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Will fusion save us? If SPARC or ITER are on the right track, then no way. Their timelines are way too slow. Earth will be toastđ
It's a know fact to everyone involved that ITER won't work. Best outcome is that they learn something from it.
So if you're working on tokamaks like ITER, that kinda means that you think the world will be saved in some non-fusion way, in a way that doesn't need fusion for people to live, and that there'll be enough of humanity left when tokamak fusion is finally ready to come in and make the already-saved world even better and greener and maybe set our sights on the stars. That's great, but, let's solve the burning kitchen before building a new deck on the patio.
If, on the other hand, something like Zap or Helion with their pie-in-the-sky, Hail Mary approaches are correct then thatâd be awesome. Thatâs not super likely and we definitively have to work on other approaches to end fossils and not put all our hopes on one or both of these wild ideas, but itâs nice to have like an additional tiny liâl source of hope.
Itâs like if youâre on the battlefields of Rohan or Gondor but youâve got Frodo and Sam inching towards Mount Doom (or Luke Skywalker in the trench if you prefer the space edition). That doesnât mean you should just hang back and think everythingâs fixed (because you donât know for sure that theyâll make it), but that doesnât mean you should give up either (because you donât know for sure that theyâll fail).
That goes for a lot of other supposedly world-saving tech, too.
There are two common ways we humans mess up when thereâs this kind of tech, anything from wild energy storage plans to wave hydro to MSR a.k.a. LFTR. We go âOh, OK, guess I donât have to do anything, then!â
We give up on other plans because weâre so sure that the Hail Mary plan willâŠ
Both are mistakes. Letâs keep trying to fix the climate crisis and end fossils.â„
Also I obviously think a pulsed system is more appealing than igniting an actual miniature sun when the original sun is already making our li'l blue marble too hot.