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South Korea inflation soars to a 29-month high in March

2011-04-01 07:30:58

South Korean consumer buying vegetables Rising food costs are threatening

growth in many of Asia's biggest economies

South Korea's inflation rate hit a 29-month high in March as higher fuel and

food costs continued to push consumer prices upwards.

The Consumer Price Index rose by 4.7% in March from a year ago, according to

the statistical office.

This is the second consecutive month that inflation has been above the central

bank's maximum target of 4%.

However, analysts say that this is unlikely to prompt the central bank to raise

interest rates immediately.

"I think inflation is at its peak now and price pressure will start easing,

partly helped by a strengthening won currency," said Kim Jin-Seong of Hanwha

Securities.

"The better-than-expected data will lead the Bank of Korea to hold interest

rates steady in April," he added.

Export growth

However, the central bank's decision may be influenced by the unexpected surge

in export numbers.

Shipments from South Korea grew by 30% in March compared to the same month a

year ago, according to the latest government data.

Exports for the month stood at $48.6bn ( 30.3bn) compared with $45.5bn worth of

imports.

"Exports spiked up far more than the market consensus this month," said Park

Hee-Chan of Mirae Asset Securities.

"They will reinforce expectations for continued interest rate rises, despite

negative external factors," he added.

However, Mr Park said that a rate rise was unlikely to happen immediately.

"The Bank of Korea will likely take a pause in April before raising interest

rates again in May."