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Can that old Steve Jobs magic still play at Apple?

Sydney Finkelstein

Has Apple introduced the best product pipeline they ve had in 25 years? That s

what insiders are saying with the announcement of bigger screens on iPhones,

new features that enable customers to pay for purchases using their

smartphones, and best of all, the new Apple Watch.

Is this finally chief executive officer Tim Cook s company?

The answer is yes, but perhaps not for the glowing, adoring reasons you might

think.

Invoking legendary product introductions like the original Mac computer by

staging the big affair at the Flint Center for the Performing Arts in

Cupertino, California, Cook has certainly laid down the gauntlet. All those

comparisons with Steve Jobs that were played from the minute we knew that Cook

was going to ascend to the top of Apple, they re gone.

But there is one more thing. Tim Cook may actually be the bigger risk taker.

For truly innovative companies, the real risk is in retreating from the bold

and the new. And when the euphoria wears off, as it will all too soon, what

will Apple s legions of fans say about what Mr. Cook has wrought?

Larger iPhone screens is a catch-up move for Apple. Samsung s Galaxy has been

there for a while.

Featuring new payment systems using smartphones is newer, at least in America,

but the Chinese have been doing this for years. And now that Alibaba is slated

for an initial public offering in the United States, the sophistication of

global competitors will become clear for all to see.

But the Apple Watch surely is a winner, you say? Perhaps. Apple knows design,

and the brand still sells like crazy. As usual, Apple s entry into the

smartwatch category is overdue. Samsung is there, as is LG. Even that old

stalwart of days gone by, Sony, is in the category. What s different this time,

however, is that Apple Watch doesn t come with the killer app iTunes that

made the iPod such an overwhelming winner over earlier players in the MP3

world. And at $349 a pop, they better come up with the killer app.

The iPhone was a truly breakthrough product. And the iPad created an entirely

new category. The one commonality among all these innovations is not just that

they were new, but that they were radically new.

I don t think we can say that about anything that Apple announced today.

The question worth re-considering is this: what does it mean for Apple to be a

company that makes incremental innovations, regardless of how they are

presented, and despite all the hype this announcement is generating? It s a

topic I addressed in this space a year ago, when I pondered whether we d met

the end of Apple as we knew it.

As I wrote then, ironically, and unusually for a technology company, Apple wasn

t really competing on the basis of technology. The MP3 player that they called

iPod was, and is, considerably inferior to other MP3 players in terms of sound

quality. The iPod was a sub-standard technological product competing in a

technological arena, yet, it won.

Why? Because Apple differentiated on three key elements that resonated with

customers: design, access to content via iTunes and brand prestige. The real

innovation was embodied in these first two elements, which, when coupled with

the iconic leadership of Jobs, collectively captured cool.

That strategy continued with the iPhone, whose brand cachet was so strong that

customers lined up for hours to buy each new version the company introduced.

The early Samsung commercials mocking the herd behaviour of iPhone fans (yes, I

was one), waiting to buy a product for features the Galaxy also boasted (and

often with superior qualities), were so memorable precisely because they

revealed just what was behind Apple s kimono.

The iPad was also a revolutionary product. It even started a new product

category that customers didn t know existed. A company that breaks the rules,

changes the world, and does it all with panache and coolness is a tough act to

beat.

That is, until it starts cutting prices, like Apple did in 2013. Or when it

begins rolling incremental improvements that trail the competition.

Companies that compete on the basis of price and fail to keep surprising or

delighting consumers become commodity sellers. That the company Jobs ran could

be in a commodity business is almost unfathomable.

Now, there s nothing wrong, per se, with a strategy that is all about market

segmentation, using price as a competitive weapon and targeting promotions to

specific customer groups. After all, that s the bread and butter of the world s

best consumer packaged goods companies, from Procter & Gamble to General Mills.

For companies like these, category management and brand management have been

elevated to an art form.

And it s true that Apple Watch is coming in at a premium price, appropriate for

a new premium product, but right now there is little premium about it when

compared to the other guys. Analysts will be watching the watch price closely

to see if that old Steve Jobs magic can still play.

It s been a losing game for years to sell Apple short. Watching Apple s product

showcase extravaganza is akin to watching an absolute beauty walk down the

street. You can t help looking, and maybe you can t help wanting. What happens

when we take a closer look and see clunky and not sleek?

Tim Cook has rolled the dice, playing Steve Jobs game without the golden dice

that always came out the way Jobs wanted it. It s not often that you see the

very moment when a CEO bets his career on a me-too product that arrives without

a killer app. Tick tock.