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Google joins a rarefied club
Feb 6th 2016
When Cisco was crowned as the world s biggest company by market value in April
2000, its boss hoped it would go on to become the first firm worth over $1
trillion. But its reign was to prove short-lived: deposed by Microsoft two days
later, it never regained top spot. It is now in 53rd place.
Cisco may be a cautionary tale for Alphabet, Google s parent, which on February
2nd usurped Apple to become the world s most valuable listed company, only to
slip back behind the Cupertino-based firm the next day. Come what may, however,
Alphabet is now a member of a select club of firms that have led the league
over the past quarter-century (see chart).
What do these companies have in common? Age doesn t appear to be a significant
factor in determining dominance. Among the dozen are the old and established
(like Exxon Mobil, founded as Standard Oil in 1870), and the new and
innovative. Apple was 35 years old when it reached the summit in 2011. Google
turned 17 in September.
Just two non-American firms have claimed the title. Nippon Telegraph and
Telephone, a Japanese utility, was the world s most valuable quoted firm
between 1992 and 1996. The other, PetroChina, beat Cisco to that $1 trillion
valuation in 2007.
Some companies claim their crowns thanks to irrational exuberance: Cisco s
share price was 230 times earnings at its peak. Alphabet currently trades at
34. Apple, meanwhile, has a price-earnings ratio of just 10, which suggests
that investors doubt its remarkable run of profits will last. Were it to trade
in line with the S&P 500 p/e ratio, it would be worth $900 billion.
Tech-boosters would doubtless love to see a prolonged bout of jostling for top
spot between Alphabet and Apple (which before this week had held on to its
crown for 653 consecutive days). But an obvious threat to both comes from a
company that isn t even listed yet: Aramco, Saudi Arabia s state-owned oil
giant, which is almost certainly the world s most valuable firm and is toying
with an initial public offering.
http://www.economist.com/news/business/
21690074-google-joins-rarefied-club-select-group