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Notes on thrawling pubmed for studies on HRT efficacy

Useful topics

The endocrine iceberg

Picture the conventional approach to transgender HRT: altering T and E2 serum (blood) levels to match those of cis averages. You do this by adding more of one hormone, and maybe stopping the gonads from producing the other, or blocking the other at the receptor.

Thatā€™s the tip.

Everything influences everything: nutrition and herbs

Low levels of zinc, selenium, magnesium will inhibit IGF-1. High protein diets boost it. Calcium and magnesium affect aromatase. Fat cells affects estrogens. Emotional states and dopamine affect GABA which affects gonadotropins. Studying compounds in isolation is useful and informative, but not definitive.

Dietary and herbal sources have a lot more things in them than what seems to be ā€˜theā€™ active compound, and thatā€™s not always a minus. The immunostimulant effects of Sutherlandia were originally dismissed, because the beneficial flavonoids wouldnā€™t be absorbed by the human body via digestion. That is until someone realised that the plant is also rich in saponins, and because saponins are soap-like, they affect cell membrane permeability. Sutherlandia has been since shown to improve immune function.

Or consider the traditional use of nettles as a galactagogue. Nettles are a 5Ī±-reductase inhibitor, so they should stop DHT from affecting breast tissue; but the effect on breast milk production couldnā€™t be demonstrated. However, nettles are especially nutritious, high in fiber, protein, vitamins A and C, calcium and iron. It is easy to imagine that habitual consumption as slow cold infusions would have positive long-term effects on breast milk for the extra nutrition alone, especially for lower-class women who may have difficulty in keeping a rich diet while not working. How these effects could synergise with the hormonal effects, and those with the anti-inflamatory, anti-allergic, and vasodilator effects, isnā€™t a topic that has been researched; but itā€™s clear that testing one kind of extract in short-term lab tests only investigates that specific question.

The trans body

Cis people have gonads that generate the hormone they want. we have no gonads, or (pre-SRS) counterproductive gonads. if a compound increases T *in cis guys*, that doesn't mean that it would increase T in a trans guy; e.g. if it's messing with GABAs that tune the pituritary to put out FSH/LH that will fire up a cis guyā€™s testes, it might end up firing a trans guyā€™s ovaries instead. When evaluating studies it is important to understand *how* are the hormone levels being affected.

In general exogenous hormones are our main method of activating the receptors we want. But I see potential in experimenting with things that increase endogenous hormones in cis people too, if you're post-SRS or very confident in your blockers. If a herb reduces hot flashes in menopause, maybe it has something to do with tissue estrogens or progestins or adrenals or receptors etc., it's not ~necessarily~ on the uterus. If a herb increases tissue E2 in the uterus it might also be useful for transfeminine folk, if the reason it does that is by globally upregulating aromatase.

Individual body variation probably has a greater impact on HRT results than standard practice assumes. Rather than staying forever with the first prescription one manages to wrestle from the cistem, it makes a lot of sense to experiment with different doses, routes, blockers etc. and see what works best.

The iceberg of the endocrine system probably has a greater impact on HRT results than standard practice assumes. One way it could do that is by all those feedback loops and homeosthases. For example, if LH does anything in conjunction with E2, this pair can only be achieved briefly on E2 level changes, before the system inhibits LH again. This may be a reason for the reports on women who stop HRT for a month then find stronger results upon restarting it, or for high-impact of a new mode of administration that seems to subside after some time in it. This is an argument to try out different things whenever transition seems stalled.

Keeping a healthy scepticism

One shouldnā€™t easily trust traditional prescriptions, alternative therapies, or clearly biased studies funded by the same people who are trying to sell you something. This much is, I hope, clear to everybody.

But too many people lower their guard with the exterior performance of science. Writing an article in LaTeX full of Greek words with a list of references at the end does not make a piece of information any more reliable than your grandmaā€™s teas. Throwing some drugs at a bunch of rats then propping up a bunch of other rats as a null hypothesis (or, how Gelman calls it, a ā€˜strawman hypothesisā€™) to get a p-value to draw conclusions from amounts to little more than an oracle, about as informative as an anecdote. Itā€™s probably less informative than a *relevant* anecdote. This kind of statistical-significance methodology is flawed beyond repair; thereā€™s a crisis of reproducibility in science for a reason, it affects the fields that rely on bad methods. (Thereā€™s no crisis of reproducibility in space science or geology or particle physics; but nutrition, medicine and social sciences are a minefield.)

A statistical-significance study that shows an effect for a compound should be taken as one very small piece of evidence, a suggestion that maybe this thing is worth experimenting with. A study failing to find an effect should be taken as more ā€˜unprovedā€™ than ā€˜disprovedā€™. A series of studies done by different people reproducing the same results is a lot more reliable. A p-value-free, concrete demonstration of causal mechanisms is a lot more reliable. Long-term followup studies looking at the end results in humans (as opposed to rat cells after a week) is a lot more reliable.