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Title: Involuntary Idleness Author: Hugo Bilgram Date: 1889 Language: en Topics: economics, labor, Libertarian Labyrinth Source: Retrieved 2011-12-07 from https://web.archive.org/web/20111207231000/http://libertarian-labyrinth.org/bilgram/involuntaryidleness.pdf
While engaged in the preparation of a treatise upon the subject of
Social Rights and their relation to the distribution of wealth, the
author had an opportunity to present some of the conclusions to which
his studies have led at the meeting of the American Economic Association
in Philadelphia, and on December 29, 1888, read a paper on “Involuntary
Idleness.”
The Association having given but a brief abstract of the paper in the
report of their proceedings, the author has been prevailed upon to
publish the entire paper, and he is persuaded that its importance as a
contribution to economic thought will be recognized by such students as
regard the modern presentation of the science of Political Economy to be
in many respects entirely unsatisfactory.
In order that the reader may more readily follow the line of argument
developed in these pages, the following synopsis is presented.
The aim of the treatise is to search for the cause of the lack of
employment, which is obviously due to the observed fact that the supply
of commodities and services exceeds the demand, although reason dictates
that supply and demand “in general should be precisely equal. The factor
destroying this natural equation is looked for among the conditions that
regulate the distribution of wealth, —i.e., its division into Rent,
Interest, and Wages.
The arguments evolved by the discussion of the Rent question, which of
late has excited much public interest, being unable to account for the
apparent surfeit of all kinds of raw materials, the topic of rent is
eliminated by assuming all local advantages to be equal.
At first an examination is made of the relation of capital to the
productivity of labor, and that of interest on capital to the
remuneration for labor, showing that high interest tends to reduce the
productivity of, as well as the remuneration for, labor. Low wages being
also concomitant with a scarcity of employment, it is inferred that a
close relation exists between the economic cause of involuntary idleness
and the law of interest.
Following this clue, the two separate meanings of the ambiguous word
“Capital” are compared, showing that money, which can never be used in
the act of production, cannot be capital when that term is used in its
concrete sense; and since capital is capable of producing a profit only
when the same is used productively, the fact that interest is paid for
money-loans, when that which is loaned cannot be used productively, must
be traced to an independent cause. The usual argument that with money
actual capital can be purchased is rejected, because money and capital
would not be interchangeable if their economic properties were not
homogeneous. This compels the search for a property inherent in money
that can account for the willingness of borrowers to pay interest on
money-loans.
It is then shown that interest on money-loans is paid because money
affords special advantages as a medium of exchange, and the value of
this property of money is traced to its ultimate utility, or, in other
words, to the increment of productivity which the last addendum to the
volume of money affords by facilitating the division of labor.
Returning to the question of interest on actual capital,—i.e., the
excess of “value produced over the cost of production,—the question as
to what determines the value of a product leads to 1 the assertion that
capital-profit must be due to an advantage which the producer possesses
over the marginal producer. This is found to be due to the interest
payable by the marginal producer on money-loans.
An ideal separation of the financial from the industrial world reveals a
tendency of the industrial class to drift into bankruptcy by force of
conditions over which they have no. control. Those who are at the verge
of bankruptcy being the marginal producers, others who are free of debt
will reap a profit corresponding to the interest payable by the marginal
producers on debts equal to the value of the capital they employ; hence
the rate of capital-profit will tend to become equal to the rate of
interest payable on money-loans, and the power of money to command
interest, instead of being the result, is in reality the cause of
capital-profit.
The inability of the debtor class to meet their obligations increases
the risk of business investments, and the accumulation of money in the
hands of the financial class depriving the channels of commerce of the
needed medium of exchange, a stagnation of business will ensue, which
readily accounts for the accumulation of all kinds of products in the
hands of the producers and for the consequent dearth of employment. The
losses sustained by the lenders of money involve a separation of
interest into two branches, risk-«premium and interest proper, and
considering that the risk premiums equal the sum total of all
relinquished debts, the law of interest is evolved by an analysis of the
monetary circulation between the debtors and creditors.
This analysis leads to the inference that an expansion of the volume of
money, by extending the issue of credit-money, will prevent business
stagnation and involuntary idleness.
The objections usually urged against credit-money are considered and
found untenable, the claim that interest naturally accrues to capital is
disputed at each successive stand-point, and in the concluding remarks
an explanation is given of the present excess of supply over the demand
of commodities and services, confirming the conclusion that the
correction of this abnormal state is contingent upon the financial
measure suggested.
In studying the past as well as the present drift of popular thought on
political and economic questions, there is found not only a striking
divergence of opinions, but on every hand doctrines are met that bear
the unmistakable stamp of anomalous reasoning.
It is popular to attribute dull times and the consequent distress of the
producers to an alleged overproduction of things, for the want of which
people suffer. The immigration of those who are willing to add to our
wealth by work and accept a small remuneration in return is considered
detrimental to our well-being. The introduction of labor-saving
machinery is contested by workmen in Spite of the saving of time and
labor. International commerce is considered harmful to that country
which receives more than it gives.
But in whatever form these self-contradictions appear, they evidently
arise from the existence of an ever-present fear that there is not
enough work to do, and that enforced idleness may inflict its miseries
upon those who in the struggle for existence fail to secure their share
of the work. Yet our experience, which indicates that the supply of
services as well as of commodities does exceed the. effective demand for
the same, is in direct conflict with rational thought. Whatever is
offered in the market for sale is ostensibly offered with the
expectation of obtaining something else in return, either directly or
through the medium of exchange. Each supply of a commodity, each offer
of a service, implies a demand for some other valuable thing or service.
The more commodities one man makes and offers for sale or exchange, the
greater, it appears, should be the demand for other commodities. But
while there is every reason to assume that the total supply of
commodities and services in general should always equal the total
demand, we notice in reality the absence of such an equation, we know
that labor can become a drug in the market. The competition of those
unemployed, who are in search of work, produce the long-recognized
tendency of wages to a minimum of subsistence and give plausible pretext
to the doctrine of socialism. Tariff legislation, as well as that
regulating immigration, the time of labor, etc., and other laws designed
to regulate competition, testify in unmistakable terms that the fear of
competition, the dread of involuntary idleness, is not an empty phantom,
but a stern reality. Most painful is the effect of enforced idleness
when it manifests itself in industrial depressions, those social
calamities which the science of economics has so far failed to explain
satisfactorily.
The standard works on Political Economy, such as Ricardo’s, Mill’s,
etc., fail to reveal the cause of the manifest discrepancy between what
obviously should be and what really is. In fact, the method of those
writers in dealing with definitions and propositions is in marked
contrast with that adopted in the exact sciences. The use of ambiguous
terms has led to unwarranted and incorrect applications of otherwise
correct doctrines. Well-established propositions being sometimes
admitted and at other times unceremoniously ignored, contradictory
statements are not infrequently found, which impair the reliability of
the conclusions of those writers. But although they have in a measure
failed to dispel the confusion of popular views, there is no reason why
social phenomena should be more difficult to analyze than those of a
physical or chemical nature. It should therefore be possible to find, by
logical deduction, the fundamental cause of involuntary idleness, or the
factor which destroys the natural equation between the supply of, and
the demand for, commodities. And this can be found only among the
conditions that regulate the distribution of wealth and determine its
division into Rent, Interest, and Wages.
The thorough ventilation which the relation of Rent to the Social
Problem has received through the works of Ricardo and his followers,
especially Henry George, while showing that a lowering of the margin of
cultivation can account for a lowering of wages by a reduction of the
productivity of labor, has brought forth no clear explanation for the
excess of the supply of commodities and services. As long as there
exists any uncultivated land capable of affording a living to its
cultivator, the law of rent cannot account for enforced idleness. The
study of the economic causes which produce, as well as the laws which
regulate, capital-profit, or interest proper, have in the interim been
comparatively neglected. It is therefore not inappropriate to give more
thought to the relation which interest bears to wages. A rational
analysis requiring the exclusion of all matter foreign to this relation,
the question of rent should be eliminated by assuming for the time being
that all natural and local advantages were equal.
While nature furnishes the substance of all wealth, labor and capital
are the factors that give this substance value. The productivity of
labor depends, however, in a great measure upon the amount of capital
employed. If some one, desiring to produce certain commodities, could
have the assistance of, say, one hundred men, the productivity of their
labor would be very low if no auxiliary capital were applied. The use of
crude tools would decidedly increase the efficiency of their efforts,
and if more capital in the form of improved auxiliaries were added, the
productivity would be still greater. There is, however, a limit to this
increase of the productivity of a given number of men by the addition of
capital, because capital, when used productively, will deteriorate, and
a portion of the labor must be diverted for the purpose of restoring
this loss. As the amount of labor so diverted grows with the increase of
capital, it is evident that the productive power of labor will not keep
pace with the addition of capital, and that a point can be reached
beyond which a further increase of capital will have an adverse effect
and actually reduce the net productivity of those one hundred men. The
variation of their productivity due to an increase of capital can be
represented by a curve of the character shown in Fig. 1. (See plate at
end of volume.)
For reasons just stated this curve will decline after passing the apex
M, which represents the highest possible productivity of the stated
amount of labor. The contingency of a future progress in the methods of
production, which would affect the course of the curve, is of course not
considered.
Although the productivity is at a maximum when an amount of capital
equal to OC is employed, the employer will not find it to his advantage
to apply this amount, because of the interest-bearing power of capital.
Letting the distance CI represent the interest due to the capital OC,
this amount must be deducted from the value produced, leaving the value
IM, from which the employer must defray the cost of labor, the remainder
being his wages for the management of the business. By using an amount
of capital equal to OC, the interest would have amounted to Ci, and the
return to labor and management, iP, would exceed the quantity IM. The
most advantageous proportion of capital can be located in the diagram by
finding that point, P, at which the curve is parallel to the
interest-line OI, and it is the tact of successful business-men to
closely approach this point in their management. The point P bears the
same relation to capital as the point of diminishing returns does to
land.
If the rate of interest payable on the capital OC had been CI’, the high
rate would have caused the employer to apply capital more sparingly, and
our diagram would in fact indicate that the productivity C”P’, due to
the capital OC”, will give the best result. On the other hand, if the
producers could have abundant capital without interest, labor would be
employed most advantageously at its natural maximum of productivity.
The diagram clearly illustrates the separation of the value produced by
labor and capital into interest and wages, the remuneration of the
manager being considered wages. But while so far we can see no
indication as to what determines the rate of interest, it will be
perceived that as interest rises wages become less, for the productivity
of labor will be reduced by the more cautious use of capital, and,
besides, a greater proportion of that which has been produced will go to
capital as interest. The remuneration of all labor is represented by
i’P’ when interest is high, by iP when interest is low, and it would be
equal to CM if capital could be obtained without interest. This
proposition is true only for a state of persistency, when no secondary
factors intervene, and not for transitory periods of industrial
activity. If from any cause persistency is disturbed, the disturbing
factor may for a time change this relation between wages and interest,
and make wages and interest rise or fall simultaneously. We shall see
that the cause of involuntary idleness is just such a factor.
In comparing the proposition that under otherwise equal conditions a
high rate of interest tends to reduce wages with the indisputable fact
that when many men are without employment wages are low, a strong
suspicion is raised that an intimate relation may exist between the
economic cause of high interest and that of involuntary idleness; for
there is no phenomenon which can have two independent explanations. We
are therefore justified in pursuing the investigation by searching for
the law that determines the rate of interest.
This inquiry must be directed, not so much to the cause of the increase
of productivity attainable by the use of capital over that of productive
efforts made without the use of auxiliaries, but to the economic causes
that assign to the owner of capital a portion of. that which is produced
by the co-operation of capital and labor.
In order to discriminate intelligently between the conflicting
definitions of the term “Capital,” as given by the authorities, we
should first understand why a distinction is made between wealth which
is, and wealth which is not, capital. Experience shows that wealth under
certain conditions is capable of bringing a revenue to its owner, and
this power fully justifies a classification being made. There being no
other economic difference of importance, it must be accepted as the real
motive of this differentiation of wealth. Adam Smith defines the term by
this power, and is followed by others, notably Macleod. There is,
however, a strong tendency among modern writers to depart from this
natural definition with a view of indicating the source of this power.
According to John Stuart Mill capital is the accumulated produce of
labor requisite for further production. The term “Capital,” therefore,
covers two totally distinct concepts, which are frequently confounded to
the detriment of correct reasoning. Capital, in its abstract
sense,—comprising all wealth capable of bringing a revenue, —admits the
conception of a “conversion of capital” or of “floating capital,” etc.,
not referring to any particular thing, but to wealth in general when it
has a certain economic relation to its owner, while in its concrete
sense,— meaning certain things produced by labor, and used for certain
purposes,— its conversion is inconceivable. Yet the adherents of the
concrete definition adopt these phrases without even suspecting the
logical error. Moreover, the concrete definition, if not further
qualified, lacks the feature of exactness, in not stating whether wealth
is capital whenever it is capable of being used productively, or only as
long as it is in productive use. There is, however, no room for dissent.
The mere ability of things to be used in production, if they are not so
employed, cannot account for the revenue-returning feature, which being
the distinguishing attribute of capital, it is plain that not the
potentiality of wealth, but its actual use alone can turn wealth into
capital. Nor does this definition cover objects which are being consumed
unproductively, such as private residences rented to tenants, etc. A
hired equipage is aiding further production no more than a private
carriage, yet in one case it is capital, in the other it is not.
Another inconsistency is shown by the exponents of the concrete
definition when they include money in the category of capital, while in
reality money as such neither is nor can be used in the act of
production, and therefore never can be a requisite for further
production. This is admitted either directly or by implication by most
economists. Newcomb asserts that “the money serves the banker no useful
purpose until he passes it to some one else, perhaps a customer. Every
one into whose hands it falls must be paying or losing interest on it
while he keeps it, and he cannot gain the interest until he purchases an
ownership in some form of actual capital.” This is clearly an admission
that interest must be paid or will be lost on money wherever it may be,
or to whatever use it may be put; for even if actual capital is
purchased, the loss of interest must be borne by the one to whom the
money is transferred. Money being thus admitted to be unproductive, it
cannot be considered capital if the definition of Mill is adopted, and
any preposition relating to capital and demonstrated under this
definition cannot be consistently applied to money. It is therefore
important to pay special attention to the interest-bearing power of
money, the real source of which is not generally recognized.
In the following discussion the term capital will be used in its
concrete sense.
The income derived from wealth, whatever be its form, can be acquired by
its owner in two ways. fie may use the wealth productively, or, by
loaning it to others, receive a premium for its use. In the one case the
income accrues as profit, consisting of the excess of value obtained
over and above the market value of the labor applied and other expenses
incurred; in the other case it appears as interest proper, which is
equal to the gross interest minus the rate of risk and deterioration.
But since he who borrows capital is willing to give interest because the
use of capital will give him a material advantage, it follows that
profits derived from loans must be considered mere transfers of the
value of this advantage.
Applying this preposition to the interest-bearing power of money, we are
confronted with the fact that money cannot be utilized as a requisite of
production, and is therefore incapable of bringing an excess of value in
this respect. Consequently we are. obliged to look elsewhere for any
benefit which may be derived from its use. It is true, we are told that
with money actual capital can be purchased from which profit may be
obtained. John Stuart Mill says, “Money, which is so commonly understood
as the synonyme of wealth, is more especially the term in use to denote
it when it is the subject of borrowing. When one person lends to
another, as well as when he pays wages or rent to another, what he
transfers is not the mere money, but a right to a certain value of the
produce of the country to be selected at pleasure, the lender having
first bought this right by giving for it a portion of his capital. What
he really lends is so much capital; the money is the mere instrument of
transfer.”
In this proposition it is assumed that money is not necessarily wealth,
but a right to a certain amount of wealth, and that the lender of money
has received his money by giving a portion of his capital for that which
is merely an evidence of such surrender of capital coupled with the
right to demand an equivalent at pleasure. This right is what is
transferred to the borrower, who can use the capital so obtainable, and
for this use pays interest. To an unprejudiced mind several pertinent
questions will naturally arise. If society has obtained capital for
which it has given merely a right to demand an equivalent, why does not
society pay for the use of that capital, indemnifying the holder of
money for his abstinence, until that right to demand has been redeemed?
If Mill’s reasoning is correct, somebody must have the lender’s capital
even before he lends the money to others, and justice would require that
the interest gained by its use should be paid to the holder of money by
the user of that capital. Moreover, why is it that the borrower of money
must pay interest for the mere right to select capital before the
selection is made? During the interval between the borrowing of money
and the selection of capital society has the use of that capital, and
society rather than the borrower of money should in equity bear the
burden of interest. Furthermore, why should the borrower of money pay
the interest to the lender who has given his actual capital to somebody
else, instead of paying it to him who renders the service of giving
actual capital for a mere evidence of surrender and right to demand an
equivalent?
If capital has reproductive powers while money has not, it is not
reasonable to assume that anybody would willingly exchange actual,
profit-bearing capital for money, on which interest will be lost, if
money should not afford some other equivalent advantage, and
notwithstanding the assertions of authorities we must look for a
property inherent in money which alone can account for the willingness
of borrowers to pay interest to the lender of money.
As regards concrete capital,—i.e., products of labor applied to further
production, there can be no doubt that profits can originate only while
it is used in combination with labor. Capital profits will therefore
invariably appear in conjunction with wages, in the manner shown in the
diagram Fig. 1. (See plate at end of volume.) The term production must
here of course be understood in its broad sense. Goods exposed for sale,
aggregated with others of a similar nature, though apparently out of
use, are really in the stage of commercial production, the process of
distribution requiring them to remain, for a time, in a seemingly inert
state. Industrial capital may also be temporarily out of use without
ceasing to be capital as this term is commonly accepted. Machines are
usually idle not only fourteen hours each day but also one day of each
week.
But the requisites of production may be out of use for quite other
reasons. To be productively employed they must be aggregated in certain
combinations. A power-loom, for instance, can be in industrial use only
when located in a suitable building, when connected by shafting and
belting with a motor, when supplied with yarns to be woven into a
fabric, and when attended by a mechanic skilled in the art of weaving.
Each of the numerous branches into which production is divided requires
a peculiar combination of raw materials, auxiliaries, and human skill.
Any product passing through the various processes in the course of its
economic maturation becomes alternately a raw and a finished product,
the finished product of one group of producers being the raw material of
those that follow.
Regarding a single group, the wealth in course of generation, after
passing through the process peculiar to that group, becomes a finished
product, ceasing to be a requisite of production to this group, and is
to all intents and purposes inert wealth or idle capital. In this form
it is virtually no-interest capital, and has the same function in the
theory of capital-interest that no-rent land has in the theory of rent.
It can be vivified or converted into live capital only if transferred to
another group, in which it will find that combination of capital and
skilled labor congenial to its further maturation.
But in the present quasi-individualistic state of society such transfers
are always contingent upon the return of equivalents. These exchanges
would be beset by serious obstacles, practically forbidding a division
of labor, if the special instrument of exchange, money, were unknown,
which though not a means of production, is a very essential factor in
our industrial system. Without it those transfers which convert inert
wealth into active capital and render possible a division of labor would
be almost impossible.
This will explain why an owner of actual capital is willing to exchange
it for money on which he will lose interest while possessing it. The
capital he is willing to give for money has manifestly arrived at that
stage of production when it is to him a finished product and requires to
be transferred to other producers to become live capital, while he in
turn requires capital which is inert to others but capable of further
productive manipulation by him. To accomplish these transfers, money is
the indispensable instrument. One of the most important phases of this
function is the paying of wages,—i.e., the distribution, among the
producers, of the increment of value which accrues to all products as
they pass through the various stages of production.
This analysis leads to the inference that interest on money-loans is
paid because money affords special advantages as a medium of exchange,
and the fact that most money transactions of to-day are made by means of
paper evidences without transfer of actual wealth confirms this
conclusion. A loan of bank-notes on security is admittedly an exchange
of two rights of action,—one, the security, having a precarious, the
other, the money, having an ever-ready value. The right of action which
the banker accepts as security can be exchanged for other things, or
realized, only on certain conditions, while that which he gives is
readily accepted everywhere at its face value. This universal
acceptability gives to money its special advantage, and being the only
important difference between the two rights of action, the payment of
interest can be traced to no other feature of money.
We can now proceed to investigate the value of this advantage and its
relation to the rate of interest. In a community in which, for the want
of money, barter is the sole method of exchange, an extensive division
of labor with its attending advantages would be impossible. A limited
supply of money can only partially improve this condition, but it would
naturally flow into those channels in which the resulting advantages are
greatest. A second equal supply, while likewise augmenting productivity
by permitting a further division of labor, would not increase it in the
same measure, the channels of the first order being filled. A third
equal supply would further increase productivity, but in a still less
degree. The general advantage afforded by money can therefore be
represented by a curve, as shown in Fig. 2 (see plate at end of volume),
the ordinates representing the increase of annual productivity
contingent upon the corresponding increment of the volume of money
represented by the abscissae, each new addition corresponding with a
diminishing advantage.
Now, although the successive additions to the volume of money produce
different effects as far as the general good is concerned, the law of
supply and demand will tend to accord to all money in the same market an
equal rate of interest, and it can be demonstrated that this rate will
adjust itself to the ultimate utility of money, namely, the annual
increase of productivity, Va, afforded by the last addendum, dV, of the
total volume of money, OV. For if the owner of this last quantity of
money expected a higher rate, he would find all channels capable of
rendering such a rate fully supplied, and must therefore be content with
the advantage of the best channel yet open. He being the lowest bidder,
this obviously determines the market rate of interest, as indicated by
the horizontal line ca.
The diagram now plainly shows the separation of the total benefit
derived from the division of labor attainable by the use of the volume
of money OV, and represented by the area OcbaV, into two parts; the
oblong OcaV incloses that part which the law of supply and demand will
apportion to money as interest, while the remainder, the area cba, will
accrue to capital and labor. The diagram also appears to indicate that
the rate of interest on money-loans, other things being equal, will
depend on the volume of money in circulation, whenever the law of supply
and demand is free to operate.
The inquiry as to the economic cause of the profit which accrues to
wealth used productively can now be continued. Such profit can arise
only if the value created by the combination of capital and labor
exceeds the cost of labor; that is, if the value produced exceeds the
cost of production, this cost including the value of the labor of the
employer. Here the question naturally arises, What determines the market
value of that which is produced, and when and why does it exceed the
cost of production? In answer we must refer to the law of supply and
demand, the effect of which is thus definitely expressed by Ricardo:
“The exchangeable value of all commodities, whether they be
manufactured, or the produce of the mine, or the produce of land, is
always regulated not by the less quantity of labor that will suffice for
their production under circumstances highly favorable and exclusively
enjoyed by those who have peculiar facilities of production, but by the
greater quantity of labor necessarily bestowed on their production by
those who have no such facilities; by those who continue to produce them
under the most unfavorable circumstances; meaning, by the most
unfavorable circumstances, the most unfavorable under which the quantity
of produce required renders it necessary to carry on the production.”
Ricardo has evidently in mind those things which are produced under
different degrees of difficulty, the quantity produced under the most
favorable conditions being inadequate to supply the demand. The total
demand determining the margin of the least favorable point at which
production will be continued, Ricardo’s law of value can be briefly
stated as follows: The natural value of those things that are being
reproduced is always- equal to their cost of production at the margin of
production. Conceding this proposition, it follows that every profit
must be traceable to an advantage which its recipient possesses over the
marginal producer, and, moreover, that no persistent profit can possibly
arise unless there be a difference in the opportunities of production.
In continuing our inquiry we must look for such a difference.
It would be an error to bring into consideration the difference of
abilities of employers. The so-called profits of the enterprising
business manager are, as a rule, a remuneration for valuable services
rendered, and properly belong to the category of wages. Our object is to
find the economic cause which apportions a share of the produce to
capital independent of its owner’s ability or assistance as a worker or
manager. There is but one class of variable producer’s expenses having
the character of a disadvantage that has any direct connection with our
subject. Those who do not own all the capital they are using must pay
interest on their indebtedness, which increases their actual outlay over
that of business-men free of debt. The question is now, should this
outlay be considered an unavoidable addition of the cost at the margin.
If it were paid because of the profit-bringing power of the borrowed
capital, then the solution of the problem would be as remote as ever.
But if there be some other economic factor compelling this outlay, its
examination may reveal that which we are in search of.
Business debts are, as a rule, contracted not by borrowing actual
capital, but by borrowing money, and, as we have seen that money bears.
interest solely on account of its attribute as a medium of exchange, and
have taken issue with the prevailing impression that the borrowing of
money is a borrowing of capital, we must search for the reason why
business- men so largely depend upon loans to procure the medium of
exchange.
Were it possible to separate by a sharp line the financial from the
industrial world, these who issue and those who loan money from those
who produce wealth, the flow of money between these two groups would
present a very striking feature. The industrial group could obtain the
medium of exchange requisite to carry on commerce in but two ways; by
selling the products of their labor to the financial group, and by
borrowing money from them. By the first measure the transfer of money
from one to the other group is absolute, by the second it is conditional
upon a return of the principal with the addition of interest. Loans, as
a rule, imply a return of a greater sum of money than was loaned, and
the only persistent source from which this excess can be drawn is
obviously the first mentioned way of obtaining money. These receipts
from sales are, however, not so much regulated by the productivity of
the debtors as by the willingness of the creditors to buy that which the
debtors offer for sale. And since money loaned to others is a source of
income, it is quite natural that the creditors will not only reinvest
the principal, but will reserve a part of that which they receive as
interest for additional investments. Hence only a portion of the money
Which the debtor class pays as interest to the creditors will return to
them by the regular channels of commerce, and the receipts of money, by
the industrial group, from sales to the financial group being for this
reason less than the amount of interest paid, the primary effect will be
a reduction of the money circulating among the producers. Some of the
channels of commerce, that were previously filled with the requisite
medium of exchange, having been thus depleted, the members of the
industrial group will be induced to borrow not only that money which had
been returned as principal, but also that which the financiers had
reserved for additional investments. This measure will increase both the
indebtedness and the obligation to pay interest, augmenting the
discrepancy between the amount of money received through sales and that
expended to pay interest, the growth of indebtedness assuming more or
less the nature of a geometrical progression. This cannot continue
forever. It not only becomes a physical impossibility for the debtors,
as a class, to ever satisfy their creditors, but they are irresistibly
driven, by the fatality of these conditions, into bankruptcy.
These conditions do in reality exist in our present social system. Even
though the distinction between the financiers and the producers is not
as sharp as outlined in the above analysis, the premises are,
notwithstanding, amply justified. By virtue of “our financial, “laws,
which forbid the issuer of bank-notes to use them for industrial”
purposes, this money can be brought into circulation only by the
creation of a debtor class, which is necessarily recruited from the
industrial group. It is true, the pressure, which we have seen will
inevitably result, will not fall with equal severity upon all men
engaged in production. Many will keep out of debt, while others will
succeed in freeing themselves from that burden. But since interest must
be paid in money, and the debtors as a class cannot indefinitely pay
more than the amount they realize from sales to the creditors,—these
sales being inadequate to restore to the debtors the means of paying the
interest, owing to the fact that the creditors apply a portion of their
income to additional investments,— the inability to pay must result in
the failure of the less successful of the producers despite their
industry and intelligence, not for the lack of business capacity, but
because their competitors are abler than they. They will continue to
produce until their debts exceed the value of their capital, when, being
driven beyond the margin of successful competition, they must succumb to
the inevitable. We here recognize a condition which inexorably forces
upon the producers an ever-increasing indebtedness and obligation to pay
interest, precipitating one after another into insolvency. Those who are
at the verge of bankruptcy, being indebted to an amount equal to the
value of the capital they employ, are obviously the marginal producers,
and as the natural value of the products will equal the cost of
production to them, all producers whose capital is unencumbered will
obtain a profit equal to the interest payable on borrowed money by those
marginal producers.
This course of reasoning would indicate that, quite contrary to the
generally received doctrine, the power of money to command an interest
is not the result, but the cause of capital-profit.
This is, however, not the only important conclusion to which this
analysis leads. The logical results of the conditions depicted agree so
fully with all the phenomena common to business depressions, that no
more complete verification of the theory can be desired. As the
indebtedness of the producers grows with an ever-increasing rapidity,
they cannot indefinitely continue to contract new loans. Money will
accumulate in the hands of the financial class instead of circulating in
the channels of commerce. The inability of the producers to meet their
obligations will become general, investments will become hazardous, and
a portion of the interest must be devoted to cover the occasional losses
of the creditors, the remainder alone being a real source of income.
Interest will thereby be separated into two parts, the risk premium, or
insurance to balance the deficiency of the principal returned on loans,
and the interest proper. The law of supply and demand no longer
dominates in fixing the rate of interest. Its operation is impeded by
the inability of the debtor class to return more money than they
receive. The determination of the rate of interest proper must therefore
be relegated to another law, born of the same conditions that produce
the deplorable results so characteristic of our present industrial
development. The constant drain upon the money in circulation paralyzes
commerce and obstructs the division of labor. Products in various stages
of completion accumulate in the hands of the producers who cannot
transfer them for further productive manipulation. The means of
production are lying idle and workmen skilled in special trades cannot
find employment; The financiers, in whose hands the money accumulates,
are anxious to loan it at low interest on good security, but the general
stagnation of business renders all investments insecure or unprofitable.
Thus we find a ready explanation of the phenomena of business
depression, and can discard such insufficient and illogical though
popular explanations as a general loss of mutual confidence,
speculation, accidental coincidence of unsuccessful enterprises,
excessive railroad construction, over-production, keen competition,
strikes, etc. All these alleged causes are in reality merely symptoms of
the same social disorder.
For the analytical deduction of the Law of Interest see Appendix.
When by purely deductive reasoning we arrive at conclusions so
completely corresponding with experience, it is reasonable to accept
their promptings as to the proper method of avoiding industrial
stagnation, which our investigation has shown to be engendered by an
insufficient supply of money. We are naturally led to ask, What limits
the volume of money? Before the development of the modern banking
system, when the precious metals were the almost exclusive money-medium,
the volume of money could not exceed the amount of those metals. But
since the use of credit as a medium of exchange has been established,
the extent to which the money-volume can be increased is almost
unbounded, encompassing the entire credit of the business world, which
is undoubtedly the natural limit. Our financial laws, however, by
strictly circumscribing the emission of credit-money, impose an
artificial barrier, the removal of which would put an end to the
involuntary idleness which the onerous toll for the use of money
occasions. But since an issue of money, limited only by the effective
credit, would be a radical departure from our present system, it is
proper to examine the principal objections urged against it,—the ease
with which it can be abused, and its effect upon the purchasing power of
money.
The first of these objections is not justified, since the abolition of
an arbitrary limitation need not involve the withdrawal of the ordinary
safeguards that restrain the unscrupulous. To prevent fraud and
imposition the government has been invested with the power to furnish
money, guaranteeing its value, and controlling its issue. But
restrictions are made that are not in harmony with this reason for
confining the regulation of credit money to the government, and they are
primarily responsible for the scarcity of money and its consequences.
The unlimited issue, by the government, of credit money to those
furnishing proper. security, precisely as it now loans notes to the
national banks, with this difference, that not only national bonds, but
any adequate security be acceptable, while removing the arbitrary limit,
would in no wise facilitate abuse. The risk involved in accepting
securities other than bonds could be met by a charge of interest
sufficient to cover these losses, the rate of such risk being readily
ascertained. In the absence of an arbitrary limit the volume of money
would be free to expand in proportion to the effective demand, and the
rate of interest being reduced to the rate of risk only, interest proper
for the use of money would cease.
To be sure, capital as well as money when loaned will continue to bring
a return, but the law of supply and demand operating without artificial
restriction, the pay for the loan of capital will naturally adjust
itself to the economic value of its use,—i.e., the rate of risk and the
deterioration of the capital loaned. Only the apparent power of capital
to more than reproduce itself, the ability to bring a persistent
revenue, will terminate.
The removal of the artificial impediment to the free conversion of sound
credit into money would have a. vital bearing upon the Rent question
which is now exciting considerable interest in economic circles. A
reduction of the current rate of interest is known to have the effect of
raising land values, and if the rate of interest proper were reduced to
zero, land values would obviously rise until the taxes, if assessed pro
rata on the value of real estate, will practically absorb all of the
economic rent. The nationalization of the economic advantages of natural
and local opportunities would therefore result without any further
legislation on the subject.
The second objection, founded upon the assertion that the purchasing
power of money is always inversely proportional to the total volume,
other things being equal, is widely accepted as conclusive. Were it true
that an increase of the volume of money would be balanced by a reduction
of the value of each dollar, the capacity of the total amount of money
to perform its function would remain unchanged, and under such
circumstances the measure suggested would obviously be futile.
This theory of the value of money, though disputed by some economists,
is vigorously defended by most English and American writers. Ricardo
asserts: “That commodities would rise or fall in price, in proportion to
the increase or diminution of money, I assume as a fact which is
incontrovertible.” Yet the strongest arguments that can be adduced
against this position are found in this writer’s works. He unqualifiedly
declares that the value of any article capable of reproduction is equal
to the highest cost at which its production is continued, the cost at
the margin of production. It is therefore remarkable that in the
quotation referred to this law of value, which has been so properly
applied in the theory of rent, has been totally ignored, especially
since he admits that, “While the state coins money, and charges no
seignorage, money will be of the same value as any other piece of the
same metal of equal weight and fineness; but if the state charges a
seignorage for coinage, the coined piece of money will generally exceed
the value of the uncoined piece of metal by the whole seignorage
charged.” Here it is plainly acknowledged that the value of money equals
its cost of production. Now, if this proposition is true, the value of
money can rise or fall, or prices in general can fall or rise, only if
the cost of producing money is changed, and the volume of money already
in circulation cannot influence this value. If, on the other hand, the
quantity of money in circulation determines the value of money, this
value, in consequence, would be independent of the cost of production.
Obviously one of the two Ricardian propositions must be wrong.
John Stuart Mill follows Ricardo very closely. In two consecutive
chapters he expounds both propositions, and attempts to harmonize them
by referring to a particular illustration in which the contradiction
does not present itself plainly. Other inconsistencies are disposed of
in an equally remarkable manner. After showing that money is merely a
contrivance for facilitating exchanges, the mode of exchanging things
for one another consisting in first exchanging a thing for money and
then exchanging the money for something else, he asserts that “The value
or purchasing power of money depends, in the first instance, on demand
and supply.... The supply of money ... is all the money in circulation
at the time.... As the whole of the goods in the market compose the
demand for money, so the whole of the money constitutes the demand for
goods. The money and the goods are seeking each other for the purpose of
being exchanged. It is indifferent whether, in characterizing the
phenomena, we speak of the demand and supply of goods, or the supply and
the demand of money. They are equivalent expressions.”
This proposition leads to a very remarkable inference. Conceding that
the seller of things wants money only for getting other things, then the
demand for money is virtually a demand for those other things; and since
the supply of goods and the demand for money are “equivalent
expressions,” and the denial for money really means a demand for goods,
it must logically follow that the value of all money must equal the
value of all goods offered for sale. This conclusion is obviously at
variance with facts. It is true, in the same chapter this very inference
is repudiated, — but this involves a qualification which reflects
disastrously upon the original preposition. The logic of a writer can
fairly be questioned who propounds a doctrine, repudiates one of its
corollaries, and then finds fault with others for refusing to accept
this preposition as incontrovertible.
Professor Newcomb attempts to show by the equation existing between the
industrial or societary and the monetary flow that prices in general
must rise or fall as the volume of money is increased or reduced, but
the fact appears to have escaped his attention that a restriction of the
money-volume necessarily reacts upon the corresponding industrial flow,
which renders untenable his conclusion based on a constant industrial
flow. It is the amount of societary circulation and eventually the
rapidity of circulation, and not the value of the dollar, that will
respond to a change of the volume of money. His. equation, properly
interpreted, proves conclusively that the limitation of the volume of
money, in being attended by a restriction of the monetary flow, must
react unfavorably upon the industrial flow and consequently produce
business stagnation.
The opinion that the value of money bears an inverse ratio to its volume
originates from a misconception of the nature of credit-money, resting
on the absurd belief that value can be created or changed by the flat of
the government. Even though the followers of Ricardo contest this view,
they inadvertently commit themselves to it in their doctrine of the
value of the so-called inconvertible notes. They aver that such notes,
when brought into circulation while coin is yet in use, in driving the
coin out of circulation assume a value equal to that of the precious
metals thus displaced. This would obviously imply that the issue of such
notes does increase the wealth of a country.
There is but one rational theory of credit-money. The note is merely an
evidence that the bearer has a right of action against the issuer,—in
other words, a qualified right of ownership to wealth held by the issuer
of the note,—and its current value equals the amount of wealth or
services obtainable, or supposed to be obtainable, for this evidence
from the issuer. The value must of course be specified by reference to a
value unit,—usually a definite weight of silver or gold,—in which the
notes must be conditionally redeemable, but not necessarily on demand,
and a depreciation from this nominal value can occur only if the issuer
fails to fulfil his promise and the holders of the notes are unable to
compel such fulfilment. As regards their value, banknotes as well as the
so-called inconvertible notes are essentially analogous to mortgages,
promissory notes, and other evidences of indebtedness, and any attempt
to apply the volume doctrine to the value of the latter would properly
be condemned as a fallacy. Why, then, should it be true if applied to
credit-money? If a bank-note is a receipt, showing that the holder has
surrendered some value, it must also specify reciprocally as to who has
received this value, and will return it when the note is retired. The
members of society severally can surely not be held responsible for what
one person has given to another; they will therefore not accept a note
unless they have the assurance that the issuer, who is the first
recipient of value for the mere paper evidence, will ultimately redeem
the note by giving the specified value for it. The so-called
inconvertible notes contain the premise of redemption by implication
only; and whenever the government accepts them in payment of taxes—that
is, in exchange for services rendered—this promise is fulfilled. But not
being definitely expressed, governments have often taken advantage of
this looseness of contract, and have violated what should have been a
sacred obligation. Even now the opinion prevails that the excess of the
nominal over the intrinsic value of subsidiary coin is a legitimate
“Profit” to the government, contrary to the dictates of honesty, which
demand that this excess should be viewed as a temporary surrender of
value by the bearer of the coin, to be returned when the coin is
retired. Unfortunately, it is not generally recognized that in money
three factors are essential: first, the token; second, wealth in the
control of the issuer and obtainable, or supposed to be obtainable, in
some form by the holder of the token; and, third, the general agreement
which makes the token universally acceptable. In making the token of
gold weighing 25.8 grains per dollar, any further guarantee is
superfluous, but if only a portion or none of the value accompanies the
token, the deficiency is supplemented by a right of action or its
equivalent against the issuer. For this reason depreciation cannot take
place unless the holder of the token is unable to obtain the promised
value from the issuer. Should the government furnish money-tokens to all
those who give proper security in the form of rights of action against
their possessions, the property so involved would be the basis of the
value of these notes, the government holding the rights of action to
insure the ultimate redemption of the notes.
It is frequently urged that the French assignats are an example of the
evil effects of an expansion of credit-money, while in reality their
depreciation must be attributed to a virtual absence of any Specific
right conferred by their possession. While their value was alleged to be
founded upon land, neither the amount of land nor its value was in any
way defined upon the notes, and a statement of value or exchangeability
having thus been omitted, their value was purely imaginary, and they
could circulate only as long as there was a hope of an ultimate
redemption. The United States greenbacks depreciated for no other reason
than a partial repudiation, consisting in the refusal of the issuer to
accept them for all debts at face value,—i.e., 25.8 grains of gold per
dollar. Manifestly, the idea that the volume of money has any effect
whatever upon the purchasing power of the dollar—except in the measure
in which a change of the volume of coin may affect the demand for, and
hence the commodity value of, gold—is a gigantic delusion, warranted
neither by theory nor by facts, and the second objection to an extensive
issue of credit-money falls to the ground. There remains no reason to
fear any evil effects of an expansion of the money-volume while it
remains within the bounds of substantial credit.
But few words are needed to show how insufficient are the current
theories that seek to account for the reproductive power of capital.
There are really but two doctrines in vogue, the one ascribing interest
to the increased efficiency of labor when supplemented by proper tools,
the other claiming that men will not forego the present use of wealth
without compensation for their temporary abstinence, and that this
payment is necessary to induce people to make and save wealth to be used
as capital.
An illustration will enable us to examine the correctness of the utility
doctrine.
Since a tailor can do more work by using a sewing-machine than he can by
hand, rather than do without the ma- chine which he may be unable to
purchase he will gladly give a portion of the increased production for
the hire of such a machine. This is altogether true, but what does it
prove? It certainly proves nothing in regard to capital-profit. The same
argument might be offered to demonstrate that all drinking-water must
have a price because any man famishing from thirst would willingly pay a
high price for a drink. Returning to our illustration, let it be assumed
at first that only one man can make sewing-machines, he being the
patentee. The tailors will no doubt offer as, a hire a part of their
extra earnings, and the supply of machines being inadequate, those
wanting machines, in competing against each other, will offer almost the
entire advantage gained by the use of the machines. We must of course
take into consideration that the aversion of tradesmen to change their
wonted method of working and other elements reduce the estimated
advantages below the actual increase of production. With this
qualification it can be said that there exists an economic tendency to
give to the sole maker of the machines approximately the entire
advantage gained by the use of the machines.
But after the patent expires and others can make sewing-machines, their
supply will rapidly increase because they will be a profitable
investment. Then the owners of the machines will compete, and the rate
of hire will fall, involving a cheapening of the produce of the
sewing-machine, the consumers of which will reap that part of the
benefit resulting from the invention which ceases to be returned to the
owners of the machines. The question is now as to how far competition
will tend to depress the hire. Why is it that the law of supply and
demand assigns only a portion of the benefit of the invention, after it
has become public property, to the consumer of that which has been
produced on the machine? Why is it that a portion of that which had
formed the remuneration of the inventor goes to the owner of the machine
in which that invention is incorporated? The inventor as such certainly
ceases to reap any specific benefit from the time the invention becomes
virtually public property. The answer to these questions must furnish
the real clue to capital-profit, if it is attributable to the benefit
afforded by the use of capital. The hire being now less than the
advantage due to the use of the machine, this advantage ceases to
determine the hire, and we must look for some other economic factor
fixing this rate. Capital will no doubt continue to be invested in the
making of sewing-machines as long as the profit resulting from this
investment exceeds that which can be obtained from other investments,
and the hire will fall as more capital is invested in this branch. Were
other forms of capital incapable of returning a profit, the investments
in sewing-machines would increase until the profit accruing after
deducting risk and deterioration would be only nominal, or practically
nil. But other forms of capital being known to bring a revenue,
investors will be attracted only so long as the hire of sewing-machines
will bring a profit over and above that of other investments. We are
thus led to the inference that capital in the form of sewing-machines
can persistently bring interest only because other forms of capital are
capable of bringing interest. The sewing-machine as such can therefore
not account for profit on capital; the cause of interest must be looked
for elsewhere, and since the same can be said of all other means of
production, we are again compelled to fall back upon the
interest-bearing power of money as the cause of all capital-profit,
money being the only form of wealth to which an economic cause for
interest can be assigned, while laws are in operation which by
obstructing commerce render possible the collection of a tell from the
toilers.
Doubting that the use of inanimate products can account for the apparent
reproductive power of capital, some writers resort to a modification of
the utility argument, which may be presented by quoting Jeremy Bentham’s
criticism of Aristotle, who held that all money is in its nature barren.
“A consideration that did not happen to present itself to that great
philosopher, but which, had it happened to present itself, might not
have been altogether unworthy of his notice, is, that though a daric
would not beget another daric, any more than it would a ram, or a ewe,
yet for a daric which a man borrowed he might get a ram and a couple of
ewes, and that the ewes, were the ram left with them a certain time,
would probably not be barren. That then, at the end of the year, he
would find himself master of his three sheep, together with two, if not
three, lambs; and that, if he sold his sheep again to pay back his
daric, and gave one of the lambs for the use of it in the mean time, he
would be two lambs, or at least one lamb, richer than if he had made no
such bargain.”
In this illustration we are told of two persons, one having sheep, which
have the power of multiplying and are therefore supposed to be capable
of spontaneously reproducing value, the other having money, which is
acknowleged to be barren; yet one is willing to give his reproductive
capital for money which is minus this desirable attribute. To say that
with the daric the seller of the sheep might buy other sheep, or wheat,
or wine, would be arguing in a circle. Viewing the transaction in the
light in which its presentation is intended, it is evident that some one
will be deprived of that benefit which the buyer of the sheep can reap;
for the darics will continue to exist as darics and are not converted
into anything else, and those who unwisely sold their automatic
value-producers are just minus the three lambs as a result of their
exchanges. There must be some flaw in this argument, for the sellers of
sheep are as a rule as shrewd as the buyers. It appears that a
consideration did not happen to present itself to the critic of the
Greek philosopher, but which, had it happened to present itself, might
have deterred him from antagonizing Aristotle. The housing, feeding, and
raising of the sheep and lambs require labor, without which the owner of
the sheep would not have been the owner of the lambs. Leaving out of
account the conditions which give rise to rent, as well as the effects
of various restrictions to competition, the value of that labor and the
value of the three lambs would be identical. The value of the lambs,
then, must be attributed to the labor spent, and not to the reproductive
power of the sheep; hence the logic of Bentham falls to the ground.
It is remarkable that this very argument has been revived by Henry
George, who has more than any one else contributed towards popularizing
the doctrine that the forces of nature cannot produce value independent
of the quantity of labor applied, unless the supply is inadequate; and
the margin of cultivation being the limit that separates an insufficient
from a redundant supply, it manifestly marks the line at which the
bounty of nature ceases to have an exchange value. Presuming freedom. of
competition, the reproductive powers of nature at the margin can
accordingly produce no value beyond that of the labor requisite to aid
nature in its processes and to appropriate its gifts.
But even admitting, for the sake of argument, that interest could arise
from the creative forces of nature, it remains a mystery as to how this
power is imparted to money when loaned. The allegation is that its
exchangeability with vital products accomplishes this transfer. This,
however, is not a valid reason. Exchanges are consummated on account of
the properties possessed by the objects of exchange; but here we are
informed that a thing can be invested with a property it does not
originally possess by the mere fact of being exchanged for a thing which
has that property. This is clearly one of the many instances in which
cause and effect are confounded.
Were it true that vital products are capable of bringing interest while
money as such is not, then vital products and money would be
economically heterogeneous and hence non-interchangeable.
Regarding the abstinence doctrine, its repeated condemnation and revival
in modified forms alone is sufficient to betray its weakness. Its modern
presentation generally takes the form of the assertion that immediate
payments are preferred to premises of future payments. But we cannot be
unmindful of the fact that Safe Deposit Companies are even paid for
delivering at a future time valuables received at present. This shows
that those who accumulate wealth for a future use will prefer a future
delivery if it saves the trouble and risk that accompanies the
conservation of wealth; provided the factor of risk is absent, and the
wealth receivable is not available for profitable investment. The
possibility of a profitable investment of capital is therefore one of
the conditions under which this argument is applicable, and for this
reason abstinence cannot account for interest. In the sense in which it
is used by the followers of Senior, abstinence is a voluntary delay of
consumption, nothing more; and since no one can deny that the utility of
abstinence consists in the ability to consume at a later day that which
is not consumed to-day, its natural pay cannot exceed the value of the
wealth conserved. The “Element of Time” is frequently mentioned as a
factor in the law of distribution, but its exact bearing on the genesis
of interest is never made quite clear. If time has any economic effect
upon wealth, it is generally one of deterioration, involving a loss of
value, the exceptions being rare.
Other arguments are equally doubtful. The assertion that man would not
save capital if he could not make it a source of income is an insult to
the intelligence of man. While it is true that he will not loan his
wealth to any one without interest when he can get interest for the same
loan from others, his propensity to accumulate will continue even after
all but the natural motives for saving are removed. Man is certainly not
inferior to the bee or the badger. That he will provide for the
contingencies of the uncertain future even at the risk of loss and
deterioration is indisputable.
The expectation to meet, or the fear of, a future want is, however, not
the only inducement; there exists another most potent motive for
producing capital. Experience has taught that the indirect way of
production which brings into requisition auxiliaries of a more or less
intricate character is the most fertile and the least irksome method.
The accumulation of capital is essential to the saving of labor, and our
desire to gratify our wants with the least exertion prompts us to
produce these auxiliaries which facilitate production, even if they
should lack the power of returning a revenue.
For this reason there is no foundation for the fear that progress will
be impeded when capital fails to bring a persistent income. Those
producers who employ the most approved method of production will always
have an advantage over those who are slow to follow the march of
improvement. But even the latter will in time follow in the footsteps of
their more enterprising competitors, when a cheapening of the product
will transfer the benefit of progress to the consumers, while
competition will render retrogression impossible.
Equally groundless are the fears of those who imagine that capital will
not be invested and industry will languish when capital ceases to return
an interest exceeding its replacement. This pessimism can be traced to a
misconception of, and a failure to distinguish between, the functions of
the capitalist and of the employer. The fact that they are usually
centred in one person is no reason why they should not be separated in
an analysis of their relation to production. The capitalist who as such
is the owner of the capital and the recipient of interest, is personally
inert and is performing no part of the employer’s. and manager’s work,
who receives as remuneration for his services what is generally termed
business profits, often affected more or less by occasional profits or
losses due to speculation or to unavoidable fluctuations of the market,
etc. And as the remuneration of labor including the employers’, is
increased by a diminution of interest, other things being equal, the
inducement to work will really be increased and industry will be
encouraged rather than otherwise.
However we view this abstinence doctrine, when brought to its logical
conclusion, it fails to show how under free competition in a community
capable of producing more than sufficient to satisfy the immediate
needs, the difference between the present and future valuation of
wealth—which is claimed to determine the rate of interest—can in the
average exceed the rate of risk and deterioration, and only in so far as
these two elements are more or less proportionate to time, the “Element
of Time” can legitimately enter into the discussion in an indirect way.
This concludes the chain of arguments which justify the assertion that
involuntary idleness is due to a preventable cause.
The law which denies the producing class the right to issue
credit-money, however high their credit may be, operates like the patent
laws, which in forbidding to others the use of an improvement justly
enables the inventor to reap a part of the advantage which his invention
affords; with this difference, that the free use of the invention of
credit-money is withheld from the wealth-producers for the benefit of
the lenders of money regardless of the time which has elapsed since the
invention should have become public property. It makes that usury an
economic possibility which Bacon. says “bringeth the treasure of a realm
into few hands.” By enabling the owners of money who lend it on interest
to acquire a right to demand an annual tribute from others, it gives to
money directly, and to capital indirectly, a seeming power of
reproduction and endows the dollar with the appropriate attribute
“Almighty.” Although Aristotle over two thousand years ago recognized
the interest-bearing power of money to be unnatural, yet at the close of
the nineteenth century, in which the impossibility of a reproduction of
physical energy has been demonstrated, the doctrine that industrial
energy in the form of capital is an exception to the otherwise
inexorable law of nature still dominates and prevents economic science
from rising above the level of the ancient dogmas that physical science
has long since discarded. The foremost writers commit themselves to
obvious inconsistencies in the vain attempt to give a cogent explanation
of the origin of this power. John Stuart Mill, in commenting on the
expectations of those who advocate an expansion of credit-money, closes
with the remark, “The philosopher’s stone could not be expected to do
more,” unmindful of the fact that, under the conditions which he
defends, capital, if owned in sufficient quantity, can bring its owner
enough of this world’s good to abundantly satisfy the irrational longing
of the alchemist. Bishop Berkeley frankly admitted that a bank is a
gold-mine, and asks if it is not the real philosopher’s stone; but he
failed to see that this magic power can be but the result of political
legerdemain.
This same power of money readily accounts for the absence of the
equation which naturally should exist between the supply of and the
demand for commodities. The medium of exchange being available as a
medium of extortion, is desired, not only for obtaining commodities in
exchange, but also for imposing tribute. Money being for this reason
more desirable than commodities of equal value, the demand for money
will necessarily exceed the supply, and reciprocally, the supply of
commodities offered for money must exceed the demand. The consequent
accumulation of unsold products is often mistaken for the cause of
involuntary idleness, while it is but a symptom of commercial
stagnation. The amount of work that can be done under the modern system
of divided labor is limited, depending upon the amount of products that
can be exchanged through the available facilities for exchange, and only
a lack of such facilities can account for a scarcity of work in a
country so blessed by nature as this. The same fear of a dearth of
employment that instigated the silk weavers to destroy the Jacquard loom
now prompts legislators to “protect” the workers by’ taxing imports,
regulating immigration, passing factory laws, and other similar
ineffective enactments. It cannot be denied that while the debtors’
tribute exceeds the risk-premium, an increase of indebtedness by what is
called an unfavorable balance of trade will impair the prosperity of a
people; nor can it be gainsaid that the immigration of producers, in
absorbing a portion of the available medium of exchange and intensifying
its comparative stringency, can only aggravate the stagnation of
commerce; but these conditions being the effect of an obstruction to
exchanges, additional restrictions cannot give relief.
Our investigation has led to revelations which constitute a serious
arraignment of our present political institutions. There are laws
supposed to protect the toiler in the enjoyment of the fruits of his
labor which uphold a system of exploitation under the guise of justice.
The accusation is too serious to be met by mere denial or by the
recapitulation of untenable doctrines and indefinite statements.
We need look no further to account for the unrest of the producing class
who plainly feel an oppression, the exact nature of which they fail to
recognize, and who attempt to meet the unfavorable condition by
combinations and restrictions wholly opposed to the freedom and
independence of intelligent men. While social science defends the power
which secures incomes to the possessors of wealth altogether
disproportioned to their personal merit, its teachings cannot cope with
the plausible arguments of demagogues, nor check the unwise agitation of
well-meaning men who advocate everything but the removal of inequitable
restrictions as a cure. Nor can it dispel the darkening cloud that
overshadows a civilization characterized by an increasing
differentiation of rich and poor, by a periodical recurrence of business
depressions and a growing discontent of the working classes, manifested
in the hostile attitude of labor-organizations. If our financial
legislation is really the seat of the disorder, the question of securing
remunerative employment to all who are able and willing to work should
no longer be considered an unsolvable problem.
As regards purely economic research, the study of the monetary flow
between the creditor and the debtor class in conjunction with the amount
of indebtedness leads to an important discovery. It reveals the law
which under present conditions determines the rate of interest proper.
Though somewhat abstract, the following deduction of this law may be of
interest.
In principle the separation of the financial from the industrial group
can be conceived with perfect precision, if it is based upon functional
relations and not upon the individuality of persons. In tracing the
monetary flow attention must be paid to money rather than to its owners,
by classifying the various purposes for which it is used. The financial
group being considered the source of all money, each piece passes from
it into circulation when used for the first time, and in its further
career it may alternately pass from group to group, communication being
established by several channels through which it will pass when employed
in certain transactions. All money can thus be separated into two
distinct volumes, one being dormant in the possession of the financial,
the other circulating within the industrial, group.
Regarding the relation of indebtedness, those persons interested in both
groups have from the stand-point of our present inquiry a dual
existence, their relations to each group constituting them or making
them distinct individualities, to differentiate which it is necessary to
agree as to what establishes a financial relation. Accepting as
financial obligations all interest-bearing debts which by stipulation
are payable in money, all persons having such claims are to that extent
members of the financial or creditor group, while in every other
capacity they with all others are members of the industrial or debtor
group.
In deducing the law of interest we must obviously take cognizance of all
transactions by which money will pass from one group to the other, as
well as those affecting the relation of indebtedness, while all
transactions which affect neither the relative indebtedness nor the
volume of money in circulation, are of a neutral character and are here
of no consequence.
As we have seen, money can be put into circulation only by purchases and
by loans, and is restored to the financial class by the payment of the
principal of, and interest on, loans. Purchases imply a flow of money
from the financial to the industrial group only if the money paid
emanates from the financial group, while those made with money already
in circulation must be treated as monetary transfers within the
industrial group and have no effect upon the flow under examination. All
investments in stock, business ventures, etc., should be included in the
category of purchases, and the payment of dividends, shares of profits,
etc., are neutral transactions. A flow of money in the opposite
direction through commerce is precluded, because the selling of goods or
services is exclusively a function of the industrial group. The officers
of a bank, in selling their services to the bank, are clearly members of
the industrial group, they are workmen engaged in directing the flow of
money into the most remunerative industrial channels and guarding the
security of financial transactions.
Lending money is eminently a function of the financial group, and every
flow through the loan channel marks an increase of indebtedness. But
when money circulating within the industrial group is used for loans, a
difficulty would arise if the recognition of the economic duality of the
owner did not enable us to regard the intent to use such money for a
loan, as its conveyance from one to the other of the dissociated units
of the owner, as a transfer from the industrial to the financial, from
which it is returned as a loan to the industrial group.
Sales of commodities on credit, if such debts are interest-bearing,
should likewise be considered compound-transactions,—one a complete
sale, the other a return of the purchase-money as a loan.
Indebtedness can be terminated either by payment of principal and
interest, or by remission, when obligations cannot be met. The risk of
losses would not be incurred if the interest paid by the debtors as a
whole did not more than cover such losses, so much of the interest as
will equal them being the insurance. The monetary flow resulting from
the payment of interest is accordingly divided into two branches, the
risk-premium, and the interest-proper, the former being equal to the sum
total of all relinquished loans.
We now clearly recognize five channels of the monetary flow as
represented in Fig. 3. (See plate at end of volume.) By purchases and
loans money will flow from the financial to the industrial group, and by
Transfers, Cancellations, and Interest in the opposite direction, the
interest channel consisting of two branches, Risk-premium and
Interest-proper.
All possible financial transactions can be resolved into these
fundamental currents. Seemingly exceptional cases will be found, upon
proper consideration, not to conflict with this statement. The payment
of debts by check or draft might appear to constitute”an exception,
being a cancellation of debts apparently without a transmission of
money, but such payment is to all intents and purposes cash payment,
money being virtually handed by the payer to the payee, and thus passed
from the industrial to the financial group while lying in bank. Money
received in payment of debts manifestly cannot be applied to the
cancellation of other debts before it is returned to the industrial
group, because a member of the financial group cannot as such be a
debtor. His economic duality, however, allows this transfer to be made
to himself, as it were, in the nature of a business investment, and as
such the money passes through the purchase-channel, to which all
investments have been assigned.
Denoting the currents of money shown in the diagram by the letters P, T,
L, C, R, and I, the total indebtedness by D, and the volume of money
circulating within the industrial group by V, the following relations,
expressible by equations, are self-evident.
Always referring to a definite period, the volume V is increased only by
the currents P and L, and is reduced by the reverse currents T, C, R,
and I; hence the change of volume is represented by the equation:
(1) ΔV=P+L—(T+C+R+I).
(The letter Δ designating “difference” or “change.”)
The financial obligations are increased by loans, and reduced by their
payment and by the remission of bad debts, the latter being equal to the
insurance R. The change of indebtedness is therefore expressed by the
equation:
(2) ΔD=L—(O+R).
From formula (1) it is found that:
I=P—T—ΔV+L—(C+R),
and by substituting the value ΔD for the last portion of this equation,
as per equation (2),
(3) I=P—T+ΔD—ΔV.
This is the total amount of interest paid by the debtor class, and to
obtain the annual rate per cent. this quantity should be multiplied by
100 and divided by the average indebtedness for which this interest is
paid and by the duration of the period considered, expressed in terms of
a year.
It will be observed that for this reason the sum total of interest, I,
is not in any sense an indication of the rate of interest, since the
variable total indebtedness appears as a quotient of the rate. Even
though as a rule a change in the one will also indicate a similar change
in the other, it does not follow that their fluctuations must
necessarily correspond.
Further considerations will reveal the full import of the above law of
interest.
The first two terms of formula (3) are invariably positive, while the
last two are sometimes positive, sometimes negative, according as the
increasing or the reducing currents preponderate. In viewing a long
period they will be insignificant compared with the first two, and may
be neglected, whereby the formula (3) is reduced to:
(4) I =P—T.
In this form the equation clearly indicates that the rate of interest
will rise as the money of the financial class is more freely used for
purchases and business investments, and will fall as more of the money
in circulation is applied to money-loans, the difference of these two
items being the amount which the debtor class is able, in the long run,
to devote to the payment of interest proper.
In considering shorter periods, the terms ΔD and ΔV, which have been
neglected, must be recognized. They will be found to bear a well-defined
relation to the cycle of fluctuating industrial activity. In this cycle
four periods may be distinguished, according as the departure of
interest from the amount indicated in formula (4) is attended more
prominently by a departure from zero of the one or the other of the two
differentials.
The first period is characterized by an excess of interest, accompanied
by an increase of indebtedness, ΔD—ΔV being positive on account of a
predominating positive, ΔD. In the second period interest is likewise
above the rate given by formula (4), but is accompanied by a diminution
of the volume of money in circulation and its accumulation in the hands
of the financial class, ΔD—ΔV being positive because the subtrahend ΔV
is negative. The third period is marked by a deficiency of interest,
accompanied by a diminution of indebtedness, ΔD—ΔV being negative owing
to a negative ΔD, and during the fourth period interest is still
deficient and accompanied by an increase of the volume of money in
circulation, ΔD—ΔV being negative because of the predominance of a
positive ΔV.
Only in rare cases is the transition from one into the other of these
periods of an abrupt nature; the process is generally attended by a
gradual change of conditions. When after a depression business begins to
recover and capital is more freely invested, the demand for money-loans
will increase and interest will rise. The flow L will be copious and the
total indebtedness will increase, making ΔD positive. This condition may
last for years; but the ability of the debtors to furnish adequate
security being limited, new loans cannot always keep up the supply of
money requisite to pay the interest which must ultimately be paid at the
expense of the money in circulation. The positive ΔD will be replaced by
a negative ΔV, marking the advent of the second period, during which
money will accumulate in banks. By the consequent scarcity of money
commerce will be impeded, business depressed, and investments will no
longer be profitable.
The debtors being unable to meet their obligations for want of money,
frequent bankruptcies will occur. This not only reduces the total
indebtedness D, but also the interest proper, since new a greater
proportion of the gross interest is required than formerly to balance
the losses. Both a negative ΔD and low interest proper are thus
traceable to the same cause. Interest will be low even though money is
scarce, and the law of interest illustrated in the diagram, Fig. 2 (see
plate at end of volume), is suspended. During this anomalous condition
both wages and interest. are low because of the industrial stagnation
and dearth of employment which will follow and endure until the excess
of the flow P above the return flow (I + R) increases the volume V
sufficiently to promote commercial activity, when a revival of business
will follow. The law expressed in formula (3) is thus fully in accord
with the features actually observed in the periodical fluctuations of
business.
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