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âI look out on the earth ⌠lo, all is chaos;
I look at heaven ⌠its light is gone;
I look out on the mountains ⌠they are trembling;
And all the hills are swaying!â
âJeremiah 4:23-26
Apocalypse has begun. The button has been pushed. Humanity is already committed to irreversible climate change. In May of 2020, levels of CO2 in the atmosphere hit 417 parts per million, the highest ever recorded â and the first breach of 400 ppm since the Pliocene. Climate activists are, in Richard Wilburâs phrase, âmad-eyed from stating the obviousâ. To understand the scale of what faces us, and the way it ramifies into every corner of our lives, is to marvel that we arenât having emergency meetings in every city, town and village every week.
We are, increasingly, out of time. In the capitalist _untimelich_, the time of the living and the time of the dead, human history and the history of inorganic sediments, collide. âMillions of years of concentrated solar energyâ, as Huber calls it, have been released in an historical blink of an eye, only to rebound just as fast: the Deep Time equivalent of an asteroid strike. The cyclical time of seasons turns freakish, leaving us uneasily sweating in the clammy mid-winter. Spring comes too early, hurricane-force winds and flash floods break the October calm, polar ice melts while temperate zones are plunged into polar winter. The Arctic burns, boreal forests turned to charred sticks. The Greenland ice sheet melts even in winter. Antarctic sea ice has suddenly and drastically contracted in recent years. The polar vortex wanders, perturbed, and the mid-West freezes. In a parody of Revelations, Mediterranean storms rain fish on the island of Malta. Stochastic weather events accumulate. Birds fall dead from the sky. The progression of geological deep time, with its periods, eras and epochs speeds up so rapidly that it precipitates a crisis in the temporal order itself: spinning so fast, we may as well be standing still. The progressive time of human civilisation, reduced to the endless accumulation of stuff, collapses into nonsense. The cycle of ice ages, a necessary condition for human evolution, melts away for eternity. With awareness of which comes a wave of eco-anxiety, for which we grope for names â Glenn Albrechtâs âsolastalgiaâ, Ashlee Cunsolo and Neville Ellisâs âecological griefâ, Renee Lertzmannâs âenvironmental melancholiaâ. Even at the end of 2018, 70 per cent of Americans describing themselves as âworriedâ about climate change, and it has been a long two years for that fear to wax.
The sixth mass extinction, signalled by what one study calls âbiological annihilationâ, is underway. The oceans, which produce roughly half of the oxygen we breathe, are acidifying, and are swept by heatwaves, says a recent study, âlike wildfireâ. Coral reefs, home to a quarter of marine life, are bleaching. Insect biomass collapses, with 40 per cent of all species undergoing drastic decline. The bees, that once we believed were saved, are disappearing eight times faster than are mammals, birds or reptiles. Without their pollination work, 70 per cent of the crops that feed 90 per cent of the planet will fail.
The question of human survival is inextricable from that of what sort of humans we should be. By 2070, MIT research says, the new norm for âmany billionsâ of people will be impossibly high temperatures that will kill less fit people and make outdoor work impossible. Half a billion will experience temperatures that would âkill even healthy people in the shade within six hoursâ. The Arctic, that âsluggish and congealed seaâ discovered by Pytheas, a breathing âmixture like sea-lungâ, will be gone, on conservative estimates by 2040. In 2019, the usually snow-bowed woodlands circling this uncanny sea-continent burned more fiercely than ever. Precise metrics of the scale of what will unfold are to be determined, not least by class struggle, but there is no longer, if there ever was, a choice between adaptation and mitigation.
So adapt. But to what? Those species now going extinct were once well adapted. The widely accepted geo-logism, âAnthropoceneâ, is in one sense an obvious political evasion, diluting as it does the necessary focus on capital accumulation itself. Yet, of course, capitalism is something that the human species, and no other, does. And while there are unthinkably vast disparities in power and responsibility in the production of petro-modernity, the latter has had a proven â if, crucially, hardly irrevocable â popular base: the vatic rage of activists notwithstanding, no politician has been crucified for promising fuel tax cuts.
This fact can easily be weaponised by the right. Of the recent protests of the gilets jaunes in France against declining wages and rising inequality and sparked by a rise in diesel tax later reversed by Macron faced by the scale of the protests, Trump tweeted that â[p]eople do not want to pay large sums of money ⌠in order to maybe protect the environmentâ.
In fact, however, and allowing that the movement is hardly monolithic, the French uprising was characterised by a remarkable _refusal to refuse_ to engage with questions of ecology, particularly compared, say, to the fuel-price protests in the UK in 2000 and 2005. Far from being characterised by ecological indifference, what characterised much of the French protest was disagreement between those for whom talk of ecology comes too soon, and those for whom such talk is inextricable from social â class â justice. One example of the former is visible in the claim of the prominent activist JerĂ´me Rodriguez that â[e]ventually, when we obtain the first things, ecology will have its placeâ; of the latter, the words of another, François Boulot, that â[t]he social and ecological emergencies are inseparableâ, that â[w]e will not be able to operate the ecological transition without an equitable wealth redistributionâ.
Rodriguezâs rationale for his position, that ânowadays, people arenât concentrated on thisâ, is not supported by the superlative gilets jaunes slogans, âEnd of the month, end of the world: same perpetrators, same fightâ, and âMore ice sheets, fewer bankersâ. This refusal to compartmentalise is energising evidence of the new politicisation of the moment.
Still, that not everyone opposed to the fuel tax rise has been so assiduous in drawing the connections is in part because the dispersed, privatised accommodation and individualised transportation of modern life offer individualised, immediate-term and distinctively capitalist answer to specifically human strivings.
The concept of the Anthropocene is a tacit acknowledgment that the alienated labour of humanity has itself become a selective evolutionary pressure. It has already forced rapid adaptation in some species, where it has not resulted in extinction, as Bernard Kettlewellâs experiments with peppered moths show. The besooting of tree bark in industrial areas became a powerful selective force, favouring darker moths, harder for birds to see and pick off. Now such pressures are coming for us, as powerful as the asteroid strike behind the Cretaceous-Paleogene mass extinction.
We are compelled to adapt to ourselves.
From this point of view, there is no difference between adaptation and mitigation. To close the fossil fuel plants, to destroy a planet of value, or even, dare we hope, the value-form itself: are these not adaptations?
Of course, this is not what is generally meant by adaptation. Implicit is a Green Zone-style survivalism of the rich; explicitly touted are permanent adaptations of capitalism to the consequences of capitalism. The ideology of âadaptationâ has become the ideology of capitalismâs triumph over all life.