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Battle of the internet giants - Survival of the biggest

Concern about the clout of the internet giants is growing. But antitrust

watchdogs should tread carefully

Dec 1st 2012 | from the print edition

THE four giants of the internet age Google, Apple, Facebook and Amazon are

extraordinary creatures. Never before has the world seen firms grow so fast or

spread their tentacles so widely. Apple has become a colossus of capitalism,

accounting for 4.3% of the value of the S&P 500 and 1.1% of the global equity

market. Some 425m people now use its iTunes online store, whose virtual shelves

are packed to the gills with music and other digital content. Google,

meanwhile, is the undisputed global leader in search and online advertising.

Its Android software powers three-quarters of the smartphones being shipped.

Amazon dominates the online-retail and e-book markets in many countries; less

well known is its behind-the-scenes power in cloud computing. As for Facebook,

if the social network s one billion users were a country, it would be the world

s third largest.

The digital revolution these giants have helped foment has brought huge

benefits to consumers and businesses, and promoted free speech and the spread

of democracy along the way. Yet they provoke fear as well as wonder. Their size

and speed can, if left unchecked, be used to choke off competition. That is why

they are attracting close scrutiny from regulators.

Google is the one most under threat. Both the European Commission and America s

Federal Trade Commission (FTC) have been investigating allegations that it has

unfairly manipulated its search results to favour its own services. The company

also stands accused of several other transgressions, including using patents to

stymie competition in the smartphone market. The regulators want Google, which

disputes the charges, to change its practices. If talks fail they were still

continuing as The Economist went to press the search firm could end up mired in

costly legal fights on both sides of the Atlantic. This could become the

defining antitrust battle of the internet age, just as Microsoft s epic fight a

decade ago over its bundling of its web-browser with its Windows operating

system defined the personal-computer era.

Why size matters

Three trends alarm those who think the digital giants are becoming too powerful

for consumers good. The first is the rise of winner-take-almost-all markets on

the internet. Although Microsoft has poured money into its rival search engine,

Bing, Google still accounts for over two-thirds of searches undertaken in

America and a whopping 90% or so of them in some European markets. Facebook,

too, enjoys a quasi-monopoly in the social-networking arena. Rivals fear that

the big four will exploit their dominant status in their main businesses to

gain an unfair advantage in other areas a charge that lies at the heart of the

antitrust case against Google.

Second, the giants want to get consumers hooked on their own platforms

combinations of online services and apps that run on smartphones and tablet

computers. These platforms can be very appealing. Apple mints money because its

hugely profitable iPhone has, in effect, become a remote control for many

people s digital lives. But there are worries that Apple and its peers are

creating walled gardens which make it hard for users to move content from one

platform to another.

The third concern is the internet behemoths habit of gobbling up promising

firms before they become a threat. Amazon, which raised $3 billion in a rare

bond issue this week, has splashed out on firms such as Zappos, an online shoe

retailer that had ambitions to rival it. Facebook and Google have made big

acquisitions too, such as Instagram and AdMob, some of which have drawn intense

scrutiny from regulators.

So far the watchdogs have focused on surgical strikes, in areas such as online

search and the e-book market (where Apple is under investigation for alleged

cartel-like behaviour with several publishers). Their goal has been to get

swift settlements with negotiated remedies that curtail bad behaviour.

Some critics think that is too weak. There have been calls for Google to be

chopped up into two independent firms, severing its search business from its

other activities. Tim Wu, a professor at Columbia Law School and consultant to

the FTC, has even argued that in the interests of promoting competition, big

information monopolies such as Apple and Google should be forced to choose

between being providers of digital content, producers of hardware or

information distributors (via such things as cloud-computing services).

The danger is that such corporate butchery would do more harm than good. The

fact that people have flocked to big web firms platforms suggests that

consumers are perfectly willing to trade some openness for convenience and

ease-of-use. And if they do want to change providers, the cost of doing so has

fallen dramatically in the broadband era. Switching to a new search engine or

music service takes a matter of seconds. And this time, rather than there being

one dominant player (as Microsoft was for a while), there is a war of all

against all (see article).

Smartphones powered by Google s Android operating system have come from nowhere

to dominate the market, eclipsing Apple s iPhone. Amazon s Kindle tablet is

going head-to-head with the iPad. In social networking Google+ is fighting

Facebook. And Facebook and Apple, along with Microsoft, now have designs on

Google s dominance in search. Smaller firms such as Twitter are also keen to

join the giants ranks, and have rebuffed marriage offers from them. Facebook

itself was a start-up just eight years ago.

Schumpeter 2.0

Indeed, the tech world is changing so fast that it brings to mind Joseph

Schumpeter s comment about the perennial gale of creative destruction that

sweeps through economies as innovative insurgents take on entrenched

incumbents. Microsoft s antitrust problems now seem less vital than the fact

that, even while it tangled with regulators, the giant squid failed to sense

that the commercial currents had shifted against it. The four big fish nowadays

also have a reputation for arrogance and plenty of enemies. If they really want

to keep the trustbusters at bay, they should not let their size go to their

heads.

from the print edition | Leaders