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Sound and software - Tech giants will probably dominate speakers and headphones

2017-12-05 11:54:38

Smartspeakers and wireless ear buds are sending the audio industry horizontal

MUSIC lovers do not typically go to the opera to buy a speaker. But at the

Palais Garnier in Paris they now can: Devialet, a local maker of high-end

speakers, on November 29th opened a store in the 19th-century music venue to

sell its most sophisticated product, called Phantom. Looking like a dinosaur

egg, this supercomputer for sound (priced at $3,000) is considered one of the

best wireless speakers available. It also comes with a dedicated streaming

service for live performances, including some at the Palais Garnier.

This Phantom at the opera is the latest example of how digital technology is

transforming speakers, headsets and other audio devices. Once mostly tethered

to hi-fi systems, they are now wireless, increasingly intelligent and capable

of supporting other services. As a result, the industry s economics are

changing.

Only a few years ago the audio industry was highly fragmented, says Simon

Bryant of Futuresource, a market-research firm. Hundreds of brands offered

their wares, both premium and basic, often with identical components. As with

other device businesses, the industry was a vertical one: if speakers used

any software at all, it was specific to the product.

All this started to change with the advent of smartphones, which made music

more portable by connecting music-streaming services such as Spotify with

wireless speakers. Smartphones have also given a boost to headphones, which are

becoming ever more versatile, with features now ranging from cancelling out

ambient noise to real-time translation.

These new possibilities have proved hugely popular: the global market for audio

devices has rocketed in recent years (see chart). According to Futuresource,

only about 200,000 wireless speakers were sold in 2009; this year the number is

expected to be 70m. Headphones have been on a similar tear.

Smartspeakers, which were pioneered in 2015 by Amazon with the Echo, will be

even more disruptive. Nearly 24m of these devices, essentially voice-controlled

remote controls for everything from music to lights, will be sold worldwide in

2017, estimates Strategy Analytics, another market researcher a number it

expects to quadruple by 2022. Once households have one, they buy more to spread

them throughout their homes (apparently nearly a tenth now live in bathrooms).

Smartspeakers are pushing the audio-device industry to become horizontal . The

voice that emanates from Amazon s Echo or Google s Home is not just a digital

assistant, but a platform for all kinds of services, of which most are

developed by other firms. Alexa, as Amazon s version is called, already boasts

more than 25,000 skills , as the firm calls such services. These range from

ordering goods and finding a mobile phone to turning up the heating and (early

next year) asking The Economist for the latest on any given topic. Similarly,

wireless ear buds, such as Apple s AirPods and The Dash by Bragi, a startup,

may become so clever that more and more people will leave them in all day, for

instance to monitor their health or for constant access to a digital assistant.

Conventional speaker firms are trying to catch up. In September at IFA, a trade

show in Berlin, booths of various makers were adorned with logos of Amazon or

Google, signalling that they already have or will integrate a digital assistant

in their products. But if the history of the smartphone is any guide, such

platforms will turn the hardware into a commodity, with most of the profits

going to the providers of software and services. Having sold 75% of all

smartspeakers (at low prices that are thought to be close to the cost of making

them), Amazon is now the world s biggest speaker brand. Incumbents will also

have to contend with Apple, despite the delay of its smartspeaker until early

next year.

The dominance of a few platforms is not a forgone conclusion, says Mr Bryant of

Futuresource. More specialised ones are likely to thrive, too like Microsoft s

Cortana, which is good at understanding business jargon. But some audio firms

feel the need to branch out. Sonos, which pioneered wireless speakers a decade

ago, now wants to become an ber-platform, integrating all voice assistants and

streaming services, so consumers who like Sonos speakers have a choice. Harman,

which in March was bought by Samsung Electronics, has similar plans for

entertainment systems in cars.

And then there are companies which do not build their own speakers, but offer

technology to enhance other products. Dolby and DTS, for instance, are busy

creating software for what is called immersive audio . Combining several

speakers, Dolby s Atmos technology first introduced in cinemas, but now

available for home use already places sounds in space. The next step is

separate personal sound zones for each listener in a room, in effect creating

invisible speakers.

So why does Devialet, which last year got 100m ($106m) in fresh capital, think

it can succeed by selling expensive high-end speakers? The answer is that it

wants to be a platform, too. The speakers are mostly meant to demonstrate its

technology, in the hope that other companies will integrate it into their

products. The first example, launched last month, is a soundbar (a slim

loudspeaker) it has developed together with Sky, a broadcaster. If you see

yourself just as an audio company, says Quentin Sanni , Devialet s chief

executive, your days are numbered.

This article appeared in the Business section of the print edition under the

headline "Sound and software"