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Capitalism confined - Privatisation in China

2011-09-06 11:06:47

Chinese companies, like companies everywhere, do best when they are privately

run. In China, however, the state is never far away

IN 1992 two Chinese cities, one just south of Beijing, the other just north of

Hong Kong, were in desperate shape even by the standards of a desperately poor

country. Their municipally run companies were in danger of bankrupting not only

themselves but the cities too. Zhucheng, near Beijing, was best known as the

birthplace of Jiang Qing, Mao Zedong s despotic, doctrinaire fourth wife, who

died in jail in 1991. Two-thirds of its revenues were being eaten by corporate

losses. Shunde, a small city in Guangdong, was buried in debt.

Meanwhile, the authorities in Beijing were becoming concerned that the state

banking system, already creaking under the weight of bad debt, would be unable

to bear even more. With the quiet acquiescence of the central government,

Zhucheng and Shunde ignored doctrine, old laws and 40 years of failed policies

in search of a better approach.

In a carefully constructed phrase subsequently endorsed, in 1993, by the

all-powerful State Council, the two cities engaged in gaizhi, which means

changing the system and implies the diversification of ownership. Put more

simply, in words that even now the Chinese government cannot bring itself to

utter, they started to privatise many of their companies. They thus began one

of the Chinese state s first attempts to change its relationship with its

enterprises. Jiang Qing would not have approved.

At first Shunde and Zhucheng turned their firms over to employees. In 1997,

again before a broader shift in national policy, the two began selling

companies directly to existing managements. Shunde, in particular, thrived. Two

of the companies that emerged, a maker of bottle caps and a trader of duck

feathers, are now among the world s largest appliance manufacturers, Midea and

Galanz. Other factories have spread like wild flowers among what were once rice

fields and fish farms.

Early signs of success led to modification of the rules on the ownership of

companies. In 1995 the State Council endorsed a policy to retain the large,

release the small . In 1997 it approved a huge shift of ownership from the

central government to municipalities with the explicit goal of expediting

privatisations. These changes provided the foundation for the dramatic efforts

in the late 1990s of Zhu Rongji, the then prime minister, that are reputed to

have remade China s economy.

The short version is that Mr Zhu closed thousands of companies and broke the

iron rice bowl , a guarantee of living standards for the masses, in an effort

to shake China out of economic lethargy. Between 1995 and 2001 the number of

state-owned and state-controlled enterprises fell from 1.2m to 468,000 and the

number of jobs in the urban state sector fell by 36m or from 59% to 32% of

total urban employment.

A longer version is that the process involved many more companies and has never

ceased, and that the method has changed constantly. As some companies were

transformed or closed, others were created, with various forms of state

backing. The result has been non-stop experimentation with incentives and

structures.

Privatisation remains a thorny issue in a country where private property became

a constitutional right only in 2004 and where the right to own productive

assets remains unclear. Many vibrant, purely private companies have sprung up

despite this uncertainty, but take care to stay out of the limelight.

Meanwhile, China s various experiments with privatisation have created several

categories of companies which still have close ties to the state (see table).

A taxonomy of privatisation

The first category comprises the vast banks and transport, energy and telecoms

providers that were, and to some extent still are, government ministries.

Gordon Orr, chairman of McKinsey s China business, calls this version 1.0 of

the modern state-controlled company. Although these entities have gained a lot

of attention outside China, they account for perhaps 1% of privatised

companies.

The relationship between the state and most other businesses is less direct and

more subtle. A second category contains joint ventures between private (often

foreign) companies and firms backed by the state. A third consists of companies

that are largely in private rather than state ownership, but in which the state

remains influential nevertheless. Recently another class has started to emerge,

in which the state plays the role of a venture capitalist: local governments

invest in or create funds that back companies that they hope will bring both

jobs and financial returns.

Start with the behemoths. Most of these huge companies have been turned into

vaguely conventional-looking businesses. They have been restructured,

recapitalised and rebranded. A minority of their equity has been sold to the

public and is traded on the stockmarket. They have recognisable corporate

structures with boards of directors, chief executives, chief financial officers

and sundry other chiefs; and they publish financial reports with carefully

presented accounts and dull letters from the bosses. They are steadily climbing

up global rankings, symbols of China s growing industrial heft.

However, few contend that they are truly private companies. The proportion of

shares issued is typically no more than 30%. They receive subsidised loans from

state-controlled banks, they are given land cheaply and they usually enjoy a

sheltered monopoly or oligopoly. Control by the government is never far away.

The state appoints their senior managers including a Communist Party committee

headed by a party secretary.

Often, say insiders, these companies doings reflect not so much the explicit

orders of the government as managers anticipation of what will earn its

endorsement. An ambitious manager s career prospects depend on the party s

Organisation Department, which oversees official appointments and company

bosses frequently move on to senior jobs in the ministries that oversee them.

Direct control may have been severed, but rule by inferred command continues.

This model provides the government with continuing control of enterprises

critical to the functioning of the economy. In particular, it facilitates the

execution of big capital projects such as high-speed railways, steel plants,

telecommunications networks and ports.

However, this comes at a cost. There are plenty of opportunities for graft. A

close relationship between regulators and operating companies can mean that

problems (with safety, as well as economic matters) are overlooked. The lack of

commercial orientation frequently means that too many employees throughout the

company are unproductive. At the top, there are often cushy, well-paid jobs for

the children of the well connected. And the commercial and regulatory

privileges of these companies crowd out private alternatives.

At home, it is hard to argue that any of the really big Chinese firms the

banks, the telecoms firms and petrol companies draw customers because of any

special appeal rather than their ubiquity and a lack of competitors. Abroad,

despite their size, they are yet to become the global champions that the

Chinese government would like them to be, even though the Chinese have sought

for many years to learn from foreign corporations. This may be partly because

the Chinese giants ties to the state limit the extent to which they can

imitate foreign multinationals, with senior managers from many countries.

In the late 1990s John Thompson, then head of IBM s international operations,

and some colleagues attending a conference in Beijing were asked to visit Jiang

Zemin, the president of China. Mr Jiang asked the IBMers how such a big company

was managed centrally. He also asked how corporations and the American courts

dealt with corruption a worry, said Mr Jiang, when Chinese ministries were

being privatised. Some months later, Mr Thompson recalls, Mr Jiang asked Lou

Gerstner, IBM s chief executive, if the company would play host to a delegation

of newly minted Chinese chief executives and some ministers. The group spent

several days at IBM s executive-education centre in New York state. They then

visited other organisations to learn more about how American capitalism was run

and regulated.

Yet there was an unbridgeable gap between IBM and China s behemoths. In most

successful global companies, a priority for executives from the home country is

to prepare local managers who may one day accede to senior jobs at

headquarters. The company becomes international inside as well as out. But

because the Chinese giants are still in essence tied to the state, their

leaders must remain Chinese.

Evidence of how these entities have performed is muddy because so much of their

environment is distorted: for example, given cheap enough money and strong

enough protection for their franchise, even corporate sluggards can show good

profits and return on equity. However, in 2006 three Chinese academics began a

vast study of the performance of privatised companies, summarised in a recent

working paper*. Jie Gan of Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business, Yan Guo of

Peking University and Chenggang Xu of the University of Hong Kong conclude that

the return on assets and profitability per employee for companies that have

undergone partial share offerings is indistinguishable from those that were not

privatised at all.

One driver better than two

The second category of firms, joint ventures, is also small in number (2% of

the academics sample). Such ventures involve a bargain between the two sides.

Often the private partner is a Western company hoping to gain access to a huge

and growing economy. In return the Chinese gain Western know-how. For the

Westerners, this involves obvious risks beyond the usual differences of opinion

in a joint venture: that they will be pushed aside once the Chinese have

acquired their knowledge.

In carmaking, where there have been several prominent joint ventures, a

squeeze-out of the Western partner was part of the initial plan, says Michael

Dunne, a car-industry consultant, and subtle moves along these lines emerge

sporadically. Recently, for example, the government has pushed the Western

companies to form indigenous brand joint ventures with intellectual-property

and export rights. And at the end of 2009, Shanghai Automotive Industry

Corporation bought an additional 1% of its venture with General Motors, gaining

majority control.

Ms Gan, Mr Guo and Mr Xu find that, overall, joint ventures have yielded

similarly lacklustre financial results to the partially privatised behemoths.

However, carmaking appears to be an exception. Early ventures involving

Peugeot-Citro n and General Motors flopped, but that is now ancient history.

More than 20 ventures are currently in existence and although financial

information is hard to come by, they seem to be doing well.

This may be because in cars joint ventures have been run more as private

companies and less as state-owned entities, when compared with other

industries. An explanation, says Mr Dunne, lies in the incentives of the two

sides. The senior Chinese representative, inevitably appointed by the

government, is rarely a car person. He brings valuable political contacts and

is likely to move back to a political job eventually. Meanwhile he has little

interest in disrupting a venture that produces profits and jobs. Foreign

carmakers are interested chiefly in the success of the company. The two sides

interests turn out to be aligned, or at least not in conflict.

These same incentives, says Mr Dunne, also explain why the efforts of the

Chinese joint-venture partners to develop their own brands have yet to produce

much success, despite their access to Western technology, vast resources and

political pull. The careers of the Chinese partners are tied to the state, not

the car market.

Private management, party influence

The third group, largely in private hands, contains the most successful

privatised companies: the half that ended up in the hands of their managers.

According to the three academics, management buy-outs have done much better

than behemoths, joint ventures or firms privatised through other methods (such

as leases or sales to outsiders or employees). This probably has much to do

with another finding: that the degree of government control declined most in

this group of companies. In only 1% of these firms did the state have a

shareholding of more than 20%, against a sample average of 19%. And in only 16%

of them did the state have strong control of corporate decision-making,

against 31% overall. The state has thus forgone ownership in an effort to

achieve better results. It does, however, continue to exert influence, notably

through party representatives.

Consider the state s involvement with the three Chinese car companies that have

done most to build their brands: BYD, Chery and Geely. They are still under the

state s wing, being thought to receive ample financial help from the provinces

where they operate (though much the same could be said of many carmakers in the

West). Their leaders surely would not last if the state disapproved of them.

Yet they are not state-controlled, unlike the behemoths or the Chinese partners

in joint ventures. The bosses are not political appointees but charismatic

businessmen in pursuit of commercial goals.

There are similar ventures in other industries: ZTE and Huawei, two

telecoms-equipment giants; Lenovo, a maker of PCs, in which the Chinese Academy

of Sciences has a large minority stake; and TCL, an electronics firm. The

number of companies in this group continues to swell, even if they are less

well known than these. As a rule, they are in industries designated as

strategic notably anything to do with energy, be it wind, solar or stored and

can also be found in medical equipment, drugs and technology. Such companies

benefit from protection against foreign encroachment, research-and-development

subsidies, and subsidised purchases from state customers. Someone involved with

a foreign health-care company says that buyers connected with the Chinese state

demand such generous terms with payment delayed for up to a year that only

domestic providers, backed by accommodating credit from state banks, can bid

for orders.

The fostering of successful private companies becomes particularly attractive

in markets in which state entities have plainly been found wanting. The

clearest example is the internet, in which China s state-controlled news

providers and broadcasters have the resources and content to succeed but have

failed to create much of a buzz. From private internet companies, which were

never state-owned, the buzz is deafening. Their managers have often trained

abroad. Competition is rampant although foreign companies face impediments and

quick wits are essential for success. Employees often receive a significant

amount of compensation in that most Western of forms: shares or share options.

Many of these companies, because of their listings in overseas markets, or

backing from foreign investors, could technically be considered foreign, a

cause of some scathing criticism in China.

Yet even these companies depend on the good graces of the state. The Western

firms that some of them imitated find obstacles in their way in China. Baidu,

China s leading internet-search company, profited hugely in the past from being

a conduit for pirated Western entertainment. Alibaba, a facilitator of

e-commerce, has used Chinese ownership laws to take a large slice of Yahoo! s

valuable stake in its electronic-payment company, Alipay. Relations with

officialdom are not always smooth. Beijing s Communist Party chief recently

warned Sina, a social-media firm, that it was too slow to delete remarks that

displeased the party. And recent programmes on CCTV, the state broadcaster,

have criticised Baidu s business methods.

Back to the cities

The success of this third group of companies has encouraged the development of

the fourth. Officials in cities and provinces have created hundreds of

municipally backed funds to invest in promising ventures. According to Z-Ben

Advisors, a research and consulting firm, the biggest of these, CDB Capital, a

private-equity fund established only in 2009, has raised 40 billion yuan ($6.3

billion) and has a target of 60 billion yuan.

Some of these official investors have brought in foreign partners, including

big private-equity firms such as Blackstone, Carlyle and TPG. Infinity Group,

an Israeli venture-capital firm, has 12 funds, ten of which have direct ties to

different Chinese cities. Its earliest effort, founded in 2004 with money from

the Israeli and Chinese governments and private sources, has had much success

creating companies combining Chinese manufacturing and Israeli technology.

In theory, making the state into a purely financial investor rather than an

operating partner, as in Shunde and Zhucheng 19 years ago, should be

beneficial: entrepreneurs, not bureaucrats, run the business. Practice is

rarely so neat. Cities back companies that provide local jobs. That affects

acquisitions and disposals, where factories are built and where research takes

place. Worse, China s private-equity industry has become another lucrative

billet for the children of powerful officials.

It is also troubling that little is disclosed about the operations and returns

of these public funds. Many may be managed cleverly and provide money for

municipalities and jobs for their citizens; others, though, may turn out to be

financial black holes. Equally troubling, they receive favourable attention

from local governments, to the disadvantage of China s most dynamic sector, its

truly private companies.

Taken collectively, these iterations of state engagement reflect how China s

government has not only held on to economic control but found subtle ways to

extend it. At the very least, they constitute an important series of

large-scale economic experiments with implications for China s economy and,

because of China s size, the world s too. Some may see in this a path to

follow. China has come far since the trials in Shunde and Zhucheng, but the

state has always controlled the itinerary.

of Chinese Firms .

Sep 3rd 2011 | BEIJING | from the print edition