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Cracking the Facebook Code

2010-10-19 07:39:59

Thomas E. Weber Thomas E. Weber Mon Oct 18, 7:57 am ET

NEW YORK Cracking the Facebook CodeHow does the social media giant decide who

and what to put in your feed? Tom Weber conducts a one-month experiment to

break the algorithm, discovering 10 of Facebook's biggest secrets.

The more digital our daily lives become, the more perplexing the questions

seem. Will the growth of social media destroy our notions of privacy? Is

democracy helped or harmed by the cacophony of opinions online? And perhaps

most confounding: Why does that guy I barely know from the 10th grade keep

showing up in my Facebook feed?

If you've ever spent time on Facebook, you've probably pondered that last one.

The social-networking giant promises to keep us connected with our friends in

exchange for pumping a steady diet of advertising at us but the algorithms

Facebook uses to decide what news to pass along can seem capricious or

altogether impenetrable.

Facebook, much like Google with its search algorithms, consistently refuses to

go into details about how it picks and pans content (save a few glancing

details this year about the enigmatic engine that powers it, EdgeRank). So,

with the mystery of that 10th-grade friend in mind, The Daily Beast set out to

crack the code of Facebook's personalized news feed. Why do some friends seem

to pop up constantly, while others are seldom seen? How much do the clicks of

other friends in your network affect what you're shown? Does Facebook reward

some activities with undue exposure? And can you "stalk" your way into a

friend's news feed by obsessively viewing their page and photos?

To get the answers, we devised an experiment, creating our own virtual test lab

within the confines of Facebook and tracking thousands of news-feed items over

a period of several weeks. The focal point of our experiment: Phil Simonetti, a

60-year-old Facebook newcomer who allowed us to dictate and monitor his every

move.

Like a half-billion people before him, Simonetti joined Facebook and began

typing in his status updates. But in this case, Simonetti's only friends were a

hand-picked roster of more than two dozen volunteers who agreed to sift through

their news feeds for the duration of our experiment, dutifully recording any

Phil sightings.

As our volunteers checked in with their reports, some remarkable findings began

to emerge:

1. Facebook's Bias Against Newcomers. If there's one thing our experiment made

all too clear, it's that following 500 million people into a party means that a

lot of the beer and pretzels are already long gone. Poor Phil spent his first

week shouting his updates, posted several times a day, yet most of his

ready-made "friends" never noticed a peep on their news feeds. His invisibility

was especially acute among those with lengthy, well-established lists of

friends. Phil's perpetual conversation with the ether only stopped when we

instructed our volunteers to interact with him. A dynamic which leads to

2. Facebook's Catch-22: To get exposure on Facebook, you need friends to

interact with your updates in certain ways (more on that below). But you aren't

likely to have friends interacting with your updates if you don't have exposure

in the first place. (Memo to Facebook newcomers: Try to get a few friends to

click like crazy on your items.)

3. The Velvet Rope: "Top News": The real fun began when we eventually

instructed different subgroups of our volunteer-friend force to interact with

Phil in a controlled manner.

Suddenly, Phil began popping up on feeds. But which ones? The current newsfeed

system offers users two options: "Top News," a highly selective feed of updates

from friends, and "Most Recent," a "fire hose" that shows updates in reverse

chronological order.

A bunch of interactions, however, still do not guarantee that you'll get on

anyone's Top News, which is how a vast majority of Facebook users get their

information. Some of our volunteers reported frequent sightings of Phil's

updates in their Top News feeds, while others saw him rarely and in some cases,

never. Top News will show you hours-old updates from some friends while

ignoring newer postings from others.

Facebook has a reason to do this: If users saw all of the posts for all of

their friends, they might be overwhelmed (or bored) and tune out a disaster for

Facebook, which needs eyeballs to earn revenue. But in doing so, Facebook's

ranking system makes judgments about items it thinks you'll be interested in.

What became clear after two weeks was that it's not the amount of activity you

have, but the type (more on that below).

4. "Most Recent" News Is Censored, Too. As veteran Facebook users know, it's a

simple matter to switch from the filtered-and-prioritized Top News feed to the

"fire hose" of Most Recent. In Most Recent, items are displayed in reverse

chronological order. So many users naturally assume that Most Recent contains

every update from all of their friends.

Gallery: Celebs Not on Facebook

Not so, as our experiment showed.

Even with test-subject Simonetti posting updates, links, photos, and videos

several times a day, a few of our volunteers found that the items didn't appear

in their Most Recent feeds. (At least, not until we took additional steps to up

Phil's visibility.) If you've never tinkered with the "Edit Options" button on

your Most Recent feed, this underscores why you should check it out there's a

little-used setting that caps the number of friends shown in the feed.

5. "Stalking" Your Friends Won't Get You Noticed. Maybe you've fretted about it

while poring over photos of an old flame or estranged friend on Facebook or

maybe you've diligently worked to get on someone's radar by clicking all over

their page. Do Facebook's mysterious algorithms factor your stealthy interest

in another person into that person's news feed?

To find out, our test subject spent several days obsessively checking out the

posts and photos of some volunteers who had yet to spy him in their feeds. The

result was clear: The stalking accomplished precisely nothing.

6. Having Friends Who Stalk You WILL Help Your Popularity. Stalking does work

in the other direction, we found. After Phil spent days posting updates in

vain, with most of our volunteers seeing none of them, we tasked a handful of

friends to start showing more interest in Phil. Even though he wasn't showing

up in their feeds, they sought out his Facebook page repeatedly, clicking on

links he had posted and viewing his photos. This was the point at which Phil

finally began to break through. It took a few days of constant clicking, but

not only did the friends doing the stalking begin to see Phil in their Top News

feeds others who weren't stalking began noticing him as well.

7. Links Trump Status Updates. We're sure you consider all of your musings

fascinating but Facebook doesn't. At various points in our test, Phil switched

between writing plain status updates and posting links to content elsewhere on

the Web. Even before some of our friends began stalking Phil, for those who

were seeing updates from him, links appeared more frequently than status

updates presumably because links are more effective at driving "user

engagement," which translates into people spending more time on Facebook.

8. Photos and Videos Trump Links. Just as links proved more potent than status

updates in making it past Facebook's filter, so did photos and videos Phil

posted. Here, too, it is likely a matter of engagement. Think about times

you've spotted a thumbnail-size photo from a friend in your feed and clicked to

see it full-size. Facebook likes clicks, and photos deliver them.

9. The Power of Comments. If items you post attract comments from a few

friends, it clearly raises your visibility overall. When our selected

volunteers began stalking Phil, he finally appeared to many users for whom he

had been a no-show. But when we stopped the stalking and moved on to the next

phase of our trial, directing a different group of users to not only look in on

Phil but also repeatedly add comments to his items, he surfaced on the feeds of

still more friends.

10. Why Facebook Really is Like High School: After weeks of testing and trying

everything from having Phil post videos to getting some of his friends to flood

him with comments, by the end of our experiment, a few of our volunteers had

still literally never seen Phil appear in their feeds, either Top News or Most

Recent. These were the "popular kids" users of Facebook with 600 or more

friends. (Conversely, those with only 100 to 200 friends were among the first

to spot Phil.) So the key, as you build your coterie of friends, is making sure

to include some without huge networks. They'll see more of your feeds, interact

in Facebook-approved ways, and up your visibility with all.

Facebook didn't respond to our requests for comment about our findings. To be

sure, this experiment wasn't foolproof. Facebook can and probably does draw on

variables beyond those in our test. And our volunteer force of friends was only

human, and may have missed some of Phil's posts.

Still, we were able to observe firsthand how Facebook can elevate or bury the

news you want to share with your friends. For average users, cracking the

Facebook code is something of a fun puzzle. But for marketers trying to tap

Facebook or individuals who see the service as a way to promote themselves

understanding how content propagates through the system is anything but a game.

But it also means that many users may not be aware of how much power they've

put in the hands of this electronic mediator. (The very concept of the news

feed was controversial as soon as it was unveiled, as chronicled in David

Kirkpatrick's The Facebook Effect.)

Can you "stalk" your way into a friend's news feed by obsessively viewing their

page and photos?

You might think you've shared those adorable new baby photos or the news of

your big promotion with all of your friends. Yet not only does Facebook decide

who will and won't see the news, it also keeps the details of its interventions

relatively discreet.

All the while, Facebook, like Google, continues to redefine "what's important

to you" as "what's important to other people." In that framework, the

serendipitous belongs to those who connect directly with their friends in the

real world or at least take the time to skip their news feed and go visit their

friends' pages directly once in a while.

Thomas E. Weber covers technology for The Daily Beast. He is a former bureau

chief and columnist at The Wall Street Journal and was editor of the

award-winning SmartMoney.com. Follow him on Twitter.