Comment by [deleted] on 26/06/2020 at 13:30 UTC

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View submission: i feel totally cynical about what's happening right now

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I agree with you that reponse bias[1] was a big reason for Trump's low polling numbers compared to his actual votes.

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Response_bias#Social_desirability_bias

But the extent of this bias was one part of the prediction uncertainty.

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There's nothing here!