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Title: Let Nature Play Author: Dan Fischer Date: April 2022 Language: en Topics: play, total liberation, anti-work, CO2 emissions, indigeneity, transitionary economics, rewilding, eco-futurisms Source: Retrieved on 8 April 2022 from http://greentheoryandpraxisjournal.org/gtpj-volume-14-issue-1-3-april-2022/
Many argue that we are running out of time, but perhaps the problem is
time itself. Or rather, it is the alienated time that we spend working
on the clock, obsessively looking at screens, letting consumption of
commodities dominate our free time and even invade our dreams. And it is
the perception we often have of the universe as a giant clock, an inert
machine to be put to work. Too often, there is no sense that nature,
ourselves included, has a right to relax, a right to be lazy, a right to
play.
While Autonomist Marxists define capitalism as an âendless imposition of
workâ on human beings (van Meter, 2017), we could add that the system
also imposes endless work on nonhuman animals and nature. Moving even
beyond van Meterâs broad conception of the working class as inclusive of
âstudents, housewives, slaves, peasants, the unemployed, welfare
recipients and workers in the technical and service industriesâ in
addition to the industrial proletariat, Jason Hribal (2012) describes
exploited animals as working-class. He points to animalsâ labor for
humansâ food, clothing, transportation, entertainment, and medicine.
Corroborating such a perspective, capitalists themselves label exploited
ecosystems as âworking landscapesâ (Wuerthner, 2014), exploited farm
animals as âlabouring cattleâ (Hribal, 2012), genetically modified crops
as âliving factoriesâ (Fish, 2013), and extracted hydrocarbons as
âenergy slavesâ (Fuller, 1940). As summarized by Indigenous
Environmental Network director Tom Goldtooth (2015) the dominant
worldview posits that âMother Earth is a slave.â This endless work has
been disastrous for the planet. Humansâ long hours of alienated labor
contribute to deeply destructive economic growth (Hickel & Kallis, 2019;
Knight et al., 2013). So does the exploited labor of animals, with
livestock taking up some 76% of the worldâs agricultural land (Poore &
Nemecek, 2018). Working landscapes âsuffer losses in biological
diversity, soil health, and other ecological attributesâ (Wuerthner,
2014). And even the cleanest âenergy slaves,â wind and solar power, can
require large amounts of resources and land in the context of a growing
economy (War on Want & London Mining Network, 2019).
The resulting situation is, for humanity, a double apocalypse involving
death on the inside and outside alike, a waking nightmare of alienation
and annihilation. Vast majorities of wage-laborers report âsleepwalking
through their workdayâ or worse (Gallup, 2013). Students are
overwhelmingly bored and stressed during the school day (Watson, 2015).
Silvia Federici (2012) reports that housewives see their endless
cleaning and domestic obligations as âhard, hated work that wastes our
lives.â Ongoing ecological and climate crises already kill millions of
human beings each year , and scientists warn that society may soon
trigger tipping points leading to âcivilization-ending apocalypseâ
(Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, 2022) and potentially even the
âannihilation of all lifeâ (Strona & Bradshaw, 2018).
Given these challenges, itâs understandable that many Leftists and
ecological activists succumb to compromise, surrender, or high-tech
fantasy. Like many Green New Deal champions, Naomi Klein (2019) has
advocated a â1.5â2°Câ target that, as explained below, could trigger
tipping points bringing global warming to annihilatory levels. Even more
troubling, the popular eco-radical pamphlet Desert urges readers to
âgive up hopeâ and to resign ourselves to the inevitabilities that
âGlobal climate change is now unstoppableâ and âwe seem set for yet
another, if anything more brutal, century of wars and insurrectionsâ
(Anonymous, 2011). Many Marxists have embraced a destructive high-tech
âecomodernism,â critiqued by John Bellamy Foster (2017), while others
including Foster, greenwash highly polluting and destructive states such
as Chinaâs (Pirani, 2021).
Accordingly, I propose a possible pathway that follows the precautionary
principle (Burkett, 2018) which requires that all safe and
non-authoritarian measures be taken to reduce risks of catastrophe.
Since scientists say time is running out, and theyâre not wrong, I will
not waste time with half measures, nor with top-down âfalse solutionsâ
(Amorelli et al., 2021) such as geoengineering, nuclear energy,
bioenergy, and hydroelectricity, which pose ecological and social
threats comparable to climate change itself. I adopt the precautionary
targets demanded by the 35,000 participants of the 2010 Cochabamba World
Peopleâs Conference: bring atmospheric carbon dioxide below 300 parts
per million (ppm) and global warming below 1° Celsius relative to
pre-industrial levels. In short, this is a proposal for an abolition of
compulsory work for all beings. It involves rewilding at least 75% of
the Earth with guidance from local and Indigenous communities, and
ensuring that the remainder of the planet âabolish[es] the wage system,
and live[s] in harmony with the Earthâ as proposed by the Industrial
Workers of the World (IWW) (2021).
The synergy of reduced work and ecological restoration offers a path
beyond the current impasse of mainstream and much radical eco-politics.
David Graeber (2018) observes, âin ecological terms, a mass reduction of
working hours is probably the quickest and easiest thing that could be
done to save the planet.â The 2020 economic slowdown caused by the
COVID-19 pandemic, while too short-lived to significantly reduce climate
change, gave workers a temporary experience of a society with far less
work. People in many countries resisted a return to full-time work. The
spread of explicitly anti-work ideas (Manjoo, 2021) showed the potential
appeal of solutions involving reduced production. Meanwhile, the
pandemicâs likely origins in a meat and seafood market (Zimmer &
Mueller, 2022), and growing attention to animal agricultureâs central
role in causing prior pandemics (Levitt, 2020), demonstrated an urgency
for adopting plant-based diets.
In the following three sections, I describe a Total Liberation Pathway
(TLP). First, I describe what it would mean to liberate all beings from
compulsive labor. Second, I use climate models to demonstrate that this
trajectory has a reasonable chance of achieving the precautionary
climate targets of 300 ppm and 1°C without resorting to false solutions
such as geoengineering. Third, I outline possible contours of a
revolutionary scenario that can implement the Total Liberation Pathway,
although it is only a source code that will need to be adjusted from
below based on local and changing conditions.
If the worldâs abundant wealth were much more equally shared, and if
people therefore did not have a pressure to work so much in order to
survive, many possibilities would blossom. In such a context, shrinking
global production would vastly reduce ecological and climate pressures
while also enabling a shorter workweek for humans. In a degrowing and
non-consumerist Global North, it would be possible to bring humansâ
workweek below 10 hours with only a modest reliance on ecotechnologies.
In 1947, Paul and Percival Goodman estimated that a tenth of the United
Statesâ labor, four weekly hours, was sufficient to locally produce
basic needs. The key steps to abolishing compulsory work for humans are
eliminating wasteful work, redistributing wealth and reducing alienating
consumption, introducing labor-saving ecotechnologies, and transforming
the remaining production into playful and self-managed activity.
The first step involves eliminating wasteful, unproductive labor.
Currently, First World employees themselves consider more than 50% of
their workweek to be unproductive or âbullshitâ according to various
surveys, polls, and interviews collected by Graeber (2018), who
summarizes that âwe could probably get the real workweek down to fifteen
hoursâor even twelveâwithout anyone noticing much.â Ken Smith estimated
in 1988 that wasteful labor comprised some 90% of wage labor in the
United Kingdom. Additionally, the Global South has its own high amount
of wasteful or âbullshitâ labor. âA vendor selling slide whistles blasts
a mocking trillâseveral times a minute, seven hours a day,â Robert
Neuwirth (2011) describes a SĂŁo Paulo intersection where workers begin
gathering at 3:30 in the morning to sell balloons and plastic toys. Half
of the worldâs employed population, and 60% in Africa and Asia, work in
this non-agricultural âinformalâ sector (International Labor
Organization 2018), sometimes spending their days selling pirated DVDs
or sitting in Internet cafes sending out email scams. Much of this work,
in the North and South, could be eliminated without even challenging
consumerist lifestyles, although it could help the planet, for example
by reducing car commutes and offices printing.
Of the remainder of the Northâs workweek, a majority could be eliminated
by redistributing wealth and eliminating consumerist habits that arenât
even making people happy. Itâs estimated that the world's richest 1
percent bags 82% of the worldâs wealth (Oxfam, 2018) and emits 175 times
more carbon than the poorest tenth (Oxfam, 2015). Clearly they will need
to give up the most. Yet, even many workers who belong to the Northâs
so-called âmiddle classâ would live more fulfilling and joyful lives by
replacing consumption with fulfilling experiences. Fromm (2008) pointed
out that the âgreat Masters of Livingââsuch as Buddha, Jesus, Master
Eckhart, and Marxâemphasized that good living focuses on being rather
than having. Fromm argued that the âhaving mode,â which Buddha called
craving and Judaism and Christianity call coveting, leads ultimately to
âunhappiness and suffering.â Empirical research has corroborated his
assessment that consuming doesnât lead to lasting happiness (Kasser et
al, 2013). Ed Diener and Martin Seligman (2004) find that raising a
countryâs per-capita GDP above $10,000, slightly below the worldâs
per-capita GDP and less than a fifth of the United Statesâ, provides
âvirtually no increases or only small increases in well-being.â They
further find, that âhealth, quality of government, and human rights all
correlate with national wealth, and when these variables are controlled,
the effect of income on national well-being becomes nonsignificant.â
Rather than asceticism or austerity, the solution could be an approach
that Kate Soper (2020) calls âalternative hedonism,â involving âtime
freed up for the arts of living and personal relating currently being
sacrificed in the âwork and spendâ economy.â Along these lines, social
movements around the world are embracing notions of buen vivir (living
well) that suggest forgoing consumerist aspirations can greatly increase
general health and happiness as well as sustainability . There are many
names for analogous concepts around the world, including ubuntu and
ujamaa in Africa, sumak kawsay, suma qamana, nandereko, and minga in
South America, and Lagom and AllemanstrÀttin in Europe, mino
bimaadiziwin and hĂłzhĂł in North America, and sarvodaya and swaraj in
Asia.
A modest use of labor-saving ecotechnologies can further reduce working
hours, especially in the Global South. The open-source machines
comprising the Global Village Construction Set are designed for âat 2
hours of work per day â using local resources â regeneratively â
achieving a modern standard of livingâ (Open Source Ecology, n.d.).
Decentralizing global production would lift a burden on the South,
making a 10 hour workweek possible there as well. As a form of
reparations for centuries of plunder, the North should freely share
ecotechnological blueprints such as those for the Global Village
Construction Setâs machines. With a radical reduction of the formal
workweek, it would be possible to evenly distribute household and caring
labor across all genders, compared to the gendered âsecond shiftâ that
housework represents for women today (Hochschild & Machung, 2003). In
the North, having less stuff will also mean thereâs less work involved
in cleaning and maintenance.
The remaining 10 or so hours of work could be transformed into
self-managed and voluntary craft and hobbies. For those with access to
some free time and meaningful community, there is immense interest in
collectively learning skills like how to garden, cook, and sew clothes.
Community gardens and Maker Spaces are sprouting in many places.
Performing productive activity as a community can make the work more
enjoyable.
For nonhuman beings, too, eliminating compulsory work will not require
an elimination of all productive activity. There is no necessary
exploitation in teaching a dog to guide a blind, human best friend
around, for example. MacPherson-Mayor and Daalen-Smith (2020) propose a
non-hierarchical partnership between a willing guide dog and human,
based on personal experience of a guide dog volunteering his services
and enjoying and benefiting from the role. However, they discuss how
many guide dogs are instrumentalized and mistreated, as are other dogs
who work in police and laboratory roles. Indigenous cultures and radical
ecological movements have long intuited that the Earth willingly shares
its resources to provide humanityâs âbasic necessitiesâ (Peopleâs
Agreement of Cochabamba, 2020) or âvital needsâ (Harding, 2009). Gitxsan
and Wetâsuwetâen organizer Mel Basil describes the Earthâs instruction
to humans as âTake what you need and leave the restâ (Hill & Antliff,
2021). Even plants can be understood as willingly working under only
certain conditions. Botanist Stefano Mancuso argues, âbecause plants are
sensitive and intelligent beings, we are obliged to treat them with some
degree of respect. That means protecting their habitats from destruction
and avoiding practices such as genetic manipulation, growing plants in
monocultures, and training them in bonsai.â (Pollan, 2013).
By contracting and converging the worldâs energy usage at 40% of todayâs
level, humanity can transition to all renewable energy, mainly
small-scale solar and wind power, while also ensuring comfortable
material living standards can be guaranteed to all of humanity. Joel
Millward-Hopkins and co-authors (2020) and Kris De Decker (2018) argue
that with expected energy efficiency improvements, just 40% of global
energy usage would enable everyone worldwide to live at least as
comfortably as todayâs frugal First Worlder. Even without expected
efficiency improvements, 40% of todayâs energy usage could provide high
living standards worldwide. The average Costa Rican, who uses about 40%
of the global per-capita energy consumption, enjoys a higher well-being
and life expectancy compared to the average United States resident who
uses 350% of the worldâs average. Residents at Missouriâs Dancing Rabbit
Ecovillage, who each use 25% of the worldâs per-capita energy, report
having more meaningful and satisfying lives than the average U.S.
resident (Fischer, 2020). These lower energy consumption levels would
make the transition faster and would address many concerns related to
sustainability. Referring to Millward-Hopkinsâs proposed reduced energy
consumption level, the degrowth scholar Jason Hickel (2020) reports,
âThis would make it much easier for us to achieve a rapid transition to
100% renewable energy, meeting our climate goals in a matter of years,
not decades.â War on Want and London Mining Network (2019) report that a
degrowing economy would greatly reduce necessary materials and make
possible a âpost-extractiveâ energy sector. The Union of Concerned
Scientistsâ analyst James Gignac (2020) emphasizes that recycling most
components of solar panels and wind turbines is already possible, if
costly, and that supportive policies could achieve â100 percent
recyclability.â
Given that the worldâs farmers already produce enough food to feed 12 to
14 billion human beings (IAASTD, 2016), feeding the actual population of
8 billion people will be largely a matter of eliminating animal
agriculture and redirecting harvests from livestock to humans.
Additionally, a decentralization of farming and an adoption of
agroecological techniques would boost efficiency in labor and land.
Community self-reliance would make obsolete most of the packaging,
transport, and advertising that make up an estimated four-fifths
(Trainer, 2018) or six-sevenths (Levins & Lewontin, 1985) of total
agricultural labor. Agroecological techniques can save further labor in
weeding and plowing and eliminate the labor involved in applying
herbicides and pesticides (Altieri, 1999). Forgoing plowing and weeding,
Masanobu Fukuoka (2009) described his low-tech, sustainable method as âa
pleasant, natural way of farming which results in making the work easier
instead of harder. âHow about not doing this? How about not doing
that?ââthat was my way of thinking.â
Switching to entirely plant-based farming, by vastly increasing the
efficiency of food production, would not only decrease labor
requirements but would also increase local food self-reliance. Helen
Harwatt and Matthew Hayek (2019) find that if the United Kingdom
switched about one-third of the land used to grow livestock feed over to
growing plant-based food for humans, then the country would be food
self-sufficient not only in terms of calories and protein but also in
terms of micronutrient needs. The other two-thirds of feed cropland and
all of pasture could then theoretically be restored and used to
sequester carbon dioxide. The authors also report that if the United
States switched entirely to plant-based farming then it would feed an
additional 350 million people, more than the countryâs current
population. As detailed by contributors to Rethinking Food and
Agriculture, (Kassam & Kassam, 2021), green manures and compost make a
veganic agriculture possible without requiring animal-based or synthetic
fertilizers. Drawing on examples from traditional Mesoamerican milpa
farming and the present-day veganic movement, they describe vegan
agroecologyâs benefits to soil health and agrobiodiversity.
Ending animal agriculture would be the most crucial step toward
rewilding 75% of the planet. This step alone would liberate 76% of
farmland (Poore, & Nemecek, 2018), comprising 37% of the worldâs
ice-free land for potential rewilding. The large-scale farms covering
88% of global farmland should be the clear priority (Lowder et al.,
2021), although global assistance should also be offered to those
small-scale farmers who decide to transition to plant-based livelihoods
and food sources.
Adding the 28% of ice-free land that only exhibits minimal human impact
(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2019) would bring the total
of wild areas up to 68%. Halving food waste would free up another 5%
(Röös et al., 2017), and eliminating biofuel use would liberate 2%
(Cristina Rulli et al., 2016). Improving forestry practices and reducing
wood harvests could free up another 3% (Dooley et al., 2018a), bringing
the total of wild lands up to 75%. Land-efficient agroecological
techniques (De Schutter, 2011) could bring the total even higher.
Notions of âtendedâ and âinhabitedâ wilderness (Anderson, 2005; Catton,
1997) permit an understanding that wild areas are defined not by an
absence of humans but by a presence of self-willed nature. Indigenous
and local communities must be respected as residents and guardians of
wilderness areas. Dispossession must be adamantly opposed, and
Indigenous peoples should have a right of return to their ancestral
lands where theyâll usually be far better caretakers than any state or
corporate-funded nonprofit can be.
Currently commodified animals in farms, circuses, zoos, and breeding and
research facilities can be adopted by sanctuaries and households where
they can live out their lives without being further bred. Eliminating
experiments on animals and experimenting instead with donated,
lab-grown, 3D-printed, and computer modeled human tissues and cells
would improve the accuracy and efficiency of medical research (Akhtar,
2015; Physicians Committee for Responsible Medicine, n.d.).
So far, I have tried to show that, while enabling comfortable living
standards for all of humanity, it is possible to abolish compulsory work
for all beings and to rewild the vast majority of our lives and our
planet. In summary, the TLP would bring humansâ workweek down to about
10 self-managed hours, abolish industries that exploit animals, restore
âworking landscapesâ to wild conditions, and reduce overall usage of
minerals and materials. The result, as I will argue in the next section,
would be to bring into reach precautionary targets for climate and
ecological protection.
In this section, I first argue for the necessity of aiming for
Cochabamba targets of 300 ppm, 1°C, and a 75% wild Earth, and then I
employ two climate models to demonstrate their achievability in the
context of a revolutionary social transformation. Providing a
significant buffer zone, I aim in these models for even more ambitious
targets: bringing atmospheric CO2 to the pre-industrial level of 288
ppm, corresponding with stabilizing global temperatures below todayâs,
and freeing up more than 80% of the Earth for grassroots protection.
The Cochabamba targets have vast support in scientific literature
literature; 1 ÂșC of warming is not just dangerous but could potentially
trigger cataclysmic climate tipping points. Timothy Lenton and
co-authors (2019) warn that âtipping points could be exceeded even
between 1 and 2 ÂșC of warming,â and several of these same authors note
that the tipping points can lead to a âHothouse Earthâ scenario
eventually reaching the 5 ÂșC level (Steffen et al., 2018). The Hothouse
Earth temperatures would cause âglobal diversity collapseâ and are
within the range of temperatures that can âannihilate planetary lifeâ in
the virtual Earth models of Strona and Bradshaw (2018). Leading
climatologist James Hansen (2017) has stated, âEffective action must be
undertaken not only to keep temperature rise below 1.5°C but, in my
view, to return it to below 1° C to preserve island nations and global
shorelines.â The 300 ppm target also finds ample support in the
literature. Over the past 400,000 years, the Earth self-regulated its
atmospheric CO2 levels between 180 ppm and 300 ppm, and only surpassed
the 300 ppm level after the Industrial Revolution. A stabilization of
atmospheric carbon at 300 ppm or lower has been advocated by many
scientists including Stephen Harding (2009), Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Barry Brook, Thomas Goreau, Barrie Pittock, Andrew Glikson, and Gideon
Polya (Polya, n.d.).
Of the Cochabamba targets, 300 ppm is the more demanding. Hansen writes
that 1°C could be achieved with atmospheric CO2 as high as 350 ppm
(2017), and David Spratt and Philip Sutton (2008) posit that â320 parts
per millionâ could achieve a âcap of 0.5°C.â Stephan Harding (2009)
estimates â300-350 ppmâ would make sure that global temperature does
ânot exceed 0.5°C relative to pre-industrial levels.â So, achieving 300
ppm most likely means achieving lower than 1°C.
Finally, although the goal of âHalf Earthâ has been prominently
advocated by scientists including E. O. Wilson (Dooley et al., 2018a), a
more precautionary goal would be preserving and restoring 75% of the
planet. Representing each plant species in a protected area would
require protecting â74.3% of the global land areaâ (Rodrigues & Gaston,
2001). Protecting ocean biodiversity and minimizing ocean population
collapse may require conserving up to 76% (OâLeary et al, 2016).
Shifting from biodiversity conservation to the more demanding ethic of
âbioproportionalityâ (Mathews, 2016) gives further reason for protecting
as much of the Earth as possible from intensive economic activity.
My use of C-Roads Pro climate model (Climate Interactive, n.d.), when
combined with recent studies of reforestation and rewilding,
demonstrates the viability of 300 ppm stabilization even if the Total
Liberation Pathway is substantially delayed. I input that the world does
not get started until 2025 and misses certain social movementsâ
deadlines by a full decade. Whereas The Climate Mobilization (Silk,
2019) calls for decarbonizing the Global North by 2025 and the Global
South by 2030, I enter that these goals are not achieved until 2035 and
2040. And whereas the New York Declaration on Forests calls for a global
end to deforestation by 2030 (Dooley et al., 2018a), I enter that this
goal is not achieved until 2040. My point is not to abandon the more
stringent deadlines for decarbonizing, but rather I am saying that we
should not give up on achieving 300 ppm even in the event that we miss
them. Conservatively, I set the âclimate sensitivity,â the rate at which
the planet warms, at 4.5Âș C, the upper-most estimate given by the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Hansen et al., 2017). In
Figure 1, the green line represents the TLP without the impacts of
sequestering carbon dioxide through massive rewilding and reforestation.
The result is that the atmospheric CO2 concentration peaks below 450 ppm
and declines to 393 ppm CO2 by 2100. These results imply that we need to
draw down more than 1 trillion tons of CO2 from the atmosphere to get to
the 300 ppm target. This factors in the issue that, as Hansen and
co-authors (2017) summarize, âocean outgassing increases and vegetation
productivity and ocean CO2 uptake decrease with decreasing atmospheric
CO2.â Due to these effects, Hansen estimates that drawing down an
initial 197 ppm requires sequestering 328 ppm in total. Using this
ratio, I calculate that drawing down 93 ppm would require a total
sequestration of 155 ppm, which is roughly 1.2 trillion tons of CO2.
This would involve reversing much of the estimated 1.8 trillion tons
(Erb et al., 2017) of carbon dioxide emissions from historic land-use
change, including pre-industrial.
[]
The scientific literature suggests the required carbon-dioxide drawdown
could be achieved through rewilding and restoration, especially in a
mostly vegan world. According to Mathew Hayek and co-authors (2020),
restoring the land freed by a global vegan diet to wild forest and
grasslands would remove some 0.8 trillion tons of CO2 from the
atmosphere. We can further add the 0.6 trillion tons that Kate Dooley
and co-authors (2018a, 2018b) estimate could be sequestered by
additional reforestation and agroforestry, since they mainly rely on
reduced wood harvest and explicitly âdo not assume that reduced land
demand from agriculture could be used towards climate mitigation.â
Already, this totals at 1.4 trillion tons of CO2 of restoration
potential from terrestrial restoration methods alone, enough to bring
atmospheric CO2 down from 393 to 287 ppm. There are indications that
rewilding marine ecosystems offer significant sequestration potential.
Marine Conservation Society and Rewilding Britain (2021) report that
restoring an area of saltmarsh, seagrass, or mangrove sequesters more
CO2 than restoring the same amount of tropical forest. Restoring marine
mammal populations would also bring significant CO2 sequestration, with
each whale absorbing as much CO2 as âthousands of treesâ and bringing it
safely to the ocean floor upon death (Chami et al., 2019).
Next, using an open-source climate model called the Global Calculator
(2021a), I find that the TLP would âcause emissions to fall so much that
the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is below
pre-industrial levels (288 parts per million).â Since the calculator
gives several sliders and asks users to put them on Level 1 (minimal
abatement), Level 2 (ambitious), Level 3 (very ambitious), or Level 4
(extremely ambitious), I placed the sliders in order to best approximate
the TLP. I placed several sliders at the lowest, âminimalâ level,
signifying no nuclear power and no geoengineering technologies such as
carbon capture and storage technology. I allowed a 99% reduction in
animal agriculture. Imagining a decentralized economy where self-reliant
communities consume mainly whatâs produced locally, I input the minimum
possible increase, 56%, in the distance that things are transported by
freight worldwide. Envisioning an end to planned obsolescence and a move
toward multi-use devices (that combine the functions of computers,
phones, and game consoles), I picked the second-least available increase
in the total number of devices, up from about 6 to 8.5 for each urban
household.
[]
The TLP involves a rapid abolition of fossil, nuclear and biomass energy
sources and a socially just transition toward 100% renewable sources,
primarily small-scale wind and solar power. I argued above that this
transition can occur in under a decade, when combined with a rapid
decline of total energy usage. The Global Calculator is not able to
capture anywhere near such a rapid transition, but in order to
approximate it as much as possible, I input a âvery ambitiousâ increase
in wind, a âvery ambitiousâ increase in solar power and energy storage,
and the âminimalâ option, signifying virtually no increase, for
hydroelectricity and marine power. As a result, total energy demand
falls, in the Global Calculatorâs approximation, from 372 exajoules (EJ)
in 2011 to 190 EJ in 2050, at which point 85% of energy comes from
renewable sources, mainly wind and solar, and the remaining 15% coming
from fossil fuels.
Although it slightly compromises the climate effectiveness of the
pathway, I entered the greatest available increase, 45%, in passenger
distance, to an average of 14806 kilometers a year. Since the long daily
commute to the office will be a relic of the past, I imagine that people
will use this increase in travel in order to explore the world at a
leisurely pace on electric buses, bikes, trains, and sailboats, instead
of cars and planes. As Soper (2020) notes, slower travel enables people
âto enjoy sights and scents and sounds, and the pleasures (and benefits)
of physical activity, and experiences of solitude and silence, all of
which are denied to those who travel in more insulated and speedier
ways.â
Based on UN Special Rapporteur Oliver De Schutterâs (2011) finding that
agroecological techniques can double yields in much of the Global South,
I picked a Level 2 yield increase and a Level 3 land use efficiency
increase. Given the documented failure of GMO agriculture, a global ban
would not negatively impact total yield growth (Hakim, 2016; IAASTD,
2016). By contrast, conventional breeding has created high-yielding
varieties of many crops (GM Watch, n.d). Moreover, organic and
conservation agriculture can radically boost yields with crop rotations,
multi-cropping, push-pull pest management, no-tillage, and continuous
soil cover (Ponisio & Ehrlich, 2016).
I found that human population is not a decisive factor in the ability to
achieve the 300 ppm target. If I input the United Nationsâ medium and
high estimates of population growth, then a pre-industrial 288 ppm level
is still achieved by 2100. I did choose the UNâs low estimate, an
increase to 8.3 billion people by 2050, since the TLP, if successful,
would address and eliminate the major causes of global population
growthâpoverty and patriarchy (Roberts, 2018; Sen, 1999)âand would
implement policies proven to simultaneously improve equity and decreased
fertility, including improved education for girls and young women,
ending child marriage, and increasing access to voluntary family
planning (Wolf et al., 2021). Eileen Crist (2019) writes that in an
anarchistic society with widely accessible family planning services and
with women in charge of their fertility, ââPopulation controlâ will not
only be eschewed but also unnecessary,â since âmost women will choose to
have zero, one or two children.â After all, children would no longer be
born for reasons such as âold-age insurance, or to labor in sweatshops
or agricultural fields, or to keep the economy growing, or to aggrandize
the armies of nationalistic tyrants.â
The Calculator does not offer a way to choose a starting date other than
2011, and so there are a couple options that could be taken to account
for the TLPâs 2025 starting date. One option is to postulate that the
TLPâs greater ambition cancels out the earlier start date of the
Calculatorâs approximation. The Calculator still assumes 15% fossil fuel
reliance and 1.3 million cars in 2050, whereas the TLP abolishes fossil
fuel use and cars by around 2035. So, even though the Calculatorâs
approximation starts the energy transition 14 years before the TLP, it
finishes the transition more than 15 years later. It would be
reasonable, therefore, to call it even. A more methodologically cautious
option involves adding extra emissions to account for the Calculatorâs
later starting date. The scenario in Global Calculator (2021b) adjusts
the original scenario (Global Calculator, 2021a) in order to add back
the business-as-usual emissions from the years 2011 to 2025. During this
period, the Global Calculator only gives the emissions totals for the
years 2011, 2015, 2020, and 2025. Assuming that emissions changes are
linear in between those years, the total difference is 292 GtCO2. To
approximate a relatively smooth transition, I added another 200 GtCO2.
Thus, levers are adjusted in this model (Global Calculator, 2021b) so
that the total emissions double from 492 to 984 GtCO2. The result is
still an atmospheric CO2 concentration below 288 ppm.
Both the 2021a and 2021b scenarios lead to a rewilding of more than 75%
of the Earth. The 2021a scenario results in 81% of the planetâs ice-free
and desert-free land becoming non-commercial forest and natural
grassland. It is worth noting that restraining population growth and
sprawl actually does not impact this percentage very much. Bringing
population and urbanization levels from the most ambitious to the medium
levels would only decrease the planetâs wild areas from 81% to 79%. The
2021b scenario brings wild areas down just a couple percentage points
further to 77%. Both the 2021a and 2021b scenarios reflect the
calculatorâs conservative limits, since even the more ambitious 2021a
scenario assigns 2% of the ice-free and desert-free land to pasture and
biomass crop growth, whereas the true TLP would rewild this area,
bringing total wilderness (including inhabited, tended wilderness) to
83% of the ice-free and desert-free Earth, or 88% of the planet in
total.
For achieving the Total Liberation Pathway, I propose a
resist-and-reconstruct strategy for systemic social change. The first
component, drawn from Autonomist Marxist traditions, is the ârefusal of
work,â important as a means of achieving the degrowth necessary for
global energy and resource usage. The second component, taken from the
IWW (2021), involves âforming the structure of the new society within
the shell of the old.â Organizing prefigurative productive
structuresâsuch as MakerSpaces, community farms, and horizontally-run
cooperativesâwill enable communities to meet their needs outside of paid
employment. Following Kevin van Meter (2017), I view the main (human)
agents of change as the broadly defined working class, including âslaves
and peasants as well as students, homemakers, immigrants and factory and
office workers.â However, especially important roles must be given to
Indigenous peoplesâ movements, which have been at the forefront of
protecting and restoring the worldâs land, and to energy and
agricultural workers, who control important bottlenecks in the global
economy.
Indigenous communities have long been at the forefront of resisting
ecological destruction (Hill & Antliff, 2021), and their reclamation of
ancestral land will be essential for restoring the Earthâs health. Even
despite facing ongoing settler-colonial erasure, these communities have
often managed to maintain relatively anti-authoritarian cultures and
sustainable lifestyles. Areas controlled by Indigenous peoples, despite
taking up only a quarter of the worldâs land, contain about 40% of
âecologically intact landâ and a disproportionately high percentage of
the planetâs biodiversity (Garnett et al., 2018). A joint letter by
Indigenous groups, while demanding the protection âof more than half the
planet in a natural state,â aptly insists that this proposal should ânot
mean the creation of more government protected areas, but rather fully
and formally recogniz[ing] the rights and forms of governance of
indigenous peoples over their territoriesâ (Joint Declaration, n.d.).
Energy and farm workers also have a critical role to play. As Tadzio
MĂŒller (2013) argues, the energy sector is an especially important
âpoint of leverageâ on the global economy and is also a central factor
in the climate and ecological crises. The agricultural sector represents
another strategic focal point for the same reasons. Just 128
slaughterhouses are responsible for about than 90% of the cattle
slaughter and deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon, comprising a âa
bottleneck in the livestock breeding chainâ (Pegurier, 2017) in the meat
industry in the country that slaughters the most cows. In the United
States, the worldâs largest slaughterer of chickens (Sanders, 2020),
slaughterhouses and meat processing plants also comprise a âcritical
bottleneckâ (Corkery & Yaffe-Bellany, 2020). Regardless of whether
populations choose to reduce their consumption, energy and agricultural
workersâ strikes can unilaterally reduce the availability of destructive
energy and animal products. Moreover, the hazards of their jobs provide
an incentive for refusal of work. Fossil fuel and biomass industry
employees have far higher death rates per unit of energy production than
workers in wind and solar industries. The death rate of coal workers is
over a thousand times higher than that of solar energy workers (Ritchie,
2020). Slaughterhouse workers suffer âa variety of disorders, including
post-traumatic stress disorder and the lesser-known perpetration-induced
traumatic stressâ (Newkey-Burden, 2018). Fossil fuel and slaughterhouse
workers who walk off their hazardous and traumatic work can cause
powerful declines in energy and animal product usage. Solidarity funds
and other forms of outside support would assist such workplace actions,
especially since many of the Northâs farm workers are undocumented
immigrants facing extreme precarity.
There exist many promising examples of resistance-and-reconstruction
that have taken on deeply ecological themes, such as the Transition
Towns, Right to the City, Global Ecovillage Network, Mississipiâs
Cooperation Jackson, Mexicoâs neo-Zapatistas, Syriaâs Democratic
Confederalists, and Sri Lankaâs Sarvodaya Shramadana Movement. As
communities shift their productive powers to alternative venues like
Makerspaces, and as employees gain more control over the means of
production, they can simultaneously decrease production (and production
time) and implement more ecological ends of production. Some precedents
include LUCAS Aerospace workers in the United Kingdom striking to
produce renewable energy equipment instead of nuclear weapons, IWW and
Earth First! -affiliated loggers in the United States demanding
sustainable logging and opposing clear-cutting. More recently, the 2019
School Strike for Climate, children around the world skipped school and
indicated that a livable future was more important to them (Klein,
2019). Since schooling can be understood as an apprenticeship for future
employment, and as training to be productive members of a capitalist
society, the school strike can be seen as a powerful and replicable form
of class struggle.
Radical organizing has begun among global energy workers, many of whom
do not want to work in dangerous fossil-fuel jobs, and some of whom do
not want to work at all. Graeber (2011) describes French fossil fuel
workers militantly struggling for an on-time retirement, or, in other
words, âthe right to stop being oil workers.â In 2016, affiliates of
Latin Americaâs Trade Union Confederation of the Americas unanimously
adopted an opposition to fracking. The following year, South Koreaâs
Korean Power Plant Industry Union announced they âwelcome the shutdown
of worn out coal power plants because we are clear about what kind of
country we want to leave for our descendantsâ (Trade Unions for Energy
Democracy, 2018). When Spain committed to closing most of its coal mines
in 2018, unions secured and celebrated an early retirement for miners
over 48, and new livelihoods in ecological restoration and renewable
energy for other employees (Nelsen, 2018). In 2021, the U.S. United Mine
Workers announced they would accept a just transition from coal mining
to renewable energy production (Scheiber, 2021). Iranâs striking oil
workers have demanded more paid leave time (Debre, 2021), and winning
this demand would likely result in less oil production per full-time
worker.
La Via Campesina, a network of an estimated 200 million small farmers in
81 countries, can play a major role in a sustainable transformation of
global agriculture. Their practice of agroecology and advocacy of local
food production fit easily into the Total Liberation Pathway. Although
they do not share the Pathwayâs commitment to abolish animal
agriculture, there is still significant overlap; La Via Campesina (2018)
opposes factory farming and insists that âwe urgently need to reduce
meat consumptionâ globally.
There would be backlash from not only from the capitalist establishment
but also from far-Right forces including extreme speciesists and
ecofascists alike. We can hope to win over some of their support bases
by explaining the benefits of the Total Liberation Pathway: a
drastically shortened and non-alienating workweek, a stable access to
necessities, and a decent change for human and planetary survival. If
the anti-Total Liberation factions are drastically outnumbered, then
their opposition might not amount to much of a threat. They might crave
and even demand more meat and energy usage, but they will lack coercive
power to make people work in the slaughterhouses or in coal mines.
Insofar as they insist on being violent toward living beings, militant
responses might be appropriate and necessary: Blockades, lockdowns,
house visits, de-platforming, tire slashing, arsons, and so on. If the
Left can rightfully condone such tactics against far-Rightists, then it
can also condone such tactics against propagators of omnicide.
Kevin Van Meter (2017) writes that everyday resistance comprises a
âfactor of revolution,â directly challenging capital accumulation and
creating conditions for more overt revolutionary struggle. Everyday
resistance is already very common. John Holloway (2010) looks at such
everyday rebels as an urban gardener, a group of friends who start a
choir, a daydreaming employee, and a group of homeless squatters.
Finding meaning outside of the work-and-spend cycle, at least for these
moments, they âstop making capitalism.â Holloway speculates, âThere is
nothing special about being an anti-capitalist revolutionary. This is
the story of many, many people, of millions, perhaps billions.â
Additionally, understanding nature and animals as fighting on our side,
and us on theirs, can help us humans understand revolution as more
feasible. As pattrice jones (2006) writes, âI do know that we are not
alone in the struggle to save the earth. The sooner we see that and act
accordingly, the sooner we can begin to end our own awful estrangement
and help to heal those we have hurt.â In 2003 in Zuzuland, a group of 11
elephants, led by a matriarch named Nana, rescued a group of antelope
that had been captured for breeding. Nana undid the metal latches
closing the gate, and stepped back to watch the antelope escape. A local
ecologist told reporters, âElephant are naturally inquisitive, but this
behaviour is certainly most unusual and cannot be explained in
scientific termsâ (Sapa, 2003). In 2016, Ponyboy the pig and Johnny the
sheep escaped in California and were found wandering together in the
street. In 2017, Fred the goat escaped a New Jersey auction house, and
he returned the next year to release dozens of goats and sheep. In 2018,
a Polish runaway cow found protection among a herd of wild bison. Such
instances of animal resistance, and even of animals resisting together
across species lines, are fairly commonplace and indicate that nonhuman
nature will not accept compulsory work without a struggle (Colling,
2020).
Furthermore, if we understand rewilding landscapes to be a revolutionary
act, then we can also understand the Earth and its self-rewilding
ecosystems as revolutionary agents in their own right. A well-known
illustration of this resilience involves the Chernobyl ecosystemâs
recovery since industry and agriculture abandoned the region after a
1986 nuclear meltdown (Barras, 2016). Abandoned farmlands across Europe
are recovering with shrublands and forests returning (Rey Benayas, 2019)
and sequestering carbon.
Whether or not the Total Liberation Pathway will be achieved, striving
for it could raise the chances of human and planetary survival. If the
aspired 288 ppm and >80% protection targets are not achieved, the more
moderate proposed targets of 300 ppm and 75% protection targets might
be. If that fails too, the more mainstream demands of 350 ppm and Half
Earth might be met. And if colonial and authoritarian structures are not
fully dismantled, then perhaps colonized and oppressed populations can
seize more autonomy and land than they can currently access. Tight-knit
and diverse communities might survive collapse, as envisioned by Octavia
Butler (2019). At worst, we can at least go down fighting, playfully and
joyfully, for a livable future.
Mainstream solutions to climate change often involve ongoing economic
growth, through promises of full-time âgreen jobsâ and high-tech
geoengineering, and are unlikely to stop the present apocalypses of
alienation and annihilation. By contrast, the Total Liberation Pathway
proposes letting nature play, ourselves included. We need to step off
the fast-paced âtreadmill of productionâ and instead take a leisurely
walk. We need to seize the âsocial factoryâ and turn it into a
playground. We need to see and treat the world as fundamentally playful
and our everyday lives as sacred and wild.
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