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A setback for free trade - Strangled at birth

2014-08-05 09:55:31

Aug 1st 2014, 15:35 by E.M. | LONDON

THE trade-facilitation agreement the 160 members of the World Trade

Organisation (WTO) concluded in Bali in December may have sounded drab, but it

was important for two reasons. First, it set in motion big cuts in red-tape at

the world s borders, which were projected to boost the world economy by $400

billion a year. Second, it put paid to the widespread view that the WTO had

become a useless talking shop, incapable of fulfilling its mission to

liberalise world trade. For the first time in our history the WTO has truly

delivered, its director-general, Roberto Azev do, exulted at the time.

No wonder, then, that when the deal unexpectedly collapsed this week, Mr Azev

do urged members to reflect long and hard on the ramifications of this setback

. The WTO s members had until midnight on July 31st to signal their approval

of the deal a step that had been considered a formality, since they had all

already signed up to it in December. But India, which almost prevented an

agreement then, decided to strangle it in its infancy instead. It complained

that the immunity it had been given in Bali from complaints about protectionism

in the name of food security was not broad enough. When other members refused

to re-open the deal, it withheld its approval, in effect killing it.

India s obduracy is particularly disappointing, in that its foot-dragging in

December was dismissed by many as electioneering by the outgoing Congress

government before India s elections earlier this year. The new government, it

was assumed, would be more accommodating, especially if it was led by the

relatively pro-business Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). As it happens, the BJP

won a victory so sweeping that it does not need to rely on the support of

minority parties in India s parliament. But the new government has nonetheless

proved even more intransigent than the last.

In theory, the WTO can dust itself off and start negotiations to revive the

deal in September. But the perception that it is too big and divided a forum to

achieve anything is growing stronger. It is now 20 years since the body, then

called GATT, managed to agree on a big global deal to liberalise trade. In the

interim, many regional trade bodies and free-trade areas of varying degrees of

vigour have sprung up. The countries that are keenest to promote trade will

presumably focus their attention on these other groupings, rather than the

seemingly futile proceedings of the WTO.

There is nothing wrong with regional deals, but they not as beneficial as freer

trade worldwide. They also tend to exclude poorer countries, who would have

been the biggest beneficiaries of the trade-facilitation agreement. As Mr Azev

do said this week, My fear is that the smaller and more vulnerable an economy

is, the more it will suffer.