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The future of Apple

2014-09-11 07:16:21

All latest updates

Watched

Apple is becoming a very different company, and not just because of its newly

unveiled products

Sep 10th 2014 | CUPERTINO

AS A technology firm, Apple spends much of its time reimagining the future, but

it also likes to pay tribute to its past. Back in 1984 Steve Jobs, with a

luminous mane of black hair, double-breasted suit and green bowtie, commanded

the stage at Flint Performing Arts Centre near Apple s headquarters in

Cupertino to show off the new Macintosh computer. On September 9th Mr Jobs

successor, Tim Cook, balding and in blue jeans, held his own performance in the

same location. It was the most significant showcase of Apple s determination to

wow the world since 1984. To thunderous applause, Mr Cook showed off two new

iPhones, a clever payments system and a wearable device, which it calls the

Apple Watch.

No technology launch has ever been so closely watched by the general public,

says Avi Greengart of Current Analysis, a research firm. I took a picture of

my badge and sent it to my son, to give him street cred, he says. Apple tried

hard to make the event live up to the hype. A white cube structure was

specially built to show off the new gadgets. Inside, models exercised on

treadmills to highlight the new watch s fitness features. U2, a rock band, gave

a spirited performance of one of their songs. Afterwards, Bono, the lead

singer, admitted to Mr Cook onstage that it had been five years since the band

had put out an album; Mr Cook said he knows what that feels like.

That is probably true. It has been four years since Apple introduced a

breakthrough product, the iPad. Consumers, analysts and investors have been

howling to see proof that Apple can still do the magic tricks of the Jobs era.

iPad sales have weakened in recent quarters and the firm has become

increasingly reliant on the iPhone, which was launched in 2007. Last year,

Apple's smartphones were responsible for more than half of the firm s revenues.

However, while Apple is the dominant smartphone company in America, some

analysts worry that it is losing market share elsewhere. Companies like

Samsung, Huawei, Lenovo and LG, which make cheaper phones, and Google s Android

operating system, which runs on 71% of the world s smartphones, have been

luring consumers away from Apple's more-expensive products. The average cost of

a new iPhone is $609, compared with $249 for smartphones globally, according to

IDC, a market-research firm. That is good for profits, but it places Apple s

future in a luxury niche, traditionally occupied by companies such as Herm s, a

fashion house, or Michelin-starred restaurants, notes Colin Gillis of BGC, a

brokerage firm.

The Apple Watch will cater mostly to high-end consumers as well. With a

starting price of $349, and only usable alongside an iPhone, it is unlikely to

be a product with mass appeal. It is certainly a triumph of design: the tiny

device contains sensors that measure the user s pulse to help in fitness

activities, and people can communicate by sending their heartbeat as a new sort

of expressive message to other watch-wearers. But another world-beating product

it probably is not.

Check in here

However, that might not matter as much as people might think. While Apple s

launch event focused mostly on the firm s snazzy new hardware, two important

shifts in focus for the firm were lost in the maelstrom of applause and photos.

One is Apple s evolution from a hardware manufacturer to a platform and

ecosystem company. This has always been true to a certain extent, with Apple s

iTunes music service, but it is expanding into new areas and services. The

newly launched mobile wallet, which aims to replace credit cards with the tap

of an iPhone or Apple watch on a retailer s sensor, is one example of this. Its

health and fitness applications, which enable people to monitor their workouts

and other health information, is another. More software and services which

store users' personal data locks people into the firm s platform for life. That

keeps them buying Apple's high-margin hardware. Ben Wood of CCS Insight, a

market-research firm, says this is all part of the plan to make Apple more like

Hotel California, featured in a song by the Eagles, where you can check out

anytime you like, but you can never leave .

Apple s software and services category, which includes its App Store, iTunes,

revenue from warranty products and other businesses, generated around $16

billion in revenues last financial year. That is about the size of Starbucks,

Mr Cook has pointed out, and bigger than CBS, for those of you who are still

watching TV . Because Apple tends to attract wealthier consumers, they are

probably more valuable customers over their lifetimes.

The second shift for Apple is its opening up to the outside world. Earlier this

year Apple announced a partnership with IBM, a computer-systems maker, to

produce applications for businesses, as well as changes that make it easier for

outside developers to design apps for Apple s operating system. Mr Cook has

also been much more open to outsiders joining his inner circle, hiring

executives from firms like Burberry, Yves Saint Laurent and Nike to expand

Apple s expertise in retail, wearable technology and other fields. Mr Cook has

also overseen the largest acquisition in Apple s history, the $3 billion

purchase in May of Beats, a headphones and music-streaming company.

There has always been a huge tension between keeping control and opening up

at Apple, explains Michael Cusumano of MIT s Sloan School of Management. Mr

Jobs saw Apple products as works of art and never wanted them unbundled. Only

after the executive team rebelled in 2002 did he relent and let iTunes become

available on Windows a move that dramatically increased sales of the iPod and

may have helped save Apple from going under.

Apple is not the only firm trying to keep consumers and innovators satisfied by

its ecosystem and hardware. Its main rival, Google, not only lets device-makers

modify its Android operating system, but gives it away free, though with

conditions: firms that want the latest version, for instance, need to offer

Google s services along with advertising. Amazon, an online-retail giant, has

developed its own version of Android, so it can link its devices to its

e-commerce platform, with mixed success so far; to boost disappointing sales of

its Fire phone, the firm on September 8th dropped the device's price to $0.99,

from nearly $200.

When Mr Cook unveiled Apple s new products, he said they represented the next

chapter in Apple s story . But much of the firm s book is being reinterpreted.

Twenty years ago Umberto Eco, an Italian philosopher, compared Apple s platform

to Catholicism and Microsoft s to Protestantism. The Macintosh, he wrote,

tells the faithful how they must proceed step by step. By contrast, Microsoft

allows free interpretation of scripture and takes for granted the idea that

not all can achieve salvation. Apple, under new leadership, may be at the cusp

of its own Reformation.