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Stuck on the runway - Indian manufacturing peaked in the mid-1990s. Can its

1970-01-01 02:00:00

rlp

Aug 8th 2015

INDIA is not the place most people would expect to find precision engineering.

Yet Guillaume Capato is on the shop floor of the Mahindra Aerospace factory, an

hour s drive from Bangalore, explaining the complexity of an aluminium halter,

used to reinforce the fuselage on a jet aircraft. Formed from a single piece of

metal into a U-shape using a press, each side is of a different size and shape

and drilled with holes of varying dimensions so that the part will precisely

match all the other bolt holes around it. The halter is accurate to an exacting

degree: it only makes sense to add weight to an aircraft s structure if it also

adds strength. That principle is lost in India, where the weight of regulation

has sapped the strength of manufacturing.

Mahindra Aerospace is the sort of modern, jobs-rich enterprise that Narendra

Modi, India s prime minister, probably had in mind when he launched his Make

in India drive a year ago. Components produced here must meet the strict

standards of the global aircraft industry. In June the firm, an offshoot of a

family business better known for rugged SUVs, won a landmark order from Airbus.

Mr Capato, who worked at the European planemaker for 14 years, helped set up

the factory two years ago. It is full of spiffy kit from giant ovens for

heat-treating metals to fluorescent light chambers to help check for scratches

(a tiny nick means a part is junked). Each bit of equipment requires a matching

skill. Mr Modi wants more of this and has criss-crossed the world pitching the

idea of manufacturing in India. It is a tough sell. The share of manufacturing

in the economy peaked in the mid-1990s. It will take more than the glad-handing

of world leaders to revive it.

The roots of the malaise go back to 1991, when India opened up markets for

goods to competition, including from imports, but left its factor markets for

land, labour and capital unreformed. Indian-based factories suddenly needed to

be bigger and better-equipped to compete in a global market. But the cost of

capital, high in inflation-prone India, was forced still higher because of the

trouble banks had in pursuing deadbeat borrowers through clogged courts.

Complex laws made it tricky to acquire farmland for industry or infrastructure.

Baffling labour laws, written largely in the 1940s, piled onerous regulations

on manufacturers. Because they made it hard to lay off workers, few were hired.

For these reasons the standard-bearers for post-liberalisation India have not

been widget-makers but capital-light IT-services companies such as Tata

Consultancy Services, Infosys and Wipro, untroubled by India s factory laws or

congested ports. Such brainwork cannot provide for all the 1m, mostly

unskilled, youngsters who join India s labour force each month. More factories

would help. But India let its industrial base wither while China was busy

building one. And export-led growth is now a harder trick to pull off, not

least because global trade has slowed to a standstill. Meanwhile India is stuck

in heavy industries, such as steel, that are chronically oversupplied.

There are beams of light amid the gloom. Mahindra shows that Indian

manufacturers can break into a prestigious global supply chain. The firm

entered the aerospace business in 2006 when it acquired Plexion Technologies,

an engineering-design outfit. It soon spied an opportunity in orders for

single-aisle passenger jets, which were mounting fast at Airbus and Boeing.

This was the sort of bet a family-owned firm could make: a steep upfront

investment but with a steady long-term payoff for a job well done. After two

more acquisitions it signed a technology-transfer agreement with Aernnova, a

supplier to Airbus based in Spain. The factory near Bangalore was built in ten

months. Land was no problem, says Arvind Mehra, boss of Mahindra Aerospace. The

state of Karnataka offered a choice of business-ready sites with room to expand

from its land bank. The firm is building links with colleges to ensure a supply

of skilled workers. The factory layout is designed to diffuse know-how.

Specialist engineers sit in a glass cabin at its centre so that advice to and

feedback from the shop floor flows freely.

Prime factories

Optimists point to this and other high-profile investments in India. Foxconn, a

Taiwanese contractor that is the biggest private-sector employer in China,

recently announced plans to open as many as a dozen mega-factories in India by

2020. In March, Ford opened a 400-acre car factory in Gujarat, the

business-friendly state run for 13 years by Mr Modi before he became prime

minister. Last month the state of Telangana granted approval for a new factory

to Micromax, an Indian handset-maker. BMW and Mercedes are using more

components from local firms for their Indian-assembled saloons. Volvo says it

will soon sell Bangalore-made buses in Europe for the first time. A

fast-growing local market of 1.25 billion people is a big draw. Transport costs

should encourage manufacturers who wish to serve Indian consumers to shift

production there. Even Mahindra Aerospace indirectly benefits from local

demand. A large order received by Airbus, its prized client, is from Indigo,

India s leading low-cost airline.

Yet for all these bright spots, it is hard to imagine a manufacturing

renaissance in India without significant reforms to make factories easier to

set up and run. Mr Modi has pledged to vault into the top 50 countries in the

World Bank s ease-of-doing-business rankings (India is 142nd). But his reform

programme has stalled. His government has been forced to abandon changes to a

land-acquisition bill in the face of protests. A bill to put in place a

nationwide goods and services tax, to replace a myriad of state and federal

levies, remains stuck. A plan to streamline India s labour laws is bitterly

opposed by trade unions. The problems that have weighed on Indian manufacturing

since the 1990s remain. Until they are tackled, successes like Mahindra s

aircraft venture will remain all too rare.