As much as I hate Debtember, I can't wait for it to come this year

>

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AGREEMENT AMONG THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS...WHICH HAD BEEN VERY GOOD

OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...HAS COMPLETELY COLLAPSED TODAY. THE

06Z RUNS OF THE GFS...GFDL...AND NOGAPS MODELS ACCELERATED WILMA

RAPIDLY TOWARD NEW ENGLAND UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE LOW

PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ALL THREE OF THESE

MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF OF THIS SOLUTION...WITH THE GFDL SHOWING AN

EXTREME CHANGE...WITH ITS 5-DAY POSITION SHIFTING A MERE 1650 NMI

FROM ITS PREVIOUS POSITION IN MAINE TO THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

THERE IS ALMOST AS MUCH SPREAD IN THE 5-DAY POSITIONS OF THE 12Z

GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH RANGE FROM THE YUCATAN TO WELL EAST OF

THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES IS THE EXTREME

SENSITIVITY OF WILMA'S FUTURE TRACK TO ITS INTERACTION WITH THE

GREAT LAKES LOW. OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WILMA HAS BEEN

MOVING SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OR SOUTH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE...AND

THE LEFT-MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS ARE NOW SHOWING WILMA

DELAYING OR MISSING THE CONNECTION WITH THE LOW. I HAVE SLOWED THE

OFFICIAL FORECAST JUST A LITTLE BIT AT THIS TIME...BUT IF WILMA

CONTINUES TO MOVE MORE TO THE LEFT THAN EXPECTED...SUBSTANTIAL

CHANGES TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAY HAVE TO BE MADE DOWN THE LINE.

NEEDLESS TO SAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK...ESPECIALLY THE

TIMING...HAS DECREASED CONSIDERABLY.

```

“HUR RICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 [1]”

Or in other words … “We have no clue where this thing [2] is going.”

Lovely.