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Leapfrog spotting
Mobile phones may regenerate the country s withered banking system
Sep 28th 2013 | Yangon |From the print edition
FOR a foreigner at least, it is still a bit of a thrill to use an ATM machine
in downtown Yangon. After years of carting around wads of dog-eared dollars to
exchange for even larger wads of ancient, crumbling kyat, the local currency,
immaculate new machines now disgorge crisp new banknotes. It is a minor
miracle. Linked to the international payment system only late last year,
hundreds of ATMs around the country can now be used on Visa s payments system.
The cash machines are a mark of real progress. During decades of brutal and
isolating military rule, financial services suffered as much as any other
sector. All foreign banks were kicked out of the country in the mid-1960s; from
the mid-1990s onwards, American sanctions in particular cut the country off
from most forms of international financial transactions. The domestic financial
system withered away, too. Less than 10% of Burmese are thought to have a bank
account.
Building financial services virtually from scratch takes time. Microfinance
institutions have recently started operating in Myanmar. About 30 foreign banks
have opened representative offices to establish a presence and research the
market. But until a new finance law defines their roles and the extent to which
they must partner with local firms, they cannot do much more.
What could really transform things is a nationwide mobile-phone service. Mobile
banking should be ideally suited to Myanmar. Even if banks were prepared to
invest heavily in building physical branches, the country s large (about 60m)
and mainly rural population is spread out. Done right , says the Consultative
Group to Assist the Poor, a pressure-group for financial inclusion based at the
World Bank, mobile banking has the potential to help Myanmar provide basic
formal accounts and payment services to most of its citizens, thus
leapfrogging conventional banking altogether.
To achieve that Myanmar will need an excellent new mobile-phone system. Another
legacy of the country s years of isolation is that relatively few people have
ever used mobile phones. Most could not afford artificially inflated prices for
SIM cards; in any case a poor infrastructure means that coverage is patchy. The
responsibility for changing that rests largely with the two foreign firms that
won an auction for mobile licences in June: Norway s Telenor and Qatar s
Ooredoo (formerly Qtel). They will compete against each other and a local
state-owned outfit as well. New SIM cards will cost just $1.50, compared with
$200 or more in the past.
Telenor and Ooredoo are lesser-known names in the telecoms firmament, but both
have wide experience in poor countries and in Asia. They have ambitious targets
to build thousands of masts to cover about 85% of the country within five
years. Ooredoo promises to pump $15 billion into Myanmar. Both have also
committed themselves to delivering financial (and other) services through their
networks. Telenor already does this in a limited way in Pakistan and
Bangladesh.
Another prerequisite for a viable, accessible mobile-phone banking system is
the establishment of a good agent network to process client transactions such
as depositing or withdrawing money. Telenor promises to have 70,000 sales
locations for its phone cards as well as 95,000 refill points. The number of
financial sales points, where customers can put credit on their phones for
cash, would be lower, says Petter Furberg, the head of Telenor in Myanmar, but
still enough to provide mobile banking in most of the country.
A final factor is whether the government in Yangon will rein in its deep-rooted
instincts to control banking and the wider economy. Rather than specifying
individual banks to lead the build-up of mobile banking, Mr Furberg says the
ideal approach would be for the government to stick to drawing up robust
regulations and then to open the market to as many players as possible .
Either way, the secret to changing Myanmar s financial sector may well lie with
the phone.