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Countries that will miss George Bush

2009-01-13 09:32:19

By Kim Ghattas

BBC News, Washington

A lot has been written about George W Bush's unpopularity around the globe -

but what about those places where the outgoing president was popular?

As he leaves office with a record high domestic disapproval rate - 73%,

according to an October ABC News/Washington Post poll - President George W Bush

can perhaps take some comfort from the fact that this feeling is not uniformly

shared abroad.

While the shoe-throwing incident in Iraq may come to symbolise the world's

opinion of a president who is often referred to as the worst in America's

history, some corners of the world will miss the 43rd president of the United

States.

He has approval ratings of around 80% in Africa, according to some polls, and

in Kosovo a main street was named after him to thank him for supporting

Kosovo's independence.

"It is generally accepted in the US that Bush has generated hatred for America

around the world," says Peter Berkowitz, a fellow at the conservative Hoover

Institution.

"But the picture is not black and white," he added.

Israeli ties

In the last days of his administration, Mr Bush again demonstrated his

unwavering support for Israel as it pounded Gaza.

Analysts in the US observed that Israel may have deliberately timed the

military offensive so that it took place before Mr Bush's departure.

Israel knew it could count on the current president to support its actions, but

felt less certain about how an Obama administration would react.

US ties with Israel have always been strong, but some believe the relationship

was even stronger under Mr Bush and that - depending on how Mr Obama handles

the Middle East - the outgoing president may be appreciated even more in Israel

once he has left the White House.

"Israel is probably the only place on earth where Bush can still get a standing

ovation," says Mr Berkowitz, who was in Israel at the time of Mr Bush's visit

in May for the 60th anniversary of Israel's creation, when he got several

standing ovations.

"Israel sensed correctly that he acutely understood the challenges they faced.

But my view is also that he understood the suffering and challenges of the

Palestinians. He was after all the first American president who called for the

creation of a Palestinian state."

It is unlikely, however, that many Palestinians will remember Mr Bush for that

particular call - especially now that their final image of the Bush

administration will be shaped by the latest Israeli attacks in Gaza.

Bitter disappointment

Just north of Israel and the Palestinian territories, Lebanon is one country

where there is still some lingering appreciation for Mr Bush in some circles,

albeit laced with disappointment.

The administration's support for Lebanon's pro-Western factions in the turmoil

following the 2005 assassination of the former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri was

received with gratitude and relief.

What was known in Washington as the "Cedar Revolution" - and to Lebanese as the

"Independence Intifada" - was held up by Mr Bush as a successful result of his

"freedom agenda".

Liberal, anti-Syrian and pro-Western politicians swept to victory in the

legislative elections that followed and formed a government for the first time

in three decades.

But bitter disappointment came in the summer of 2006, when Israel and Lebanon's

Hezbollah militants engaged in a fierce war. Civilians were dying in large

numbers, but for days Washington withheld from calling for a ceasefire.

Happy crowds

Africa as a continent stands out as the main region in the world where Bush is

most likely to be missed and where widespread support for the 62-year-old Texan

mystified his critics.

When he visited the continent in February, he was greeted everywhere by

excited, happy crowds.

Pew foundation polls suggested that he had approval ratings of up to 80%, even

in countries with a dominantly Muslim population.

In Darfur, many people reportedly name their newborn children George Bush.

"While Bush's critics have given him little credit for his African initiatives,

they will be among his most enduring legacies in a region of the world

neglected by policymakers from both parties for too long," wrote Andrew

Natsios, a fellow at the Hudson Institute, in an article in the Boston Globe

last year.

It helps that America is not fighting any wars in Africa, as it is in the

Middle East or Central Asia.

So in Africa, Bush would be remembered for "playing a central role as

peacemaker in ending a 20-year civil war between the Arab north and African

south," wrote Mr Natsios.

"It was the Bush administration that first raised the alarm about the

atrocities in Darfur, organised a massive humanitarian relief effort to save

people in the displaced camps, and rallied an international coalition to send

peacekeeping troops to restore order through the United Nations and the African

Union," he added.

When Mr Bush arrived in Tanzania in February, President Jakaya Kikwete poured

praise on him.

"Different people may have different views about you and your administration

and your legacy," he said.

"But we in Tanzania, if we are to speak for ourselves and for Africa, we know

for sure that you, Mr President, and your administration have been good friends

of our country and have been good friends of Africa."

Missed by enemies

What has really boosted Mr Bush's popularity there has been his decision to

increase aid to Africa and the economic and health programmes he supported in

the continent.

Overall, foreign aid doubled during the Bush administration, and in Africa it

quadrupled from $1.3bn in 2001 to $5bn in 2008.

Additional billions of dollars were allocated to support his programmes to

fight malaria and HIV/Aids and to reward good governance, programmes which have

been viewed as a great success.

Kori Schake, a member of the National Security Council during Mr Bush's first

term, says a number of other countries around the world may miss President

Bush, from those that were hoping to sign free trade agreements with

Washington, like Colombia, to rising powers like India which signed a

controversial nuclear co-operation deal with Washington outside the

Non-Proliferation Treaty.

Former Soviet republics like Ukraine and Georgia, which were hoping to join

Nato or at least make good progress along that path, may also lament the end of

the Bush administration.

But it may well be that whether Mr Bush is missed or not will depend on what

Barack Obama does as president.

Finally, in their own way, leaders like Venezuela's Hugo Chavez, Cuba's Fidel

Castro and Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may come to miss the man they loved to

hate when they have to start dealing with his successor, the man that the world

loves to love.