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Apple and the music business - The second revolution

2015-06-16 06:03:21

Having transformed the music business once, Apple is trying to do so again

Jun 13th 2015 | SAN FRANCISCO

WHEN Apple bought Beats, best known for making brightly coloured headphones,

for around $3 billion last year, many wondered what the technology giant had in

mind. They now have their answer. On June 8th, at Apple s annual gathering for

software developers in San Francisco, it revealed a new music-streaming

service, based on one it had acquired as part of Beats. Tim Cook, Apple s boss,

promised that, It will change the way you experience music forever. Others on

the stage called it revolutionary .

Apple led the way in popularising the legal downloading of music, with the

launch of its iPod player in 2001. But as music fans have taken to streaming

songs in a big way over the past few years in effect, renting them rather than

owning them downloads have started to decline (see chart 1). Apple s revenues

from music have started to fade, even as those from apps and other services

have kept soaring (see chart 2). This time it is following, rather than

leading, a musical revolution. Spotify, the most popular on-demand streaming

service, has 20m paying subscribers worldwide, and around 55m who regularly use

its free, ad-supported version.

Apple Music will attempt to differentiate itself from incumbents by having

playlists chosen by people rather than algorithms, and technology that makes it

easier to search for songs. It is marching into the territory of SoundCloud, a

firm that lets unsigned acts promote their tunes to music-lovers looking to

discover the next big thing. It is taking on Google s online-video service,

YouTube, by making it easy to watch music videos. And its offering will include

a new, 24-hour radio station, Beats One . If enough of Apple s existing

customers take to the new station, it could become one of the world s leading

influences on popular music tastes.

Apple s big announcement raises two questions. The first is whether lumping

together so many familiar elements of existing services into one convenient

offering really adds up to a revolution. The second, therefore, is whether

people are likely to pay for what Apple is peddling. Spotify this week raised

more than $500m to help it fend off the challenge. That is a useful sum, but it

is small change compared with Apple s near-$200 billion cash hoard.

Furthermore, Apple already has the credit-card details of around 800m account

holders, and a fan base whose ardour knows no bounds. So it is not hard to

imagine Apple Music quickly overtaking Spotify s 20m paid subscribers, once

people have taken up the three months free trial the firm is offering, and

become accustomed to using the service.

The best things in life are free

Throwing a possible lifeline to Spotify, the attorneys-general of New York and

Connecticut are looking into whether the deals that Apple has struck with

record labels amount to some sort of arrangement to suppress the availability

of free, ad-supported music streaming. This provides a chunk of Spotify s

revenues. Apple, in contrast, has chosen not to offer a free tier.

Interactive: How has the US technology sector changed since 1980?

For Apple the biggest difference between now and 2001 is that the success of

this revolution will not determine the firm s fate. When it first released its

iPod, Apple was a largish computer-maker with grand ambitions. Fast-forward to

2015 and Apple is now the most valuable listed company in the world. It is not

only a technology company but a luxury brand and a growing payment-services

provider, among other things. Apple Music, in other words, is just one track in

its album.

As for pop stars and their record labels, they should not be celebrating Apple

Music s launch by driving their Rolls-Royces into swimming pools. The fees it

will pay them for streaming will be even more meagre than those they get from

downloads.