15 upvotes, 1 direct replies (showing 1)
View submission: Was the 2020 Election stolen?
We know Trump won every "bellwether county".
All but one. But bellweather counties are completely arbitrary. For example, in 2016 Trump lost nearly as many bellweather counties as Biden did in 2020. Since he lost those, they're no longer bellweather counties and no longer in the list, but if they were, Trump and Biden's results would look very similar. Basically, Trump's odd win in 2016 caused a selection bias that favored him.
We know Trump won the in person vote. In Swing States where mail in voting was limited, like Ohio and Florida, Trump and Biden ran 50/50 in mail in votes, but in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia and Wisconsin, Biden carried Mail in by 75/25. Why was mail in voting patterns so different in those states?
Democrats are actually concerned about the pandemic and greatly prefer mail in voting. If they were allowed to easily vote by mail, their turnout would be higher. But we all know Republicans don't like high voter turn out.
Comment by [deleted] at 27/01/2021 at 03:17 UTC*
-1 upvotes, 1 direct replies
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