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Analysis: For Obama, now comes the hard part

2008-11-05 08:48:00

By WALTER R. MEARS, AP Special Correspondent Walter R. Mears, Ap Special

Correspondent 1 hr 41 mins ago

WASHINGTON Audacity won. Now Barack Obama must validate the hope and deliver

the change he promised.

He's already changed America by becoming the first black man to win the White

House. His challenge is to change the course of its government and guide it

through hard times and past the financial crisis he inherits as he takes

office.

"The Audacity of Hope," the title of his book, could also have been the title

of his campaign. It certainly was audacious for a fledgling senator from

Illinois to run for president, challenging conventional Democratic wisdom and a

field of rivals dominated by the supposedly unstoppable Sen. Hillary Clinton.

He stopped her with an incredible campaign built from the ground up, raised

more money than any presidential candidate in history about $700 million over

two years and beat veteran Republican Sen. John McCain in an electoral

college landslide.

Obama is the first Democrat in 32 years to win election with a popular vote

majority, and Jimmy Carter barely got past 50 percent in 1976. Obama gained

52.3 percent to 46.5 percent with 94 percent of all U.S. precincts tallied. In

electoral votes, at 5 a.m. in the East, it wasn't even close 349 to 147.

At 47, after a scant four years as a senator, Obama overcame the inexperience

argument and a barrage of McCain attack ads. Obama drew remarkable crowds as a

campaigner, and 125,000 jammed into Chicago's Grant Park on election night, not

only to rejoice in victory, he said, but to join in facing the rigors ahead.

"Even as we celebrate tonight, we know that the challenges that tomorrow will

bring are the greatest in our lifetime," Obama said. "Two wars, a planet in

peril, the worst financial crisis in a century."

While the campaigning Obama hewed to his hope and change theme start to finish,

with detours to take the offensive amid the GOP attacks, McCain tried an

assortment of messages before settling in the closing days on his own claim to

be an agent of change, and his assertion that the Democrat was a tax-and-spend

socialist.

It didn't work. "I don't know I don't know what more we could have done to

try to win this election," McCain said in Phoenix, after calling Obama with his

congratulations. He did more, commending Obama for "inspiring the hopes of so

many millions of Americans," saying he had achieved a great thing for himself

and his country.

It was a grace note to end a contest short of such notes. He said the

disappointment of defeat was natural, "but tomorrow, we must move beyond it and

work together to get our country moving again."

And Obama, in triumph, warned against a return to "the partisanship and

pettiness" he said has poisoned politics for too long. And he told Americans

who voted against him that he hears their voices. "I need your help," he said.

"And I will be your president, too."

Such fine vows are traditional when a new president is elected. Delivering on

them after an often bitter campaign is the work ahead.

In exit polls, based on interviews with voters who had just cast their ballots,

six in 10 said the economy was the most important issue facing the nation. And

that was Obama territory. Eight people in 10 said they were worried about what

will happen economically in the next year. And now that is Obama territory,

too, because as president, he inherits the problem and the demand for

solutions.

No president since Franklin D. Roosevelt has faced economic and financial

market crises so dire and so urgent as Obama confronts now. And Obama also must

deal with wars in Iraq, which he has promised to end, and in Afghanistan, where

he plans to send U.S. reinforcements. He may have headaches with his own

Democrats on war issues. Liberal Democrats want immediate withdrawal from Iraq,

and may balk at sending more troops to Afghanistan.

Obama is a liberal and a change agent, but he also tends to be cautious and

analytical. The Democrats who want headlong change may well be dissatisfied.

For them, Obama's celebration speech included a note of caution. "The road

ahead will be long," Obama said. "Our climb will be steep. We may not get there

in one year or even in one term. But America ... we will get there."

With election-reinforced majorities in both the House and the Senate, the

Democrats are in full command of the government.

They will have an effective Senate majority of at least 56 seats, counting two

independents who have sided with them.

Democrats were gaining at least 25 seats to widen their House command.

They have been hobbled by President Bush and his vetoes, threatened or

exercised. And Democratic measures have been stalled or stopped in the Senate

because it takes 60 votes to end debate and force action. That will remain an

obstacle.

In the exit polls, about 80 percent of voters said they disapproved of the job

Congress is doing. That was a rating about as bad as Bush got. He was the

invisible incumbent during the campaign, but Obama made him an issue and the

link hurt McCain, much as he tried to disown the connection.

Bush is the past. Obama is the future, and it begins now, in troubled times,

for a president-elect with a costly agenda of promises that would be difficult

to deliver in far better economic circumstances.

"This victory alone is not the change we seek," Obama said. "It is only the

chance for us to make that change."