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@gritty have you done a distribution analysis of your rng for farkle? I could just be exceptionally unlucky but the number of times I get farkled when rolling with 3 dice in play feels disproportionately high. The odds of getting just a single 1 or 5 is 30% for a single die so with 3 dice in play there should be a pretty low risk of a farkle given there are additional scoring options with 3 dice.

Posted in: s/farkle

🐐 drh3xx

Jun 27 · 2 months ago

8 Comments ↓

🐐 drh3xx [OP] · Jun 27 at 12:25:

Correction 33.3333333% not 30%

🍀 gritty [mod] · Jun 27 at 13:27:

no, but I am using python's random.systemRandom function, which from what I understand is about as good as you can get without getting more complex with the cryptographic libraries.

🍀 gritty [mod] · Jun 27 at 13:28:

anecdotally, when playing with real dice, I do farkle a bit with 3 or more dice.

📡 Queen_City_Nerd · Jun 27 at 18:15:

To quote A Knight's Tale:

Wat: I'm going to lose everything!

Chaucer: That's why they call it gambling.....

🐐 drh3xx [OP] · Jun 28 at 16:54:

Just unlucky I guess. It regularly happens 3 or so times out of the 10 rounds.

🍀 gritty [mod] · Jun 28 at 17:23:

I may mess around with another number generator but that'd be down the road

👺 daruma · Jul 01 at 05:53:

yeah sometime the rnd seems to be stuck in some pattern, but after playing for a while I don't see these patterns anymore. It's interesting how my human mind can be doubtful of a randomness because it's a machine, compare to how I feel 'safer' with dice. Even playing with dice, I would see patterns happens! Somedays feels like I'm luckier!

🥜 smallpatatas · Jul 06 at 18:52:

if my math is right, 3 dice should result in a farkle about 28% of the time:

no 1s or 5s about 30% of the time (2/3 ** 3)

minus the odds of a triple-2,3,4, or 6 about 2% (2/3 * 1/36)