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June 10 2020
Book review: The Collapse of 2020 - Kirkpatrick Sale - (c) 2020 [0]

Gonna blame the drop-off in postings on "summertime lull" which is
at least partially true as I've been busy with the usual house
maintenance tasks and trying to find places to hike that aren't
teaming with stressed out Denver urbanites; regional parks are
estimated to be seeing a 40% increase in usage due to fallout from
responses to the COVID-19 pandemic.  Couple that with what looks
a lot like the race riots of the 1960s during an election year
featuring a pair of old white digital rapists and you get the
makings of a rather atypical Summer.  But.. from within the great
isles of Home Depot you'd never guess the country is teetering on
the edge of a second great depression.  The parking lot is nearly
always full and people seem to be spending money on home and garden.
Perhaps extra storage for all those rolls of toilet paper?

 - -

I've added a couple of new links to this site.  The first is a news
aggregator called The Automatic Earth [1] which has been around a
while and mostly focuses on chronicling the financial aspects of
our predicament, though lately there has been quite a bit on the
corona virus situation given the huge financial ramifications of
addressing it (or not).

The other link is the 'newculture' YouTube channel featuring a nice
collection of thoughtful interviews/discussions led by Arron Wisser
[2] of Local Future, a non-profit based out of Michigan.  Apparently
Aaron was active in the Peak Oil scene a decade or so ago.  Lately
he has been doing some marathon sessions with Nicole Foss [3], a
long time peak oiler and promoter of more resilient living. Segments
of the last couple weeks are definitely worth checking out.

 - -

Review of 'The Collapse of 2020' by Kirkpatrick Sales

This is a very thin volume, more pamphlet than book.  Fortunately
Sales is a seasoned writer and gets his points across in under 50
pages, references included. Given the current headlines one might
think this some sort of response but in actuality it's origin dates
back to 1995 and a bet Sales made with Keven Kelly, then editor of
Wired magazine.  Seems Kelly took issue with some statements Sales
made regarding the likely dire outcome of an ever-expanding/consuming
industrial civilization in his 1995 book 'Rebels against the Future'
which tells the story of the infamous Luddites.  Kelly, clearly a
techno-utopian, requested an interview, afterwards grilling Sales
for exactly how and when a civilizational collapse might occur.
Sales blurted out 2020 (probably based on the Limits of Growth
standard model curves) to which Kelly countered with a $1,000 bet
that 2020 would arrive with none of the doom and gloom predicted.

Fast forward to late 2019 and already signs of trouble were popping
up.  Sales chronicles these in subsequent chapters, laying out the
evidence of the environmental, political, financial and cultural
collapses currently unfolding.  And all this _before_ COVID-19 and
the protests/riots/crackdowns stemming from the killing of George
Floyd, Breonna Taylor, and Ahmaud Arbery by current and former
police officers.  Sales concludes stating that he may have technically
lost the bet (civilization hasn't yet collapsed) but not by much.
It's unclear whether Kelly has made any claim on the decades old
bet, perhaps being preoccupied with more pressing matters.

The actual evidence Sales lays out isn't anything new but it is
concisely laid out.  Sales is a regular contributor at CounterPunch
[4], an independent leftist news magazine; his November 8th, 2019
article is basically the intro chapter of this short volume.  Sam
Mitchel of Collapse Chronicles (YT) also has a related hour-long
interview with Sales [5].

 - -

[0] https://outskirtspress.com/thecollapseof2020
[1] https://www.theautomaticearth.com
[2] https://www.youtube.com/user/newculture
[3] http://www.foss.blog/
[4] https://www.counterpunch.org/author/kirkpatrick-sale/
[5] https://youtu.be/POvxSS5xyC4