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The trouble with being too confident

Sydney Finkelstein

It s graduation season, with many young people leaving the friendly confines of

university life to enter the mysterious world of work.

I ve never given a speech at a graduation but if I did I d talk about paradox,

a governing feature of life whose power sometimes takes years to fully

appreciate.

This is especially true for leadership, where ignoring paradox the

contradiction between two things that can both be true at the same time can

get you into deep trouble.

Consider self-confidence. The hallmark of any great leader is the ability to

convey to others that you know what s going on and that you re ready to take it

on. Follow me, and we ll make it work.

All you have to do is look at popular movies to see how self-confidence is such

a universal characteristic of effective leadership. James Bond, Indiana Jones,

and Catwoman show no fear or hesitation; instead there is certainty and

confidence. And when we see managers resembling these swashbucklers, we say,

there s someone who s going places .

If only.

Self-confidence run amok leads to mistakes and missed opportunities, whether

that is taking on big acquisitions that probably should never have been made

(Hewlett Packard s deal for Autonomy, that resulted in a $8.8bn write-down), to

spending too much time perfecting the old while ignoring the new (Microsoft

under former CEO Steve Ballmer missing the huge revenue-generation potential of

search, mobile and social media while fixating on incremental improvements in

Windows).

It s not that self-confidence is a bad thing, of course. It s essential. But so

are open-mindedness and flexibility.

(Credit: Alamy)

(Credit: Alamy)

Too much self-confidence means you start missing the warning signs that you

might be wrong. You miss these signs because, to you, they don t even exist.

The possibility that you could be wrong is a foreign concept.

The familiarity factor

Self-confidence might also yield better results when directed toward questions

or fields where you are truly expert. The corollary is even more important:

open-mindedness and flexibility are critical when you re playing a game that is

unfamiliar to you. Unfortunately, such nuances barely register for the Steve

Ballmers of the world.

I ve often observed in my work with companies that while expertise in one

domain usually does not transfer to other, unrelated areas, people often think

that it works that way. So the CEO fancies himself an expert in technology; the

professor thinks he can run the university better than the administrators; and

the star athlete uses his power to force general managers to bring on players

he thinks are the best.

Lest you think self-confidence is the only culprit, consider the opposite

humility. The humble but competent leader expects other people to contribute

ideas, embraces the role of coach or teacher on a team, and looks for

opportunities to deflect attention to others. Not only does humility leave room

for stars to shine, it often leads to better thought-out decisions by drawing

on the know-how of others.

All good except that excessive humility, like excessive self-confidence,

brings downsides. In many walks of life, there is no replacement for the killer

instinct. Competition is all about winning, and a touch of arrogance is not

such a bad thing. In a recent article in the New York Times about the NBA

superstar Stephen Curry, his coach describes him as humble and arrogant. You

can be both, and arguably, you need to be both.

The trick is to find the right times to exhibit either side of your leadership

repertoire. Helping your teammates score is good, but so is taking charge of

the game and dominating the scoring. Competition at the highest levels in

sports and in business makes being a one-trick pony a foolish strategy.

So where does this leave us? If you re a manager or an executive, make sure you

re not falling into the more is better trap. Just because self-confidence is

good, or humility is valuable, doesn t mean you want to find and reward people

who keep showing more of the same.

If you re earlier in your career and trying to figure out what to work on,

beware the focus on your strengths crowd. That advice makes sense only up to

a point, and that point is where management meets leadership. Work to become

more aware of the limits to your leadership style. Recognise that being humble

may score you points with your co-workers, but if you become typecast you ll

find it a lot harder to move up to a leadership position.

Great leaders embrace paradox. The sooner aspiring leaders understand that, the

better.