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Artificial intelligence - Million-dollar babies

As Silicon Valley fights for talent, universities struggle to hold on to their

stars

Apr 2nd 2016 | SAN FRANCISCO

THAT a computer program can repeatedly beat the world champion at Go, a complex

board game, is a coup for the fast-moving field of artificial intelligence

(AI). Another high-stakes game, however, is taking place behind the scenes, as

firms compete to hire the smartest AI experts. Technology giants, including

Google, Facebook, Microsoft and Baidu, are racing to expand their AI

activities. Last year they spent some $8.5 billion on deals, says Quid, a data

firm. That was four times more than in 2010.

In the past universities employed the world s best AI experts. Now tech firms

are plundering departments of robotics and machine learning (where computers

learn from data themselves) for the highest-flying faculty and students, luring

them with big salaries similar to those fetched by professional athletes.

Last year Uber, a taxi-hailing firm, recruited 40 of the 140 staff of the

National Robotics Engineering Centre at Carnegie Mellon University, and set up

a unit to work on self-driving cars. That drew headlines because Uber had

earlier promised to fund research at the centre before deciding instead to peel

off its staff. Other firms seek talent more quietly but just as doggedly. The

migration to the private sector startles many academics. I cannot even hold

onto my grad students, says Pedro Domingos, a professor at the University of

Washington who specialises in machine learning and has himself had job offers

from tech firms. Companies are trying to hire them away before they graduate.

Experts in machine learning are most in demand. Big tech firms use it in many

activities, from basic tasks such as spam-filtering and better targeting of

online advertisements, to futuristic endeavours such as self-driving cars or

scanning images to identify disease. As tech giants work on features such as

virtual personal-assistant technology, to help users organise their lives, or

tools to make it easier to search through photographs, they rely on advances in

machine learning.

Tech firms investment in this area helps to explain how a once-arcane academic

gathering, the Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, held each

December in Canada, has become the Davos of AI. Participants go to learn, be

seen and get courted by bosses looking for talent. Attendance has tripled since

2010, reaching 3,800 last year.

No reliable statistics exist to show how many academics are joining tech

companies. But indications exist. In the field of deep learning , where

computers draw insights from large data sets using methods similar to a human

brain s neural networks, the share of papers written by authors with some

corporate affiliation is up sharply (see chart).

Tech firms have not always lavished such attention and resources on AI experts.

The field was largely ignored and underfunded during the AI winter of the

1980s and 1990s, when fashionable approaches to AI failed to match their early

promise. The present machine-learning boom began in earnest when Google started

doing deals focused on AI. In 2014, for example, it bought DeepMind, the

startup behind the computer s victory in Go, from researchers in London. The

price was rumoured to be around $600m. Around then Facebook, which also

reportedly hoped to buy DeepMind, started a lab focused on artificial

intelligence and hired an academic from New York University, Yann LeCun, to run

it.

The firms offer academics the chance to see their ideas reach markets quickly,

which many like. Private-sector jobs can also free academics from the

uncertainty of securing research grants. Andrew Ng, who leads AI research for

the Chinese internet giant Baidu and used to teach full-time at Stanford, says

tech firms offer two especially appealing things: lots of computing power and

large data sets. Both are essential for modern machine learning.

All that is to the good, but the hiring spree could also impose costs. One is

that universities, unable to offer competitive salaries, will be damaged if too

many bright minds are either lured away permanently or distracted from the

lecture hall by commitments to tech firms. Whole countries could suffer, too.

Most big tech firms have their headquarters in America; places like Canada,

whose universities have been at the forefront of AI development, could see

little benefit if their brightest staff disappear to firms over the border,

says Ajay Agrawal, a professor at the University of Toronto.

Another risk is if expertise in AI is concentrated disproportionately in a few

firms. Tech companies make public some of their research through open sourcing.

They also promise employees that they can write papers. In practice, however,

many profitable findings are not shared. Some worry that Google, the leading

firm in the field, could establish something close to an intellectual monopoly.

Anthony Goldbloom of Kaggle, which runs data-science competitions that have

resulted in promising academics being hired by firms, compares Google s

pre-eminence in AI to the concentration of talented scientists who laboured on

the Manhattan Project, which produced America s atom bomb.

Ready for the harvest?

The threat of any single firm having too much influence over the future of AI

prompted several technology bosses, including Elon Musk of Tesla, to pledge in

December to spend over $1 billion on a not-for-profit initiative, OpenAI, which

will make its research public. It is supposed to combine the research focus of

a university with a company s real-world aspirations. It hopes to attract

researchers to produce original findings and papers.

Whether tech firms, rather than universities, are best placed to deliver

general progress in AI is up for debate. Andrew Moore, the dean of Carnegie

Mellon University s computer-science department, worries about the potential

for a seed corn problem: that universities could one day lack sufficient

staff to produce future crops of researchers. As bad, with fewer people doing

pure academic research, sharing ideas openly or working on projects with

decades-long time horizons, future breakthroughs could also be stunted.

But such risks will not necessarily materialise. The extra money on offer in AI

has excited new students to enter the field. And tech firms could help to do

even more to develop and replace talent, for example by endowing more

professorships and offering more grants to researchers. Tech firms have the

cash to do so, and the motivation. In Silicon Valley it is talent, not money,

that is the scarcest resource.

Correction: This article has been amended to make clear that the $8.5 billion

spent by technology companies was on deals and did not include money spent on

research and hiring.