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Title: Solution in Sight Author: Noam Chomsky Date: June 23, 2006 Language: en Topics: nuclear Source: Retrieved on 1st October 2021 from https://chomsky.info/20060623/ Notes: Published in Khaleej Times.
The urgency of halting the proliferation of nuclear weapons, and moving
toward their elimination, could hardly be greater. Failure to do so is
almost certain to lead to grim consequences, even the end of biology’s
only experiment with higher intelligence. As threatening as the crisis
is, the means exist to defuse it. A near-meltdown seems to be imminent
over Iran and its nuclear programmes.
Before 1979, when the Shah was in power, Washington strongly supported
these programmes. Today the standard claim is that Iran has no need for
nuclear power, and therefore must be pursuing a secret weapons
programme. “For a major oil producer such as Iran, nuclear energy is a
wasteful use of resources,” Henry Kissinger wrote in the Washington Post
last year.
Thirty years ago, however, when Kissinger was secretary of state for
President Gerald Ford, he held that “introduction of nuclear power will
both provide for the growing needs of Iran’s economy and free remaining
oil reserves for export or conversion to petrochemicals”. Last year
Dafna Linzer of the Washington Post asked Kissinger about his reversal
of opinion. Kissinger responded with his usual engaging frankness: “They
were an allied country.”
In 1976 the Ford administration “endorsed Iranian plans to build a
massive nuclear energy industry, but also worked hard to complete a
multibillion-dollar deal that would have given Teheran control of large
quantities of plutonium and enriched uranium — the two pathways to a
nuclear bomb”, Linzer wrote. The top planners of the Bush
administration, who are now denouncing these programmes, were then in
key national security posts: Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld and Paul
Wolfowitz.
Iranians are surely not as willing as the West to discard history to the
rubbish heap. They know that the United States, along with its allies,
has been tormenting Iranians for more than 50 years, ever since a US-UK
military coup overthrew the parliamentary government and installed the
Shah, who ruled with an iron hand until a popular uprising expelled him
in 1979.
The Reagan administration then supported Saddam Hussein’s invasion of
Iran, providing him with military and other aid that helped him
slaughter hundreds of thousands of Iranians (along with Iraqi Kurds).
Then came President Clinton’s harsh sanctions, followed by Bush’s
threats to attack Iran — themselves a serious breach of the UN charter.
Last month the Bush administration conditionally agreed to join its
European allies in direct talks with Iran, but refused to withdraw the
threat of attack, rendering virtually meaningless any negotiations offer
that comes, in effect, at gunpoint. Recent history provides further
reason for scepticism about Washington’s intentions.
In May 2003, according to Flynt Leverett, then a senior official in
Bush’s National Security Council, the reformist government of Mohammad
Khatami proposed “an agenda for a diplomatic process that was intended
to resolve on a comprehensive basis all of the bilateral differences
between the United States and Iran”.
Included were “weapons of mass destruction, a two-state solution to the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the future of Lebanon’s Hizbullah
organisation and cooperation with the UN nuclear safeguards agency”, the
Financial Times reported last month. The Bush administration refused,
and reprimanded the Swiss diplomat who conveyed the offer.
A year later the European Union and Iran struck a bargain: Iran would
temporarily suspend uranium enrichment, and in return Europe would
provide assurances that the United States and Israel would not attack
Iran. Under US pressure, Europe backed off, and Iran renewed its
enrichment processes.
Iran’s nuclear programmes, as far as is known, fall within its rights
under article four of the Non-Proliferation Treaty, which grants
non-nuclear states the right to produce fuel for nuclear energy. The
Bush administration argues that article four should be strengthened, and
I think that makes sense.
When the NPT came into force in 1970 there was a considerable gap
between producing fuel for energy and for nuclear weapons. But advances
in technology have narrowed the gap. However, any such revision of
article four would have to ensure unimpeded access for non-military use,
in accord with the initial NPT bargain between declared nuclear powers
and the non-nuclear states.
In 2003 a reasonable proposal to this end was put forward by Mohamed
ElBaradei, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency: that all
production and processing of weapon-usable material be under
international control, with “assurance that legitimate would-be users
could get their supplies”. That should be the first step, he proposed,
toward fully implementing the 1993 UN resolution for a fissile material
cutoff treaty (or Fissban).
ElBaradei’s proposal has to date been accepted by only one state, to my
knowledge: Iran, in February, in an interview with Ali Larijani, Iran’s
chief nuclear negotiator. The Bush administration rejects a verifiable
Fissban — and stands nearly alone. In November 2004 the UN committee on
disarmament voted in favour of a verifiable Fissban. The vote was 147 to
one (United States), with two abstentions: Israel and Britain. Last year
a vote in the full General Assembly was 179 to two, Israel and Britain
again abstaining. The United States was joined by Palau.
There are ways to mitigate and probably end these crises. The first is
to call off the very credible US and Israeli threats that virtually urge
Iran to develop nuclear weapons as a deterrent. A second step would be
to join the rest of the world in accepting a verifiable Fissban treaty,
as well as ElBaradei’s proposal, or something similar.
A third step would be to live up to article six of the NPT, which
obligates the nuclear states to take “good-faith” efforts to eliminate
nuclear weapons, a binding legal obligation, as the world court
determined. None of the nuclear states has lived up to that obligation,
but the United States is far in the lead in violating it.
Even steps in these directions would mitigate the upcoming crisis with
Iran. Above all, it is important to heed the words of Mohamed ElBaradei:
“There is no military solution to this situation. It is inconceivable.
The only durable solution is a negotiated solution.” And it is within
reach.