wrote at 2020-10-29 22:25:31:

sitting on money for companies of that size is not a bad idea, most would have gone bankrupt during this crisis if they had not done this.

mushufasa wrote at 2020-10-29 22:11:19:

Imagine the process of assessing and collecting a tax from a single entity.

Now imagine the process of assessing and collecting taxes from 93,000 entities, including enforcing penalties for people who inadequately report or pay.

granzymes wrote at 2020-10-29 22:20:53:

In this example, the 93,000 entities are people who are already filing tax returns every year.

mbesto wrote at 2020-10-29 23:46:11:

Not taxing corporations sounds controversial on the surface but is actually not a terrible idea in practice. Just push the taxes down to the employee and you could theoretically collect more taxes.

They're going to dodge it anyway so all you're doing is creating jobs in other jurisdictions by attempting to tax them.

jgalt212 wrote at 2020-10-29 22:12:55:

That's a very sound argument if capital gains and wages were taxed at the same rate.

jkinudsjknds wrote at 2020-10-29 22:19:35:

Apple's $200B vault of cash might disagree for conventional assumptions around the word "eventually". A corporate tax rate also encourages investment (use it or lose it), and will trend towards a greater share going to employees than shareholders all things being equal.

bhaile wrote at 2020-10-29 22:26:20:

Per the PDF.

"Our third quarter 2020 effective tax rate was 4%, which reflects a one-time income tax benefit of $913 million related to the effects of a tax election to capitalize and amortize certain research and development expenses for U.S. income tax purposes.Excluding this tax benefit, our effective tax rate would have been 11 percentage points higher and our diluted EPS would havebeen $0.31 lower."

kortilla wrote at 2020-10-29 21:22:16:

Effective tax rate in a single year isn’t too meaningful when they might be carrying over losses from previous years.

xmprt wrote at 2020-10-29 21:24:22:

You're saying Facebook - a company that has been profitable for many years - is still carrying over losses from previous years?

vmception wrote at 2020-10-29 21:37:05:

Super easy to do when you invest into growth and borrow against that future growth. When borrowing, like in the bond market, it is always easy to spend more of other people’s money than the amount you made that year. The market only looks at revenues and hope they increase so you can always keep borrowing greater amounts if they do increase. The government looks at net income and also extends credits for certains ways that the revenue was generated.

The government incentivizes transactions, when you don't conduct enough transactions you pay the government instead.

The people decided that taxes were too hard to comprehend, which isnt true for all of us, and vilify anyone who does comprehend. The collective understanding and reading comprehension is so low that they cant even effectively change the law, getting their representatives to just tax people that earn the same way they do more. Congratulations you taxed the most effective _wage workers_ more you did it!

Its just another perspective on reality that also happens to be more accurate and effective.

bonestormii_ wrote at 2020-10-29 21:54:17:

I mean, there is a growing consensus that corporations need to pay more taxes, yes. I don't know if the public generally "vilifies anyone who understands taxes". Some certainly do. But I would point out that those two things are separate and distinct from one another.

I think there are greater obstacles for the collective of ordinary people being able to effectively change the law than reading comprehension, and one of those things is the nearly limitless capacity of large corporations to lobby government. The more they lobby, the less they pay, the more they earn, the more they lobby, the less they pay, the more they earn, the more they lobby, the less they pay, the more they earn.

You could add into that cycle "...the less money is available to fund the government, the less money is available for education, the dumber the people get, the less capable they become at managing their own government, etc...". Never minding of course that schools are largely funded by property taxes (stupid IMO), it still affects the overall availability of public funding.

Corporations should pay more because the tax code should be written to require it, not out of dumbness or virtuousness. The cycle of wealth inequality must be broken, and it's not a simple thing to actually implement a solution.

vmception wrote at 2020-10-29 22:23:26:

Eh 21% corporate tax vs 35% vs more doesn’t really make a difference when still tapping into the credit markets and spending bond holder money, the expenses will still outpace the net income - and nothing about that should change it doesnt make sense to

The things you said _also_ happen

Governments also need a new revenue source.

100 years of passive income taxation while they too borrow against future revenue growth and we are to act like it’s their only option?

bonestormii_ wrote at 2020-10-29 23:42:34:

What would an appropriate revenue source be? I don't really think generating revenue should be the focus of the government as much as facilitating the growth of private industry through smart regulation, and then taxing them. The government is not a company. It shouldn't generally compete with private industry where it can be avoided. It's a meta organization that should focus on gluing the country together. It represents the people; the people should fund it; and it should support the people in doing so. It is an ancient model, and being a facilitator of private growth is not really all that passive.

vmception wrote at 2020-10-29 23:52:51:

And yet it overspends on those goals and can’t do them effectively

None of the ideology matters if it can’t budget and where we are now, no taxation will fix its budget unless it resorts to full on expropriation of property

bonestormii_ wrote at 2020-10-30 00:17:22:

I'm skeptical that no level of taxation can support the government. Bill Clinton was able to balance the budget, and that wasn't _so_ long ago.

The government collects trillions of dollars a year in taxes as it is. A significant percentage increase to the level of taxation against top earners would make a huge difference, and it is difficult to fathom what operation the government could run to remotely approach that level of increased revenue generation. What do you have in mind?

vmception wrote at 2020-10-30 01:09:24:

It would have to both increase its revenue sources and decrease its spending

Something is going to have to get nationalized, big bad word oh noes

bonestormii_ wrote at 2020-10-30 16:51:49:

Ha. I like you.

You see nationalization of industry as a pathway to revenue growth? I guess it makes sense, but somehow I always think about industries like healthcare being nationalized as a means of providing service, which is likely to cost the government _more_ money

What industry would be profitable and appropriate for nationalization?

ghouse wrote at 2020-10-29 21:37:50:

It's important to distinguish between operating profits, and taxable profits.

They can have positive operating profits, but tax losses. For example, Congress recently (3-4 years ago?) changed the tax code to allow companies to expense, instead of amortize, capital equipment.

RobRivera wrote at 2020-10-29 21:28:17:

I think yes, there is no ambiguity that is being communicated.

Furthermore, it is common knowledge that sufficient corporate structuring efforts can permit this despite a track record for profits. Where is your confusion?

seancoleman wrote at 2020-10-29 21:24:27:

For sure, and FB notes amortized investments bringing this figure down. The tax code rewards corporations for R&D investments. I think it's working. The optics are terrible though.

ghouse wrote at 2020-10-29 21:31:47:

> The tax code rewards corporations for R&D investments. I think it's working.

I'm fairly confident FB would be making R&D investments regardless of the reward from the tax code. But for change in behavior due to the tax code, the tax credit is a windfall.

azinman2 wrote at 2020-10-29 22:00:47:

Except the tax code isn’t written for Fb, it’s written for everyone. And R&D generally speaking has been underinvested for a long time in the US (for short term financial reasons), ultimately making it less competitive in the long term. If there are ways to incentivize companies for doing more R&D it seems like tax code is one of many levers to use.

seanmcdirmid wrote at 2020-10-29 22:09:26:

I'm not sure companies like FB or Google would be viable at all if R&D investments weren't tax deductible. If employee salaries weren't tax deductible either (which is the main expense for R&D at these companies), it would create a lot of incentive not to hire people and not to do R&D.

Additionally, that money is being taxed in the end via income tax at a comparable rate.

willcipriano wrote at 2020-10-29 23:31:33:

24% seems to be the top 0.01% of taxpayers federal tax burden, not the average and it does not include state and local taxes or property taxes.

> According to this data, in 2017, the top 1 percent of taxpayers paid an average federal income tax rate of 26.76 percent. The bottom 99 percent, or all the rest of the taxpayers, paid an average rate of 11.4 percent. If we look at just the bottom 50 percent, the average rate paid by these taxpayers is even lower, at 4 percent.

> At the very top end of the AGI distribution, we see average rates decrease slightly, but remain significantly higher than the average rates paid by those lower on the income distribution: 25 percent for the top 0.01 percent and 24 percent for the top 0.001 percent.

https://taxfoundation.org/average-federal-income-tax-rates-2...

.

skinnymuch wrote at 2020-10-30 01:41:21:

I could be wrong but that blame will still be partially on this vague and seemingly bias non-profit.

Does federal income tax include or not include FICA? Presumably not. In which case the bottom 90%+ are paying some number of 10-15% more per year. Then the top few percent are paying less extra until you get to the top 1% and beyond where they are paying a fraction extra.

That tax alone completely invalidates the article and makes it seem incredibly biased.

willcipriano wrote at 2020-10-30 02:50:33:

If you have better numbers I'd like to see them. 24% didn't seem right to me so I wanted to see where that figure came from. Low income households pay negative federal income tax rates (7.65% for FICA included) after the earned income credit is applied. You can make a case that the 7.65% paid by the employer also lowers wages, but if you want to discuss second order effects like that you have to also get into the weeds that taxes on corporations increase the costs of goods and and are a indirect tax on consumers.

Calculating the actual rate is almost impossible as you'd need to factor in property taxes, gasoline taxes, sales taxes, costs involved in vehicle registration and other permits and so on.

Even then people disagree on what a is a tax and what isn't and argue that some of those things shouldn't be included. For example, the individual mandate in the affordable care act levied what was called a fine to people who did not have health insurance the previous year (Individual Shared Responsibility Payment) but in real terms this wasn't very different than a tax and was collected by the IRS.

Similarly, some would claim Social Security and Medicare payments are not taxes due to the fact that those programs directly provide services to the party who paid into them. This is also the justification for phasing them out over certain income thresholds as after you have contributed a certain amount to the program you are "paid up" as it were.

My point is in order to discuss this first we must agree on what constitutes a tax in the first place and that is much easier said than done. If we take the all non voluntary payments to any government and their second order effects route we are probably talking about a rate of over 50% on average, however under that same definition Facebook is paying much more than 4%.

rhacker wrote at 2020-10-29 21:49:37:

Well, most of the expenditures are going to pay employees that pay 24% (or probably 34% with state taxes added).

huntermonk wrote at 2020-10-29 21:56:51:

Very true. The engineers in California (most of us) pay 40%.

leetcrew wrote at 2020-10-29 21:43:08:

maybe so, but it's kind of silly to compare corporate taxes with taxes paid by individuals. capital gains vs. income tax would be at least a little better.

calvinmorrison wrote at 2020-10-29 21:22:39:

We don't typically tax Democratic Party SuperPAC's posing as social media platforms.

hobs wrote at 2020-10-29 21:29:36:

We have active reporting that facebook undermined liberal media orgs.

Is that what the wing of the Democratic party does?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/media/facebook-news...

husgfdsr3 wrote at 2020-10-29 21:44:02:

> "The Courier sites — for example, UpNorthNews in Wisconsin or Gander in Michigan — aren’t allowed on Facebook’s “news tab,” which is where users find a concentration of journalism, or what passes for it. In this election week, they also are banned from “boosting” their content with advertising.

> That’s because their funding mostly comes from Acronym, a nonprofit with deep ties to Democratic politics that has received criticism for its lack of transparency; the Center for Responsive Politics, among others, calls it a “dark money” group."

How is this controversial?

aplummer wrote at 2020-10-29 21:29:18:

Is there really a place on hacker news for accounts that constantly interject inane politics?

djeiasbsbo wrote at 2020-10-29 21:29:06:

What is a SuperPAC? And would mind explaining what you're talking about?

kennywinker wrote at 2020-10-29 21:43:06:

not OP, but a superpac is a US political group separate from a candidate. They collect money from random sources in a very unaccountable way, and spend money to get candidates elected or promote specific ideas. The "Super" comes from the fact that after the "citizens united" supreme court ruling these groups have basically no restrictions on the amount of money they can raise or tracking of how they spend it - essentially allowing billionaires and the super rich to buy as much influence as they want.

lanevorockz wrote at 2020-10-29 22:09:16:

Of course Facebook is making money ... Manipulating the election is very profitable ... Nobody bothered ... of let's be ruled by dodgy algorithms until we die.

MentallyRetired wrote at 2020-10-29 21:33:08:

Let's talk about Zuckerberg wanting to rewrite Section 230.

jgalt212 wrote at 2020-10-29 22:22:03:

Any word on what per cent of ad revenue is on FB properties and what per cent is off?

purple_ferret wrote at 2020-10-29 21:44:34:

I did my part by clicking on every Trump ad sent my way

kcmastrpc wrote at 2020-10-29 21:02:44:

TLDL?

seshagiric wrote at 2020-10-29 21:15:06:

Here is a take. FB seems to be doing pretty well:

a. Both DAU and MAU continue to grow. FB now has 2.7B MAU and 1.8B DAU. Combining across all their products (WhatsApp, Insta..) the DAP is 2.54B

b. Ads is the source of income and FB makes $39.6 per user in the US&CA and $7.89 avg. world wide

c. Operating expenses are kind of stabilizing which is a good thing for FB.

The presentation is a good easy read. I like how FB define the metrics like DAP etc.

leesec wrote at 2020-10-29 21:21:13:

>Combining across all their products (WhatsApp, Insta..) the DAP is 2.54B

Incredible, a third of the world uses a Zuckerburg product every single day.

darkwizard42 wrote at 2020-10-29 21:49:56:

Gets even crazier when you subtract China's population from that because they can't access FB there!

croddin wrote at 2020-10-29 21:21:25:

Wow so 1/3 off all people on earth use at least one FB product every day.

darkwizard42 wrote at 2020-10-29 21:50:33:

Yep, and if you think about the lack of access to China's population, they are almost at like 1/2 of their "addressable" market!!

bogrollben wrote at 2020-10-29 21:37:22:

The $39.6 per US/CA user is per quarter, correct?

gherkinnn wrote at 2020-10-29 21:10:39:

The PDF:

https://s21.q4cdn.com/399680738/files/doc_financials/2020/q3...

Teknoman117 wrote at 2020-10-29 21:12:31:

Is that "Too Long Didn't Listen" or "Too Lazy Didn't Listen"?

Serious question. I'm also in the boat of I'm usually in a position to read something, far less commonly in a position to listen to something.

kcmastrpc wrote at 2020-10-29 21:17:04:

Yea, I looked at the PDF, but I was asking for a summary, which I got. Thanks.

mobilio wrote at 2020-10-29 21:12:34:

Still profitable.

airstrike wrote at 2020-10-29 21:11:47:

Link to presentation which is easier to digest

https://s21.q4cdn.com/399680738/files/doc_financials/2020/q3...

Edited to correct the link... I blame my mistake on how the design of their IR page totally guided my eye to the top of the list of "past events"...

https://investor.fb.com/investor-events/default.aspx

isatty wrote at 2020-10-29 21:15:57:

Wrong link. Correct link to Q3

https://s21.q4cdn.com/399680738/files/doc_financials/2020/q3...

dna_polymerase wrote at 2020-10-29 21:14:07:

The link is for Q2.