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Antarctic glacier 'thinning fast'

2009-08-14 08:00:27

By David Shukman

Science and environment correspondent, BBC News

One of the largest glaciers in Antarctica is thinning four times faster than it

was 10 years ago, according to research seen by the BBC.

A study of satellite measurements of Pine Island glacier in west Antarctica

reveals the surface of the ice is now dropping at a rate of up to 16m a year.

Since 1994, the glacier has lowered by as much as 90m, which has serious

implications for sea-level rise.

The work by British scientists appears in Geophysical Research Letters.

The team was led by Professor Duncan Wingham of University College London

(UCL).

We've known that it's been out of balance for some time, but nothing in the

natural world is lost at an accelerating exponential rate like this glacier

Andrew Shepherd, Leeds University

Calculations based on the rate of melting 15 years ago had suggested the

glacier would last for 600 years. But the new data points to a lifespan for the

vast ice stream of only another 100 years.

The rate of loss is fastest in the centre of the glacier and the concern is

that if the process continues, the glacier may break up and start to affect the

ice sheet further inland.

One of the authors, Professor Andrew Shepherd of Leeds University, said that

the melting from the centre of the glacier would add about 3cm to global sea

level.

"But the ice trapped behind it is about 20-30cm of sea level rise and as soon

as we destabilise or remove the middle of the glacier we don't know really know

what's going to happen to the ice behind it," he told BBC News.

"This is unprecedented in this area of Antarctica. We've known that it's been

out of balance for some time, but nothing in the natural world is lost at an

accelerating exponential rate like this glacier."

Pine Island glacier has been the subject of an intense research effort in

recent years amid fears that its collapse could lead to a rapid disintegration

of the West Antarctic ice sheet.

Five years ago, I joined a flight by the Chilean Navy and Nasa to survey Pine

Island glacier with radar and laser equipment.

The 11-hour round-trip from Punta Arenas included a series of low-level passes

over the massive ice stream which is 20 miles wide and in places more than one

mile thick.

Back then, the researchers on board were concerned at the speed of change they

were detecting. This latest study of the satellite data will add to the alarm

among polar specialists.

This comes as scientists in the Arctic are finding evidence of dramatic change.

Researchers on board a Greenpeace vessel have been studying the northwestern

part of Greenland.

One of those taking part, Professor Jason Box of Ohio State University, has

been surprised by how little sea ice they encountered in the Nares Strait

between Greenland and Canada.

He has also set up time lapse cameras to monitor the massive Petermann glacier.

Huge new cracks have been observed and it's expected that a major part of it

could break off imminently.

Professor Box told BBC News: "The science community has been surprised by how

sensitive these large glaciers are to climate warming. First it was the

glaciers in south Greenland and now as we move further north in Greenland we

find retreat at major glaciers. It's like removing a cork from a bottle."