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<title>FAFO Report 151</title>

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<H2>Infant and Child Mortality</H2>

<i>The rest of this chapter is more technical than the others. Some readers
may therefore prefer to go directly to the concluding sections.</i>

<P>
<b>Introduction</b><BR>
Infant and child mortality rates (IMR and CMR) can be interpreted as measures
of the well-being of children in any country. Usually, the values of these
rates reflect the levels of health and socio-economic status of the population
they are used to describe. These two measures of mortality are watched closely
world-wide by policy-makers and national program managers. As indicators
of general health status, health and children organizations such as WHO
and UNICEF have introduced programmes in different countries to reduce these
rates at various points in time.

<P>
Since 1967, nationwide health surveys have rarely been conducted in the
occupied territories. The Israeli-controlled Palestinian health sector suffers
from lack of estimates of important health indicators. Infant mortality
estimates vary greatly depending on the source providing these estimates.
While some Palestinian professionals claim that IMR exceeds 70 deaths in
1000 live births, the Israeli authorities claim that this rate is in the
lower twenties.

<P>
The Israeli Ministry of Health (IMOH) publishes annual figures for registered
infant deaths per registered live births. However, the rate of non-reporting
of infant deaths and births is not known. UNRWA similarly publishes registered
infant births and deaths. Table 2.2<a href="2_notes.html#21"><sup>21</sup></a> shows the official reported infant
mortality rates (IMR) (1970-1990), indicating a steady decline since 1970.
The rates for the West Bank exclude Arab Jerusalem.
<p>

<i>Table 2.2 Official Israeli reported infant mortality rates for the occupied territories, selected years</i><br>

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<tr align=center><td></td><td colspan=2>Reported Infant Mortality Rates<a href="2_notes.html#23"><sup>23</sup></a></td></tr>
<tr align=center><td></td><td>West<br>Bank</td><td>Gaza<br>Strip</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>1970</td><td>--</td><td>86.0</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>1975</td><td>38.1</td><td>69.3</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>1980</td><td>28.3</td><td>43.0</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>1985</td><td>25.1</td><td>33.4</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>1990</td><td>22.0</td><td>26.1</td></tr>

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<P>
Indirect demographic methods have been used by different researchers to
estimate IMR in small non-representative localities of the occupied territories
(table 2.3). In addition, Vermund et al. (1985) have analyzed official records
of infant deaths to estimate under-reporting and produced a further estimate
of infant mortality rates. Using official records and applying a demographic
model, Vermund et al. (1985) have estimated an IMR for 1982 of 53-63 for
the West Bank and 53-56 for the Gaza Strip.
<p>

<i>Table 2.3 Results of some local studies of infant mortality using indirect methods</i><br>

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<tr align=center><td></td><td>Sample Size of Ever Married Women</td><td>IMR</td><td>Year</td><td>Reference</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>3 villages in<br> Ramallah area</td><td>272</td><td>91</td><td>1981</td><td>Giacaman (1989)</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>Biddu village,<br> Ramallah area</td><td>311</td><td>49</td><td>1986</td><td>UPMRC/BZUCHU<br>(1987)</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>20 villages in<br> Hebron area</td><td>380</td><td>97</td><td>1988</td><td>Shahin et al. (1989)</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>Khan Younis</td><td>--</td><td>70</td><td>1982</td><td>Dahlan (1987)</td></tr>
<tr align=center><td>Beach Camp and<br> Ash-Shajaiyeh</td><td>--</td><td>32</td><td>1982</td><td>Scott (1989)</td></tr>

</table>

<P>
At the national level, the only recent estimate of IMR for the total population
in the occupied territories is the one obtained through a multi-stage clustered
sample survey carried out by UNICEF and the Jerusalem Family Planning and
Protection Association (JFPPA) in the winter of 1991 and 1992 (Abu-Libdeh
et al. 1992). Estimates of the probability of dying before exact age 1,
between ages 1 and 4 and before exact age 5 for the total population, West
Bank, Gaza Strip, Urban, Rural, Refugee Camps, North West Bank, Middle West
Bank, and South West Bank were provided for both sexes combined and for
each sex alone. According to the results of this survey, IMR for 1988 is
estimated at 41 and U5MR is estimated at 55 deaths per one thousand live
births.

<P>
FALCOT 92 has included a standard module questionnaire for indirect estimation
of IMR and U5MR using the Brass (1964) methods and their variants (1983).
In this section, we derive an estimate of IMR and U5MR using two approaches.
In the first approach, we use data on children ever born (CEB) and children
surviving (CS) classified by 5-year age groups of their mothers (15-19 years
through 45-49 years). In the second approach, we use data on children ever
born (CEB) and children surviving (CS), classified by 5-year duration of
marriage groups of their mothers (0-4 years through 30-34 years). Due to
the sensitivity of estimators to sampling and non-sampling errors, we start
subsection 2 by pointing out some limitations of the data set. In subsection
3 we investigate the quality of data used for estimation. Data quality assessment
is necessary to make sure that our estimates are seen in the proper context.
We then proceed in subsection 4 to estimate q(1) and q(5) and highlight
their trends during the last decade. In subsection 5, we compare the results
obtained with those of UNICEF  and JFPPA (Abu-libdeh et. al. 1992) and of
neighbouring countries.

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