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You make some very good observations. While I too wouldn't say it definitively, I think there's a fair bit of discrepancies between the faces as well.
It would be one thing if they said: "We believe this is the same individual that has a variety of hooded outfits he can change into." And left their methods of tracing him out of it.
I truly find it insane that the case is INSTEAD being presented as "We have footage of the shooter. Our methods then lead us to this other individual who we think is also the shooter based on the same clothes."
Actually ridiculous this isn't being discussed more.
There's nothing here!