8 upvotes, 1 direct replies (showing 1)
View submission: i feel totally cynical about what's happening right now
i'll try to put it more simply for you. if I tell you you have a 2 in 3 chance of rolling a 6 sided die and getting a 3 or higher, and then you roll it and get a 1, does that mean my statement was wrong?
Comment by [deleted] at 26/06/2020 at 02:50 UTC
0 upvotes, 2 direct replies
This is a bad comparison because the odds of rolling a 3 or higher are based on mathematics and 538 fucking up the 2016 election predictions were based on people who were obviously lying to the pollsters.